considerable uncertainty about the availability of gas for power. It is, therefore, unlikelythat gas can contribute a large share in electricity generation, even assuming that gascapacity could grow to 25,000 MW by 2020.2. Planned activities and changesThe extent of the increase in energy requirement over the 12 th FYP (2012-2017) dependson the elasticity of per capita energy demand with respect to GDP, which has beenfalling over time and was 0.82 during the period 1990-91 to 2003-04. Allowing for somefurther decline in the elasticity, the GDP growth rate of 9 per cent per year projectedover the 12 th FYP will require energy supply to grow at around 6.5 per cent per year.The ability to meet this energy demand depends on expansion of domestic productionin critical energy sub-sectors – notably petroleum, gas and coal – and meeting thebalance requirement through imports.Primary energy importThe import requirement of oil is expected to increase from 76 per cent in 2010-11 to 80per cent in 2016-17. In the same period import of natural gas is expected to increasefrom 19 per cent to 28.4 per cent, while coal import will go up from 19.8 per cent toabout 22.1 per cent. In quantum terms, this means that coal import would increasefrom about 100 mt in 2011-12 to about 200 mt in 2016-17, i.e. a doubling of importquantity. The estimated coal requirement is 842 mt at the end of the 12 th FYP (2017)and 1,040 mt at the end of the 13 th FYP (2022).Power generation capacity additionThe approach paper to the 12 th FYP has focused on addition to the power generationcapacity in the country during the period 2012-2017. The fast growing Indian powersector is expected to add 94,000 MW during that period. New capacity addition will be75,785 MW and the rest will be spill-over from the 11 th FYP. Coal- and gas-based powerplants are expected to add 63,781 MW, while hydro projects would add 9,200 MW andnuclear projects 2,800 MW. Coal-based thermal power plants would account for 62,695MW of which 23,940 MW (or 38 per cent) would be of supercritical category. Thiswould be about 30 per cent of the total capacity to be created in the 12 th FYP period.Renewable energy sources are expected to add about 29,000 MW during the sameperiod.Moving five years further, a power capacity addition of 123,900 MW (including renewables)is expected during the 13 th FYP period (2017-2022). Installed capacity additionin coal-based thermal power would be 63,400 MW, all based on supercritical powerplants and about 50 per cent of the total capacity addition during the period. Theexpectation is that by 2022, the installed electricity generation capacity will be about350,000 MW.Human resources requirementThis massive capacity addition would require additional human resources, projected at407,670 workers, of which 312,000 would be technical workers and the remainingwould be non-technical workers. The total workforce by the end of the 12 th FYP (2017)would be more than 1,425,000 people with technical personnel accounting for 76 per cent.64
3. Future challengesThe future challenge is mainly on the technological front where the continuous supplyof power will have to be ensured and safety of the means of power production will haveto be fully explained to and accepted by the public. Price too is a concern, but not amajor one at present. Financing of the sector is not a major issue as India has a highcredit standing. But, recent downgrading of India’s credit rating has resulted in escalationof cost of such finance from external commercial sources. The turbulence in globaleconomy has pressurized financing agencies to first finance their own economies.Weakening of Indian rupee against US dollar would add further to the cost of commercialborrowing in rupee terms. International aid is declining because there is no surpluswith developed countries, and now India is often bracketed with developed countries.The two indigenously available energy sources – nuclear and renewables – cancontribute significantly. In the case of nuclear power, high safety standards have to beensured and the public needs to be assured about the reliability of those safety standards.In the case of renewables, storage capacity has to be developed so as to ensurecontinuous supply of electricity.4. Clean coal technologiesIndia has focused on both coal production technologies and coal combustiontechnologies to reduce carbon intensity of power generation.Coal production technologiesTechnology development in coal mining is mainly development of underground miningthat too at depth of over 300 m. This is a long-term process that requires explorationas well as mining equipment development. Given the importance of expanding supplyand the indifferent performance of Coal India Limited in increasing production, there isa need for inducting private sector investment in coal.The Central Mine Planning and Design Institute Ltd. (CMPDIL) needs to be strengthenedfor it to make greater R&D efforts and scale up its efforts to improve coal