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CHAPTER 4TABLE 4.18 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CONTAINERS, CONTAINER NUMBERS,AVERAGE TEUS PER SHIP AND CONTAINER SHIP VISITS: PORT ADELAIDEYear Proportion of Container numbers ("000) Average teus Ship40-foot (%) 20-foot 40-foot Total per ship visits(per cent) (‘000)1999-00 21 76 20 96 535 2162000-01 25 80 26 107 572 2332001-02 27 83 31 114 640 2272002-03 28 84 33 117 663 2262003-04 27 99 36 134 716 2372004-05 26 100 35 135 738 2312005-06 26 105 38 143 746 2422006-07 27 110 40 151 753 2532007-08 27 119 44 163 761 2722008-09 28 128 49 177 768 2942009-10 28 135 53 188 776 3102010-11 28 142 56 198 784 3242011-12 29 148 60 208 792 3392012-13 29 154 64 217 800 3522013-14 30 159 67 227 808 3642014-15 30 165 71 236 816 3772015-16 31 170 75 246 824 3902016-17 31 176 79 256 832 4032017-18 32 182 84 266 840 4172018-19 32 188 89 277 849 4312019-20 33 195 94 288 857 4462020-21 33 201 99 300 866 4612021-22 33 208 105 312 875 4772022-23 34 214 110 325 883 4932023-24 35 222 117 338 892 5102024-25 35 229 123 352 901 527Annual average growth rate (per cent)1994-95 to 1999-00 NA NA NA NA NA NA1999-00 to 2004-05 4.6 5.7 12.1 7.2 6.7 1.42004-05 to 2024-25 1.5 4.2 6.5 4.9 1.0 4.2NA = Not available.*Numbers in bold are forecasts.Non-containerised trade and ship visitsPort Adelaide handled 7.9 million tonnes of non-containerised trade in 2004-05 (Figure4.12 and Table 4.19). About 60.3 per cent of the trade were imports which surged by63
55.3 per cent in 2003-04 largely due to Mobil closing its oil import facility at PortStanvac. Oil is now imported through Port Adelaide. Otherwise, oil imported at PortAdelaide has always remained flat.FIGURE 4.12 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE, 1993-94 TO 2024-25: PORT ADELAIDE16ActualForecastVolume (million tonnes)128401993-941995-961997-981999-002001-022003-042005-062007-082009-102011-122013-142015-162017-182019-202021-222023-24Export Import TotalNon-containerised exports increased by 7.9 per cent a year in the last five years to 3.2million tonnes in 2004-05 (Table 4.19). They are forecast to increase by 3.6 per cent ayear over the next twenty years to 6.4 million tonnes in 2024-25, mainly due to anexpected increase in Australia’s export competitiveness resulting from the depreciationof the Australian dollar against the US dollar over the forecast period. The annualaverage exchange rate is forecast to depreciate from US$0.74 per Australian dollar in2004-05 to US$0.59 per Australian dollar in 2024-25.Non-containerised imports increased more rapidly than non-containerised exports in thelast five years. Imports increased by 15.1 per cent a year to 4.8 million tonnes in 2004-05, largely due increase in oil import following to Mobil closing its oil import facility atPort Stanvac. Hence, such strong growth will not be expected during the next twentyyears. Moreover, expected slow down in Australia’s economic growth and depreciationof the Australian dollar will dampen imports. Australia’s real GNE, which is the maindriver of imports in Adelaide, is forecast to rise by 2.7 per cent over the forecast periodas compared with a growth rate of 4.2 per cent in the last five years. Non-containerisedimports are expected to increase by 3.3 per cent a year over the forecast period to 9.2million tonnes in 2024-25.Following positive expected growth in non-containerised exports and imports, total noncontainerisedtrade is forecast to increase by 3.5 per cent a year over the next twentyyears to 15.7 million tonnes in 2024-25.In 2003-04, international non-containerised trade accounted for 67.4 per cent of noncontainerisedexports and 30.7 per cent of non-containerised imports. It is forecast toincrease by 3.6 per cent a year over the next twenty years, from 3.0 million tonnes in2004-05 to 6.1 million tonnes in 2024-25 (Table 4.20).64
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Bureau of Transport and Regional Ec
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FOREWORDThis report presents the na
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Other ships........................
