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of the Verde Island Passage, Philippines - weADAPT

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climate change vulnerability assessment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> verde island passage, philippines<br />

Context analysis from <strong>the</strong> baseline as premise <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

vulnerability assessment was first observed by <strong>the</strong> team:<br />

background on <strong>the</strong> sector, its importance, components/<br />

aspects and trends related to climate change impacts<br />

on <strong>the</strong> marine resources that <strong>the</strong> people experience. As<br />

a basis to <strong>the</strong> assessment, pr<strong>of</strong>iles were laid down, no<br />

matter how preliminary, as a flexible and opportunistic<br />

approach to data ga<strong>the</strong>ring in view <strong>of</strong> institutional gaps.<br />

The vulnerability and resilience potentials <strong>of</strong> coastal<br />

communities were addressed next, followed by<br />

recommendations to management units. The novelty<br />

<strong>of</strong> climate change impacts in institutional mechanisms<br />

and in <strong>the</strong> public mind requires plans and policies to be<br />

scaled up beyond <strong>the</strong> normative and routine by being<br />

inter-linked and inter-agency driven in emphasizing<br />

<strong>the</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> human wellbeing along with marine<br />

biodiversity conservation.<br />

Climate change effects on and <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> people in <strong>the</strong><br />

vulnerability assessment process are illustrated in a<br />

framework creatively designed by <strong>the</strong> team (Fig. 42).<br />

Extreme changes in climate affect marine habitats<br />

and species which <strong>the</strong>n impact upon <strong>the</strong> economic<br />

uses <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> marine waters and coasts as well as <strong>the</strong><br />

livelihood and health <strong>of</strong> communities. Changes in sea<br />

surface temperature (SST), accelerated sea level rise<br />

(ASLR), storminess and unexpected precipitation<br />

patterns have effects on <strong>the</strong> fisheries, tourism and<br />

foreshore development trends that will damage or<br />

destroy investments if <strong>the</strong>re are no climate change<br />

adaptation actions early enough. Beyond understanding<br />

<strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> climate change on <strong>the</strong> socioeconomic<br />

conditions <strong>of</strong> communities dependent on marine<br />

resources, <strong>the</strong> vulnerability assessment also included<br />

<strong>the</strong> exacerbating anthropogenic factors that affect <strong>the</strong><br />

marine environment, represented by <strong>the</strong> back flows <strong>of</strong><br />

arrows.<br />

Rising sea levels inundate wetlands and o<strong>the</strong>r low-lying<br />

lands, erode beaches, intensify flooding, and increase<br />

<strong>the</strong> salinity <strong>of</strong> rivers, bays, and groundwater tables,<br />

but some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se effects may be compounded by<br />

adaptation activities such as measures that people take<br />

to protect private property from rising sea level that may<br />

have adverse effects on <strong>the</strong> environment and on public<br />

uses <strong>of</strong> fish ports, beaches and waterways. Foreshore<br />

development, for instance, can bring in increasing<br />

investments for physical infrastructure such as sea walls<br />

or reclaimed areas in <strong>the</strong> short term, but in <strong>the</strong> longer<br />

term, <strong>the</strong>se structures and human activities can damage<br />

mangrove ecosystems, fragment habitats, damage<br />

nutrient flows or cause destructive algal blooms which<br />

can aggravate climate change effects. Vulnerability<br />

assessment is <strong>the</strong>refore essentially related to disaster<br />

risk reduction and management.<br />

More studies are needed to have appropriate guidelines<br />

for addressing adaptation. The vulnerability assessment<br />

exercise for <strong>Verde</strong> <strong>Island</strong> <strong>Passage</strong> is still exploratory but<br />

already significant for its methodological contributions.<br />

Fig. 42. Socioeconomic aspects in <strong>the</strong> vulnerability<br />

assessment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Verde</strong> <strong>Island</strong> <strong>Passage</strong>.<br />

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