extractiontechnologies and methods, especially beyond 300 m depth.The second challenge is to establish more coal washeries to expand washery capacity.It would improve the quality for coal and efficiency of the consuming industries. Therehas been a very marginal increase in the coal washery capacity over the years. Onereason for this is that the system of coal pricing does not contain a sufficient premiumfor higher quality coal. Experts believe that India will need a coal washing facility of 250mt by 2016-17, entailing an investment of more than US$1,500 million.Clean coal combustion technologiesThe Office of the Principal Scientific Advisor to the Government of India sponsored astudy on “National Energy Map: Technology Vision 2030” in 2006. The study hasprojected that the preferred low-carbon power generation technologies, in order ofeconomic merit, are:65
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ADVANCES IN FOSSIL FUELTECHNOLOGIES
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ADVANCES IN FOSSIL FUELTECHNOLOGIES
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CONTENTSABBREVIATIONSiiiPART ONEREP
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ABBREVIATIONSAC : Alternating curre
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OECD : Organization for Economic Co
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IORGANIZATION OF THE WORKSHOPA. Bac
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D. Election of officersThe followin
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IIICONSIDERATION OF ISSUESA. Backgr
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emissions. Underground coal gasific
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800 MWe, a steam pressure of 300 kg
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• Materials development & manufac
- Page 24 and 25: Figure 1-5: Strategy for commercial
- Page 26 and 27: tonnes, the state-owned enterprise
- Page 28 and 29: • Ensuring not just easy FDI entr
- Page 30 and 31: MW ultra-supercritical units; and s
- Page 32 and 33: the captive generation capacity) on
- Page 34 and 35: and other financial institutions -
- Page 36 and 37: and higher efficiency power generat
- Page 38 and 39: energy technologies, which can enab
- Page 40 and 41: • Such massive financial inputs c
- Page 43 and 44: BASELINE REPORT ON FOSSIL FUEL TECH
- Page 45 and 46: B. General R&D climate in the count
- Page 47 and 48: a convenient way to envisage energy
- Page 49 and 50: to mature and become more cost-comp
- Page 51 and 52: emissions, at least relative to sin
- Page 53 and 54: The Ministry of Power (MoP), which
- Page 55 and 56: 3. Bio-energyBio-energy, widely ava
- Page 57 and 58: in such a canal will rotate at a lo
- Page 59 and 60: in tackling climate change. A one p
- Page 61 and 62: Advantages of supercritical plants
- Page 63 and 64: existing power plants but also to b
- Page 65 and 66: BASELINE REPORT ON FOREIGN DIRECT I
- Page 67 and 68: CEA at 598 mt. This is mainly due t
- Page 69 and 70: For India to maintain its momentum
- Page 71 and 72: Table 2-5: Electricity generation t
- Page 73: Growth, which submitted its interim
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- Page 79 and 80: Linking FDI to technology transferI
- Page 81 and 82: The total requirement of fund durin
- Page 83 and 84: Funding from multilateral agenciesM
- Page 85 and 86: cooperation will be essential in so
- Page 87: Planning Commission, Government of
- Page 90 and 91: ANNEX I:LIST OF PARTICIPANTSMr. A.K
- Page 92 and 93: Mr. S.C. Shrivastava, Joint Chief (
- Page 94 and 95: ANNEX II:PROGRAMME6 June 2012, Wedn
- Page 96 and 97: ANNEX III:AN OVERVIEW OF ADVANCED F
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- Page 104 and 105: Figure 3-5: Advancement of gas turb
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- Page 108 and 109: Compared with conventional power pl
- Page 110 and 111: Figure 3-14: Thermax coal gasificat
- Page 112 and 113: ANNEX VII:GE ENERGY AND ADVANCED FO
- Page 114 and 115: ANNEX VIII:SWOT ANALYSIS OF FOSSIL
- Page 116 and 117: By 2035, cumulative CO 2emissions f
- Page 118 and 119: • Falling prices of renewable ene
- Page 120 and 121: Figure 3-20: New advanced coal powe
- Page 122 and 123: ANNEX X:ENERGY CONSERVATION: ERDA
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Table 3-11: Energy cost and intensi
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300Figure 3-23: Trends in coal use
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C. Gaps in coal use efficiencyFigur
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ANNEX XII:FINANCING OF THE POWER SE
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With the entry of many private sect
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for future requirements should be t
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Short supply of coal has started af
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Figure 3-35: Life-cycle of technolo