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Table 4.3Table 4.4Proportion of 40-
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Table I.3Estimated regression stati
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Figure 4.12Figure 4.13Non-container
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYBACKGROUNDInternat
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to 52 to 55 per cent in Brisbane, S
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containerised trade is forecast to
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next twenty years to 12.6 million t
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The total containerised trade of Po
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Other ports‘Other ports’ in thi
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CRUISE SHIPPING FORECASTSAustralia
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elation to the movement of containe
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CHAPTER 2 FREIGHT FORECASTING MODEL
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CHAPTER 2FIGURE 2.1 CONTAINERISED T
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CHAPTER 2FIGURE 2.3 NON-CONTAINERIS
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CHAPTER 2The exchange rate variable
Page 42 and 43: CHAPTER 2volume of containerised im
Page 44 and 45: CHAPTER 2appreciation (depreciation
Page 46 and 47: CHAPTER 2exports by 0.2 per cent in
Page 48 and 49: CHAPTER 2on the price of sea travel
Page 50 and 51: CHAPTER 3 FREIGHT MODELLING DATA AN
Page 52 and 53: CHAPTER 3containerised imports, but
Page 54 and 55: CHAPTER 3containers which are suita
Page 56: CHAPTER 3Non-container vessel sizeT
Page 59 and 60: agricultural commodities fell becau
Page 61 and 62: container imports and 2.5 per cent
Page 63 and 64: TABLE 4.2 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERIS
Page 65 and 66: FIGURE 4.3 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE,
Page 67 and 68: PBC is also developing an additiona
Page 69 and 70: FIGURE 4.4 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND
Page 71 and 72: TABLE 4.6CONTAINERISED EXPORTS AND
Page 73 and 74: TABLE 4.8 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CON
Page 75 and 76: TABLE 4.9 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TRA
Page 77 and 78: increase by 1.3 per cent a year ove
Page 79 and 80: FIGURE 4.7 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND
Page 81 and 82: per cent), Hong Kong (4.4 per cent)
Page 83 and 84: TABLE 4.13 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CO
Page 85 and 86: the Australian economy and the depr
Page 87 and 88: facilitate the movement of containe
Page 89 and 90: FIGURE 4.11 CONTAINERISED TRADE, 19
Page 91: TABLE 4.17 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERI
Page 95 and 96: TABLE 4.20 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAI
Page 97 and 98: it accounts for 15 per cent of outb
Page 99 and 100: TABLE 4.21 CONTAINERISED EXPORTS AN
Page 103 and 104: TABLE 4.24 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TR
Page 105 and 106: The capacity of Fremantle Port will
Page 107 and 108: 2024-25, whereas international non-
Page 111 and 112: TABLE 4.29 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TR
Page 113 and 114: 25. International containerised exp
Page 115 and 116: TABLE 4.32 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERI
Page 117 and 118: FIGURE 4.19 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE
Page 119 and 120: TABLE 4.35 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAI
Page 122 and 123: CHAPTER 5 FORECASTS OF CRUISE PASSE
Page 124 and 125: Chapter 5Cruising typesThe cruising
Page 126 and 127: Chapter 510.0 per cent each and the
Page 128 and 129: Chapter 5Similarly, ship capacity o
Page 130 and 131: Chapter 5FIGURE 5.3 SHORT-TERM SEA
Page 132 and 133: APPENDIX IESTIMATED REGRESSION STAT
Page 134 and 135: APPENDIX IITABLE I.3Variable by por
Page 136 and 137: APPENDIX IITABLE I.5Variable by por
Page 138: APPENDIX IITABLE I.7Variable by por
Page 141 and 142: DVB 2004, The Cruise Industry and i
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ABBREVIATIONSABS Australian Bureau
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