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ISSN: 2247-6172;<br />

ISSN-L: 2247-6172<br />

Review <strong>of</strong> Applied Socio- Economic Research<br />

(Volume 5, Issue 1/ 2013 ), pp. 87<br />

URL: http://www.reaser.eu<br />

e-mail: editors@reaser.eu<br />

Introduc<strong>in</strong>g counter-cyclical bank provisions has already been implemented <strong>in</strong> Spa<strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> Portugal<br />

some time ago, <strong>and</strong> has demonstrated this is feasible <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> accordance with Basel rules. The<br />

Spanish dynamic provision system requires higher provisions when credit grows more than <strong>the</strong> historical<br />

average, relat<strong>in</strong>g provision<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> credit cycle. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to this system, provisions built up dur<strong>in</strong>g an<br />

improvement accumulated <strong>in</strong> a fund which is called ‘statistical provisions’ but can be considered ‘macroprudential<br />

provisions’ can go up to a slump to cover loan losses.<br />

This opposes <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial cycle as it discourages <strong>the</strong> excessive lend<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> booms <strong>and</strong> streng<strong>the</strong>ns <strong>the</strong><br />

banks <strong>in</strong> bad times. Counter-cyclical rules are related to <strong>the</strong> changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> credit exposure <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

<strong>in</strong>stitutions. In particular, f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>stitutions could be asked to <strong>in</strong>crease provisions when <strong>the</strong>re is excessive<br />

growth <strong>of</strong> credit compared to a benchmark <strong>in</strong> lend<strong>in</strong>g toward sectors subject to cyclical fluctuations.<br />

In fact India adopted counter-cyclical provision<strong>in</strong>g requirements for lend<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g market<br />

similarly to <strong>the</strong> Spanish case. An alternative approach for counter-cyclical bank regulation through<br />

provisions is by means <strong>of</strong> capital. Charles Goodhart <strong>and</strong> Av<strong>in</strong>ash Persaud have presented a specific proposal:<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g capital requirements by a ratio l<strong>in</strong>ked to recent growth <strong>of</strong> total banks’ assets.<br />

This provides a clear <strong>and</strong> simple rule for tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to consideration counter-cyclical regulation <strong>and</strong><br />

can be easily implemented. In this proposal, each bank should have a basic allowance for asset growth,<br />

l<strong>in</strong>ked to macro-economic variables, such as <strong>in</strong>flation <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic growth rate <strong>in</strong> long terms. The<br />

growth above <strong>the</strong> basic allowance dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> past year would have a 50 percent weight; growth dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

year before that would have a 25 percent weight <strong>and</strong> so on until 100 percent is approximated. Regulatory<br />

capital adequacy requirements could be raised by 0.33 percent for each 1 percent growth <strong>in</strong> bank asset<br />

values.<br />

For example, if bank assets grew 21 percent above <strong>the</strong> growth allowance, <strong>the</strong> m<strong>in</strong>imum<br />

capital requirements would rise from 7 percent to 15 percent. Know<strong>in</strong>g that credit cycles tend to be national,<br />

<strong>the</strong> application <strong>of</strong> counter-cyclical regulations needs to be on a host country. This would serve by add<strong>in</strong>g an<br />

obvious improvement. The exist<strong>in</strong>g framework <strong>of</strong> macro-prudential bank<strong>in</strong>g regulation was <strong>in</strong>sufficient <strong>and</strong><br />

was recognized as such by commentators for a certa<strong>in</strong> period.<br />

We are not aga<strong>in</strong>st micro-prudential regulation <strong>in</strong> itself s<strong>in</strong>ce we believe supervisors have an<br />

important role <strong>in</strong> consumer protection issue <strong>and</strong> protect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> tax payer from abuse <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

implicit government <strong>in</strong>surance. Aside from <strong>the</strong> absence <strong>of</strong> macro-prudential regulation, we note that zeitgeist<br />

on <strong>the</strong> boom time, ‘government bad, markets good’, impacted <strong>the</strong> quality <strong>of</strong> micro-prudential regulation.<br />

Supervisors were sufficiently ambitious <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir surveillance <strong>of</strong> banks. So, <strong>the</strong> last mentioned should make<br />

sure <strong>the</strong>y understood exactly how a bank earns its pr<strong>of</strong>its <strong>and</strong> if <strong>the</strong>y understood that fully, <strong>and</strong> are aware<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>and</strong> type <strong>of</strong> risk a bank is tak<strong>in</strong>g to earn those pr<strong>of</strong>its. It is <strong>of</strong>ten said that endogenous risks that<br />

destroy <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial system <strong>of</strong>ten relate to a badly-considered application <strong>of</strong> micro-prudential regulation.<br />

6. Regulation <strong>of</strong> fund<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> liquidity<br />

Imag<strong>in</strong>e two banks have <strong>the</strong> same possessions. One f<strong>in</strong>ances expensive assets, us<strong>in</strong>g deposits from<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir base deposit <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r f<strong>in</strong>ances cheap assets by <strong>the</strong> daily borrow<strong>in</strong>g. Previously, <strong>the</strong> bank<br />

regulations did not make a difference between <strong>the</strong>se two k<strong>in</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> banks. The markets did not dist<strong>in</strong>guish<br />

between <strong>the</strong> two banks even when <strong>the</strong>y thought that <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> short-term f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> bank was more ‘efficient’<br />

given that its f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g was cheaper.<br />

Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Rock which f<strong>in</strong>anced 120% mortgages with short-term borrow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> capital markets had a<br />

higher rat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> stock market than HSBC which relied much more on deposits to f<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>the</strong> assets. The<br />

predom<strong>in</strong>ant prospect was that risk was natural <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> asset, not its f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, however we can see today that<br />

<strong>the</strong>se two banks are truly different <strong>and</strong> that <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> asset reflects a comb<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> liquidity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

asset <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> liquidity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

The m<strong>in</strong>imum f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g liquidity is back on <strong>the</strong> table for discussions at <strong>the</strong> Basel Committee on<br />

Bank<strong>in</strong>g Supervision <strong>and</strong> at <strong>the</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ancial Stability Board. The U.K. amongst o<strong>the</strong>rs has already announced

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