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CHAPTER 4The main export commodities are grain, general cargo, gypsum, vegetables, legumes,oilseeds, scrap metal, concentrates, lead, zinc, copper, uranium, salt, fruit, cars, stockfeed, timber, soda ash and iron and steel; whereas the main import commodities arepetroleum, gas, general cargo, fertilisers, iron and steel, sulphur, chemicals and cars.The main fifteen export destination countries are New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, Egypt,the United Kingdom, Canada, Indonesia, United Arab Emirates, China, Malaysia,Japan, Bangladesh, South Korea, Pakistan, Thailand and Kuwait; whereas the mainfifteen import origin countries are Singapore, the USA – West Coast, Japan, Canada –West Coast, Malaysia, China, New Zealand, Qatar, South Korea, Bahrain, Belgium,Germany, Indonesia, India and France.Around 45 per cent of Adelaide’s total exports are presently shipped through MelbournePort, as Adelaide does not have direct shipping services to North America and NorthAsia. This also adversely influences Adelaide’s imports.Non-containerised trade consists of heavy and low-value commodities, whereascontainerised trade consists of lighter and high-value commodities. In 2003-04, noncontainerisedtrade presently accounted for 55 per cent of outbound sea trade volumeand 71 per cent of inbound sea trade volume. However, it accounted for 15 per cent ofoutbound sea trade value and 26 per cent of inbound sea trade value (Figure 4.10).FIGURE 4.10 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND AND INBOUND SEA TRADE VOLUME ANDVALUE, 2003-04: PORT ADELAIDEOutbound sea freightInbound sea freight100100Cargo share (per cent)755025Cargo share (per cent)7550250VolumeValue0VolumeValueContainerisedNon-containerisedContainerisedNon-containerisedContainerised trade and ship visitsTotal containerised trade of Adelaide Port increased by 8.1 per cent a year in the lastfive years to 171 000 teus in 2004-05 (Figure 4.11 and Table 4.16). Exports account for55.0 per cent of total containerised trade and the remaining 45.0 per cent are imports.59
FIGURE 4.11 CONTAINERISED TRADE, 1993-94 TO 2024-25: PORT ADELAIDE500450Volume ('000 teus)400350300250200150ActualForecast1005001993-941995-961997-981999-002001-022003-042005-062007-082009-102011-122013-142015-162017-182019-202021-222023-24Export Import TotalTotal containerised trade of Adelaide Port is forecast to increase by 5.3 per cent a yearover the next twenty years to 475 000 teus in 2024-25.Adelaide Port’s total containerised exports increased by 8.0 per cent a year in the lastfive years, from 64 000 teus in 1999-2000 to 94 000 teus in 2004-05. They are forecastto increase by 5.6 per cent a year in the next twenty years to 278 000 teus in 2024-25.At present, 84.8 per cent of the total containerised exports are full container exports,whereas the remaining 15.2 per cent are empty container exports. Full container exportsincreased by 7.6 per cent a year in the last five years and are expected to increase byonly 5.7 per cent a year over the next twenty years to 241 000 teus in 2024-25.The lower growth rate during the forecast period is a result of the expectation that theeconomy of Australia’s main export destination countries will grow at a rate slightlylower than the rate of growth observed during the last decade. It is also a result of fewshipping services with overseas markets.Adelaide’s empty container export was 14 000 teus in 2004-05. In Australia,Southbound (import) ships passing through Adelaide are completely filled with cargoes.There is no space to export empty containers on these ships. Hence, empty containersare generally moved to Melbourne by rail.The empty container exports will increase by 4.9 per cent a year in the next twentyyears to 37 000 teus in 2024-25.Containerised imports through Adelaide Port increased by 8.3 per cent a year in the lastfive years, from 52 000 teus in 1999-2000 to 77 000 teus in 2004-05. They are forecastto increase by 4.8 per cent per annum during the forecast period to 197 000 teus in2024-25. Both full and empty container imports which account for 52.5 and 47.5 percent of the containerised imports respectively will increase by 5.1 and 4.5 per cent ayear during the same period.60
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Bureau of Transport and Regional Ec
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FOREWORDThis report presents the na
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Other ships........................
