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CHAPTER 4Non-containerised trade and ship visitsThe volume of Sydney’s non-containerised exports is relatively small. Bulk liquids (oilincluded) and gases account for around 96.0 per cent of the total non-containerisedexports. Half of the non-containerised exports are destined for overseas and theremainder to other Australian ports.Non-containerised exports declined by 1.7 per cent in the last five years, from 886 000tonnes in 1999-2000 to 813 000 tonnes in 2004-05 (Figure 4.6 and Table 4.9). This islargely due to a decline in fuel exports to overseas markets, mainly to Asia.FIGURE 4.6 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE, 1993-94 TO 2024-25: SYDNEY PORTSVolume (million tonnes)20161284ActualForecast01993-941995-961997-981999-002001-022003-042005-062007-082009-102011-122013-142015-162017-182019-202021-222023-24Export Import TotalThe establishment of low cost oil refineries in Asia has adversely affected fuel exportsto Asia. Also, the practice of exporting grains in containers has a negative influence onnon-containerised exports. Containerised export of cereals has increased by 50 per centin recent years.Sydney Ports’ total non-containerised trade increased by 0.7 per cent a year in the lastfive years to 14.5 million tonnes in 2004-05. Imports dominate the total noncontainerisedtrade with 94.4 per cent share. The main non-containerised exportcommodities are animal feeds (53.0 per cent), iron and steel (13.0 per cent), petroleumand petroleum products (7.0 per cent), metalliferous ores and metal scrap (7.0 per cent),and crude fertilizers and crude minerals (5.0 per cent). The main non-containerisedimport commodities are petroleum and petroleum products (89.0 per cent) and gasesnatural and manufactured (2.0 per cent).The downward trend in Sydney’s non-containerised exports is expected to continue inthe future. The volume of non-containerised exports is forecast to decline by 11.4 percent a year over the next twenty years to 71 000 tonnes in 2024-25.45
TABLE 4.9 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TRADE, AVERAGE TONNES PER SHIP AND SHIPVISITS: SYDNEY PORTSYear Trade Average Ship visitsExport Import Total(‘000 tonnes)tonnes pership1999-00 886 13 138 14 024 8 964 1 5642000-01 1 082 13 412 14 494 9 542 1 5192001-02 839 12 793 13 632 9 337 1 4602002-03 534 12 879 13 413 9 087 1 4762003-04 728 13 520 14 248 8 693 1 6392004-05 813 13 686 14 500 8 780 1 6512005-06 721 13 705 14 426 8 868 1 6272006-07 652 13 825 14 477 8 956 1 6162007-08 576 14 479 15 055 9 046 1 6642008-09 511 14 877 15 388 9 136 1 6842009-10 454 14 880 15 334 9 228 1 6622010-11 403 15 129 15 532 9 320 1 6662011-12 356 15 439 15 795 9 413 1 6782012-13 315 15 591 15 907 9 507 1 6732013-14 280 15 839 16 119 9 602 1 6792014-15 247 16 085 16 333 9 699 1 6842015-16 218 16 336 16 554 9 795 1 6902016-17 193 16 590 16 783 9 893 1 6962017-18 170 16 848 17 018 9 992 1 7032018-19 150 17 110 17 260 10 092 1 7102019-20 133 17 376 17 509 10 193 1 7182020-21 117 17 646 17 764 10 295 1 7252021-22 104 17 921 18 025 10 398 1 7332022-23 92 18 200 18 291 10 502 1 7422023-24 81 18 483 18 564 10 607 1 7502024-25 71 18 770 18 842 10 713 1 759Annual average growth rate (per cent)1994-95 to 1999-00 -3.7 3.8 3.2 NA 20.11999-00 to 2004-05 -1.7 0.8 0.7 -0.4 1.12004-05 to 2024-25 -11.4 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.3NA = Data are not available.*Numbers in bold are forecasts.46
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Bureau of Transport and Regional Ec
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FOREWORDThis report presents the na
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Other ships........................
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Table 4.3Table 4.4Proportion of 40-
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Table I.3Estimated regression stati
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Figure 4.12Figure 4.13Non-container
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYBACKGROUNDInternat
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to 52 to 55 per cent in Brisbane, S
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containerised trade is forecast to
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next twenty years to 12.6 million t
Page 24 and 25: The total containerised trade of Po
Page 26 and 27: Other ports‘Other ports’ in thi
Page 28: CRUISE SHIPPING FORECASTSAustralia
Page 31 and 32: elation to the movement of containe
Page 34 and 35: CHAPTER 2 FREIGHT FORECASTING MODEL
Page 36 and 37: CHAPTER 2FIGURE 2.1 CONTAINERISED T
Page 38 and 39: CHAPTER 2FIGURE 2.3 NON-CONTAINERIS
Page 40 and 41: CHAPTER 2The exchange rate variable
Page 42 and 43: CHAPTER 2volume of containerised im
Page 44 and 45: CHAPTER 2appreciation (depreciation
Page 46 and 47: CHAPTER 2exports by 0.2 per cent in
Page 48 and 49: CHAPTER 2on the price of sea travel
Page 50 and 51: CHAPTER 3 FREIGHT MODELLING DATA AN
Page 52 and 53: CHAPTER 3containerised imports, but
Page 54 and 55: CHAPTER 3containers which are suita
Page 56: CHAPTER 3Non-container vessel sizeT
Page 59 and 60: agricultural commodities fell becau
Page 61 and 62: container imports and 2.5 per cent
Page 63 and 64: TABLE 4.2 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERIS
Page 65 and 66: FIGURE 4.3 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE,
Page 67 and 68: PBC is also developing an additiona
Page 69 and 70: FIGURE 4.4 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND
Page 71 and 72: TABLE 4.6CONTAINERISED EXPORTS AND
Page 73: TABLE 4.8 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CON
Page 77 and 78: increase by 1.3 per cent a year ove
Page 79 and 80: FIGURE 4.7 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND
Page 81 and 82: per cent), Hong Kong (4.4 per cent)
Page 83 and 84: TABLE 4.13 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CO
Page 85 and 86: the Australian economy and the depr
Page 87 and 88: facilitate the movement of containe
Page 89 and 90: FIGURE 4.11 CONTAINERISED TRADE, 19
Page 91 and 92: TABLE 4.17 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERI
Page 93 and 94: 55.3 per cent in 2003-04 largely du
Page 95 and 96: TABLE 4.20 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAI
Page 97 and 98: it accounts for 15 per cent of outb
Page 99 and 100: TABLE 4.21 CONTAINERISED EXPORTS AN
Page 103 and 104: TABLE 4.24 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TR
Page 105 and 106: The capacity of Fremantle Port will
Page 107 and 108: 2024-25, whereas international non-
Page 111 and 112: TABLE 4.29 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TR
Page 113 and 114: 25. International containerised exp
Page 115 and 116: TABLE 4.32 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERI
Page 117 and 118: FIGURE 4.19 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE
Page 119 and 120: TABLE 4.35 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAI
Page 122 and 123: CHAPTER 5 FORECASTS OF CRUISE PASSE
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Chapter 5Cruising typesThe cruising
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Chapter 510.0 per cent each and the
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Chapter 5Similarly, ship capacity o
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Chapter 5FIGURE 5.3 SHORT-TERM SEA
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APPENDIX IESTIMATED REGRESSION STAT
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APPENDIX IITABLE I.3Variable by por
Page 136 and 137:
Page 138:
Page 141 and 142:
DVB 2004, The Cruise Industry and i
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ABBREVIATIONSABS Australian Bureau
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