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PDF: 1336 KB - Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional ...

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FIGURE 4.19 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE, 1993-94 TO 2024-25: ALL PORTS1400Volume (million tonnes)12001000800600400200ActualForecast01993-941995-961997-981999-002001-022003-042005-062007-082009-102011-122013-142015-162017-182019-202021-222023-24Export Import TotalOTHER SHIPSAs mentioned in an earlier chapter <strong>of</strong> this study, forecasts <strong>of</strong> other ship visits aredeveloped using average growth from the previous normal years (1998-99 to 2001-02)<strong>and</strong> are presented in Table 4.36. This forecasting technique is used because <strong>of</strong> thedifficulty in identifying different types <strong>of</strong> ships in the group <strong>of</strong> other ships, <strong>and</strong> infinding appropriate explanatory variables to explain the variation in other ship visits.The number <strong>of</strong> other ship visits is forecast to increase by 1.8 per cent a year in the nexttwenty years, from nearly 2 800 in 2004-05 to nearly 4 000 in 2024-25.88

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