Petra Friederichs - Chair of Statistics STAT
Petra Friederichs - Chair of Statistics STAT
Petra Friederichs - Chair of Statistics STAT
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Mesoscale Weather Prediction<br />
Statistical Postprocessing<br />
Applications<br />
Conclusions and Challenges<br />
Mesoscale Extremes<br />
Predicting high-impact weather<br />
Ensemble Postprocessing<br />
Predictability<br />
◮ Inherent limit <strong>of</strong> predictability<br />
◮ Fastes error growth at smallest<br />
scales<br />
◮ Predictability strongly depends<br />
on flow regime<br />
◮ Moist convection is primary<br />
source <strong>of</strong> forecast-error growth<br />
◮ Mesoscale forecasts are issued<br />
for ≤18h-24h<br />
E N Lorenz, Tellus 21, 19 (1969)<br />
P.<strong>Friederichs</strong> Extreme weather 8 / 45
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