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CHAPTER 4TABLE 4.33 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CONTAINERS, CONTAINER NUMBERS, AVERAGETEUS PER SHIP AND CONTAINER SHIP VISITS: ALL PORTSYear Proportion of Container numbers Average teus Ship40-foot (%) 20-foot 40-foot Total per ship visits(per cent) (‘000)1999-00 31 1 850 831 2 682 NA NA2000-01 33 1 815 910 2 725 735 49482001-02 33 1 978 975 2 953 794 49502002-03 36 2 087 1 184 3 272 891 50032003-04 39 2 157 1 351 3 508 983 49412004-05 41 2 181 1 495 3 676 979 52812005-06 41 2 242 1 569 3 811 987 54532006-07 42 2 333 1 668 4 001 992 57152007-08 42 2 514 1 837 4 351 1 000 61872008-09 43 2 663 1 989 4 652 1 009 65822009-10 43 2 739 2 089 4 828 1 017 68042010-11 44 2 855 2 227 5 082 1 025 71312011-12 44 2 981 2 379 5 360 1 034 74892012-13 45 3 074 2 511 5 585 1 042 77732013-14 46 3 190 2 667 5 857 1 049 81262014-15 46 3 305 2 830 6 135 1 057 84792015-16 47 3 422 3 002 6 424 1 066 88452016-17 47 3 543 3 185 6 728 1 074 92302017-18 48 3 667 3 379 7 047 1 082 96322018-19 49 3 795 3 586 7 381 1 091 10 0552019-20 49 3 927 3 806 7 733 1 099 10 4982020-21 50 4 062 4 040 8 102 1 108 10 9632021-22 51 4 200 4 290 8 490 1 116 11 4512022-23 51 4 343 4 555 8 898 1 124 11 9642023-24 52 4 489 4 837 9 326 1 133 12 5022024-25 53 4 638 5 138 9 776 1 141 13 067Annual average growth rate (per cent)1994-95 to 1999-00 NA NA NA NA NA NA1999-00 to 2004-05 5.6 3.3 12.5 6.5 NA NA2004-05 to 2024-25 1.3 3.8 6.4 5.0 0.8 4.6NA = Not available.*Numbers in bold are forecasts.87
FIGURE 4.19 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE, 1993-94 TO 2024-25: ALL PORTS1400Volume (million tonnes)12001000800600400200ActualForecast01993-941995-961997-981999-002001-022003-042005-062007-082009-102011-122013-142015-162017-182019-202021-222023-24Export Import TotalOTHER SHIPSAs mentioned in an earlier chapter of this study, forecasts of other ship visits aredeveloped using average growth from the previous normal years (1998-99 to 2001-02)and are presented in Table 4.36. This forecasting technique is used because of thedifficulty in identifying different types of ships in the group of other ships, and infinding appropriate explanatory variables to explain the variation in other ship visits.The number of other ship visits is forecast to increase by 1.8 per cent a year in the nexttwenty years, from nearly 2 800 in 2004-05 to nearly 4 000 in 2024-25.88
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Bureau of Transport and Regional Ec
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FOREWORDThis report presents the na
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Other ships........................
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Table 4.3Table 4.4Proportion of 40-
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Table I.3Estimated regression stati
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Figure 4.12Figure 4.13Non-container
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYBACKGROUNDInternat
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to 52 to 55 per cent in Brisbane, S
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containerised trade is forecast to
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next twenty years to 12.6 million t
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The total containerised trade of Po
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Other ports‘Other ports’ in thi
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CRUISE SHIPPING FORECASTSAustralia
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elation to the movement of containe
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CHAPTER 2 FREIGHT FORECASTING MODEL
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CHAPTER 2FIGURE 2.1 CONTAINERISED T
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CHAPTER 2FIGURE 2.3 NON-CONTAINERIS
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CHAPTER 2The exchange rate variable
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CHAPTER 2volume of containerised im
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CHAPTER 2appreciation (depreciation
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CHAPTER 2exports by 0.2 per cent in
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CHAPTER 2on the price of sea travel
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CHAPTER 3 FREIGHT MODELLING DATA AN
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CHAPTER 3containerised imports, but
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CHAPTER 3containers which are suita
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CHAPTER 3Non-container vessel sizeT
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agricultural commodities fell becau
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container imports and 2.5 per cent
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TABLE 4.2 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERIS
Page 65 and 66: FIGURE 4.3 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE,
Page 67 and 68: PBC is also developing an additiona
Page 69 and 70: FIGURE 4.4 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND
Page 71 and 72: TABLE 4.6CONTAINERISED EXPORTS AND
Page 73 and 74: TABLE 4.8 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CON
Page 75 and 76: TABLE 4.9 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TRA
Page 77 and 78: increase by 1.3 per cent a year ove
Page 79 and 80: FIGURE 4.7 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND
Page 81 and 82: per cent), Hong Kong (4.4 per cent)
Page 83 and 84: TABLE 4.13 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CO
Page 85 and 86: the Australian economy and the depr
Page 87 and 88: facilitate the movement of containe
Page 89 and 90: FIGURE 4.11 CONTAINERISED TRADE, 19
Page 91 and 92: TABLE 4.17 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERI
Page 93 and 94: 55.3 per cent in 2003-04 largely du
Page 95 and 96: TABLE 4.20 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAI
Page 97 and 98: it accounts for 15 per cent of outb
Page 99 and 100: TABLE 4.21 CONTAINERISED EXPORTS AN
Page 103 and 104: TABLE 4.24 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TR
Page 105 and 106: The capacity of Fremantle Port will
Page 107 and 108: 2024-25, whereas international non-
Page 111 and 112: TABLE 4.29 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TR
Page 113 and 114: 25. International containerised exp
Page 115: TABLE 4.32 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERI
Page 119 and 120: TABLE 4.35 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAI
Page 122 and 123: CHAPTER 5 FORECASTS OF CRUISE PASSE
Page 124 and 125: Chapter 5Cruising typesThe cruising
Page 126 and 127: Chapter 510.0 per cent each and the
Page 128 and 129: Chapter 5Similarly, ship capacity o
Page 130 and 131: Chapter 5FIGURE 5.3 SHORT-TERM SEA
Page 132 and 133: APPENDIX IESTIMATED REGRESSION STAT
Page 134 and 135: APPENDIX IITABLE I.3Variable by por
Page 136 and 137: APPENDIX IITABLE I.5Variable by por
Page 138: APPENDIX IITABLE I.7Variable by por
Page 141 and 142: DVB 2004, The Cruise Industry and i
Page 144: ABBREVIATIONSABS Australian Bureau
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