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ISSN: 2247-6172;<br />

ISSN-L: 2247-6172<br />

Review <strong>of</strong> Applied Socio- Economic Research<br />

(Volume 5, Issue 1/ 2013 ), pp. 38<br />

URL: http://www.reaser.eu<br />

e-mail: editors@reaser.eu<br />

coefficient <br />

2<br />

0 , <strong>the</strong> current account is stationary around some constant, <strong>and</strong> if<br />

2<br />

0 , it is<br />

zero.<br />

Table 1. Unit Root Tests Results <strong>in</strong> Level<br />

Variables ADF PP Order <strong>of</strong><br />

Integration<br />

MAROCCO Investment -1.95099 -2.124976 I(1)<br />

Sav<strong>in</strong>g -0.150967 -1.163776 I(1)<br />

Current<br />

-4.147020* -4.689044 I(0)<br />

account<br />

TUNISIA Investment -2.757430 -2.451153 I(1)<br />

Sav<strong>in</strong>g -1.744239 -2.669670 I(1)<br />

Current<br />

-4.148888 -7.486676 I(0)<br />

account<br />

Critical values 1% 5% 10% 1% 5% 10%<br />

-4.3098 -3.5742 -3.2217 -4.2732 -3.5577 -3.2123<br />

Table2. Unit Root Tests Results <strong>in</strong> first Difference<br />

Variables ADF PP Order <strong>of</strong><br />

Integration<br />

MAROCCO Investment -4.39824 -4.652099 I(0)<br />

Sav<strong>in</strong>g -4.383158 -12.37656 I(0)<br />

TUNISIA Investment -3.853751 -3.920406 I(0)<br />

Sav<strong>in</strong>g -3.703005 -6.40093 I(0)<br />

Critical values 1% 5% 10% 1% 5% 10%<br />

-4.323 -3.5806 -3.2253 -4.284 -3.5628 -3.2152<br />

Tables 1 <strong>and</strong> 2 show <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> unit root tests for each variable (Gross Domestic Sav<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

Gross Domestic Investment <strong>and</strong> Current Account) for Tunisia <strong>and</strong> Morocco dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> period 1975-<br />

2010.<br />

Results <strong>of</strong> ADF <strong>and</strong> Phillips-Perron tests show that gross domestic <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>and</strong> gross domestic<br />

sav<strong>in</strong>gs are stationary <strong>in</strong> first differences. These two series are <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>of</strong> order one. The current<br />

account series are stationary <strong>in</strong> level; <strong>the</strong>y are <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>of</strong> order zero.<br />

These results imply <strong>the</strong> possibility <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> existence <strong>of</strong> a co<strong>in</strong>tegration relationship between sav<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment. S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> variables <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> model are <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> same order, we can use <strong>the</strong> Engel <strong>and</strong><br />

Granger co<strong>in</strong>tegration test to estimate error model correction to <strong>in</strong>spect <strong>the</strong> long run <strong>and</strong> short run<br />

relationship between <strong>the</strong>m. The current account Stationary means that Morocco <strong>and</strong> Tunisia fac<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

solvency constra<strong>in</strong>t <strong>and</strong> long-term sav<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment are potentially co<strong>in</strong>tegrated.

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