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CHAPTER 4the development of additional port facilities at the Outer Harbour and the developmentof the North Quay rail loop and rail terminal.TABLE 4.25 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TRADE: FREMANTLE PORTYear Export Import Total('000 tonnes)1999-00 9 881 6 266 16 1462000-01 8 534 5 184 13 7182001-02 7 630 6 255 13 8852002-03 7 423 6 110 13 5332003-04 8 880 6 694 15 5752004-05 8 824 6 513 15 3372005-06 8 893 6 606 15 4992006-07 8 991 6 646 15 6362007-08 9 124 6 818 15 9412008-09 9 230 6 950 16 1812009-10 9 310 7 030 16 3402010-11 9 391 7 147 16 5372011-12 9 472 7 288 16 7602012-13 9 553 7 401 16 9542013-14 9 636 7 516 17 1522014-15 9 719 7 652 17 3712015-16 9 803 7 791 17 5942016-17 9 888 7 932 17 8202017-18 9 973 8 076 18 0492018-19 10 059 8 222 18 2822019-20 10 146 8 371 18 5182020-21 10 234 8 523 18 7572021-22 10 322 8 678 19 0002022-23 10 412 8 835 19 2472023-24 10 502 8 995 19 4972024-25 10 592 9 158 19 751Annual average growth rate (per cent)1994-95 to 1999-00 2.9 0.9 2.11999-00 to 2004-05 -2.2 0.8 -1.02004-05 to 2024-25 0.9 1.7 1.3*Numbers in Italic and bold are estimates and forecasts.The channel deepening project is expected not only to increase the port capacity tohandle large volume of containerised trade but it will also avoid large ships bypassingFremantle Port while on their way to Melbourne. This is the reason why FremantlePorts is planning to deepen the Inner Harbour channel from 12.2 metres to 14.2 metresbefore Melbourne Port completes its proposed channel deepening project.75
The capacity of Fremantle Port will increase to 1.2 million teus with the completion ofthe channel deepening project, and to 2.1 million teus with the development ofadditional port facilities at the Outer Harbour. The Outer Harbour is expected to handlethe excess cargo once the capacity of the Inner Harbour is fully utilised. Around $50million will be spent on the Inner Harbour channel deepening project and $600 millionon the development of new port facilities at the Outer Harbour.The development of the North Quay rail loop and rail terminal is expected to increaserail use to move containers to and from the Inner Harbour. Fremantle Ports is aiming tomove 30 per cent of its containerised trade by rail in the next ten years, mainly to reducethe present queuing time of trucks and congestion on roads linking to the port.Presently, private jetties are in operation in the Kwinana area for oil exports andimports. A few new jetties are expected to be constructed to facilitate non-containerisedtrade.OTHER PORTSAs mentioned in Chapter 1, other ports include all Australian ports excluding Brisbane,Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide and Fremantle ports. The main ports included in otherports are located in Cairns, Devonport, Burnie, Launceston, Townsville, Newcastle,Gladstone, Hobart, Rockhampton and Darwin.Containerised trade and ship visitsThe total containerised trade of other ports increased by 7.8 per cent a year in the lastfive years, from 357 000 teus in 1999-2000 to 521 000 teus in 2004-05. Exports andimports currently account for 47.7 and 52.3 per cent of the total containerised traderespectively. The trade is forecast to increase by 5.3 per cent a year over the next twentyyears to 1.5 million teus in 2024-25 (Figure 4.16 and Table 4.26).Containerised exports, which constitute 74.2 per cent of full containers and 25.8 percent of empty containers, are forecast to increase by 5.6 per cent a year in the nexttwenty years to 735 000 teus in 2024-25. Full container exports will increase by 5.3 percent a year to 521 000 teus in 2024-25, whereas empty container exports will increaseby 6.2 per cent to 214 000 teus in 2024-25.Containerised imports to other ports increased by 10.1 per cent a year in the last fiveyears to 272 000 teus in 2004-05. It is forecast to increase by 5.0 per cent per annumduring the forecast period to 723 000 teus in 2024-25. Containerised imports aredominated by full container imports with a share of 73.8 per cent in volume terms. Fulland empty container imports will increase respectively by 5.4 and 3.8 per cent a yearover the forecast period to 574 000 and 150 000 teus in 2024-25.International containerised trade accounts for 85.1 per cent of the total containerisedtrade. It is forecast to increase by 5.3 per cent a year over the next twenty years to 1.3million teus in 2024-25 (Table 4.27). International containerised exports will increaseby 5.6 per cent a year to 641 000 teus in 2024-25 and international containerised76
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Bureau of Transport and Regional Ec
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FOREWORDThis report presents the na
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Other ships........................