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Table 4.3Table 4.4Proportion of 40-
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Table I.3Estimated regression stati
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Figure 4.12Figure 4.13Non-container
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYBACKGROUNDInternat
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to 52 to 55 per cent in Brisbane, S
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containerised trade is forecast to
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next twenty years to 12.6 million t
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The total containerised trade of Po
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Other ports‘Other ports’ in thi
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CRUISE SHIPPING FORECASTSAustralia
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elation to the movement of containe
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CHAPTER 2 FREIGHT FORECASTING MODEL
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CHAPTER 2FIGURE 2.1 CONTAINERISED T
Page 38 and 39: CHAPTER 2FIGURE 2.3 NON-CONTAINERIS
Page 40 and 41: CHAPTER 2The exchange rate variable
Page 42 and 43: CHAPTER 2volume of containerised im
Page 44 and 45: CHAPTER 2appreciation (depreciation
Page 46 and 47: CHAPTER 2exports by 0.2 per cent in
Page 48 and 49: CHAPTER 2on the price of sea travel
Page 50 and 51: CHAPTER 3 FREIGHT MODELLING DATA AN
Page 52 and 53: CHAPTER 3containerised imports, but
Page 54 and 55: CHAPTER 3containers which are suita
Page 56: CHAPTER 3Non-container vessel sizeT
Page 59 and 60: agricultural commodities fell becau
Page 61 and 62: container imports and 2.5 per cent
Page 63 and 64: TABLE 4.2 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERIS
Page 65 and 66: FIGURE 4.3 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE,
Page 67 and 68: PBC is also developing an additiona
Page 69 and 70: FIGURE 4.4 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND
Page 71 and 72: TABLE 4.6CONTAINERISED EXPORTS AND
Page 73 and 74: TABLE 4.8 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CON
Page 75 and 76: TABLE 4.9 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TRA
Page 77 and 78: increase by 1.3 per cent a year ove
Page 79 and 80: FIGURE 4.7 CARGO SHARES IN OUTBOUND
Page 81 and 82: per cent), Hong Kong (4.4 per cent)
Page 83 and 84: TABLE 4.13 PROPORTION OF 40-FOOT CO
Page 85 and 86: the Australian economy and the depr
Page 87: facilitate the movement of containe
Page 91 and 92: TABLE 4.17 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERI
Page 93 and 94: 55.3 per cent in 2003-04 largely du
Page 95 and 96: TABLE 4.20 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAI
Page 97 and 98: it accounts for 15 per cent of outb
Page 99 and 100: TABLE 4.21 CONTAINERISED EXPORTS AN
Page 103 and 104: TABLE 4.24 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TR
Page 105 and 106: The capacity of Fremantle Port will
Page 107 and 108: 2024-25, whereas international non-
Page 111 and 112: TABLE 4.29 NON-CONTAINERISED SEA TR
Page 113 and 114: 25. International containerised exp
Page 115 and 116: TABLE 4.32 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINERI
Page 117 and 118: FIGURE 4.19 NON-CONTAINERISED TRADE
Page 119 and 120: TABLE 4.35 INTERNATIONAL NON-CONTAI
Page 122 and 123: CHAPTER 5 FORECASTS OF CRUISE PASSE
Page 124 and 125: Chapter 5Cruising typesThe cruising
Page 126 and 127: Chapter 510.0 per cent each and the
Page 128 and 129: Chapter 5Similarly, ship capacity o
Page 130 and 131: Chapter 5FIGURE 5.3 SHORT-TERM SEA
Page 132 and 133: APPENDIX IESTIMATED REGRESSION STAT
Page 134 and 135: APPENDIX IITABLE I.3Variable by por
Page 136 and 137: APPENDIX IITABLE I.5Variable by por
Page 138:
APPENDIX IITABLE I.7Variable by por
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DVB 2004, The Cruise Industry and i
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ABBREVIATIONSABS Australian Bureau
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