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Table 4.3Table 4.4Proportion of 40-
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Table I.3Estimated regression stati
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Figure 4.12Figure 4.13Non-container
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYBACKGROUNDInternat
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to 52 to 55 per cent in Brisbane, S
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containerised trade is forecast to
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next twenty years to 12.6 million t
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The total containerised trade of Po
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Other ports‘Other ports’ in thi
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CRUISE SHIPPING FORECASTSAustralia
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elation to the movement of containe
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CHAPTER 2 FREIGHT FORECASTING MODEL
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CHAPTER 2FIGURE 2.1 CONTAINERISED T
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CHAPTER 2FIGURE 2.3 NON-CONTAINERIS
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CHAPTER 2The exchange rate variable
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CHAPTER 2volume of containerised im
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CHAPTER 2appreciation (depreciation
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CHAPTER 2exports by 0.2 per cent in
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CHAPTER 2on the price of sea travel
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CHAPTER 3 FREIGHT MODELLING DATA AN
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CHAPTER 3containerised imports, but
Page 54 and 55: CHAPTER 3containers which are suita
Page 56: CHAPTER 3Non-container vessel sizeT
Page 59 and 60: agricultural commodities fell becau
Page 61 and 62: container imports and 2.5 per cent
Page 63 and 64: TABLE 4.2 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERIS
Page 65 and 66: FIGURE 4.3 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE,
Page 67 and 68: PBC is also developing an additiona
Page 69 and 70: FIGURE 4.4 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND
Page 71 and 72: TABLE 4.6CONTAINERISED EXPORTS AND
Page 73 and 74: TABLE 4.8 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CON
Page 75 and 76: TABLE 4.9 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TRA
Page 77 and 78: increase by 1.3 per cent a year ove
Page 79 and 80: FIGURE 4.7 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND
Page 81 and 82: per cent), Hong Kong (4.4 per cent)
Page 83 and 84: TABLE 4.13 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CO
Page 85 and 86: the Australian economy and the depr
Page 87 and 88: facilitate the movement of containe
Page 89 and 90: FIGURE 4.11 CONTAINERISED TRADE, 19
Page 91 and 92: TABLE 4.17 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERI
Page 93 and 94: 55.3 per cent in 2003-04 largely du
Page 95 and 96: TABLE 4.20 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAI
Page 97 and 98: it accounts for 15 per cent of outb
Page 99 and 100: TABLE 4.21 CONTAINERISED EXPORTS AN
Page 103: TABLE 4.24 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TR
Page 107 and 108: 2024-25, whereas international non-
Page 111 and 112: TABLE 4.29 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TR
Page 113 and 114: 25. International containerised exp
Page 115 and 116: TABLE 4.32 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERI
Page 117 and 118: FIGURE 4.19 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE
Page 119 and 120: TABLE 4.35 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAI
Page 122 and 123: CHAPTER 5 FORECASTS OF CRUISE PASSE
Page 124 and 125: Chapter 5Cruising typesThe cruising
Page 126 and 127: Chapter 510.0 per cent each and the
Page 128 and 129: Chapter 5Similarly, ship capacity o
Page 130 and 131: Chapter 5FIGURE 5.3 SHORT-TERM SEA
Page 132 and 133: APPENDIX IESTIMATED REGRESSION STAT
Page 134 and 135: APPENDIX IITABLE I.3Variable by por
Page 136 and 137: APPENDIX IITABLE I.5Variable by por
Page 138: APPENDIX IITABLE I.7Variable by por
Page 141 and 142: DVB 2004, The Cruise Industry and i
Page 144: ABBREVIATIONSABS Australian Bureau
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