MARKETRisk management and the futureProperty management requires long-term strategic decisionsIn the short-term there is limited potential to influence financialresults. A great deal of energy is being devoted to managementissues to influence the financial results in the longterm. One example is the development of in-house energysolutions to reduce costs. <strong>Akademiska</strong> <strong>Hus</strong> has long leases,providing stable income. The operating costs are in the shorttermregarded as fixed whilst maintenance costs are to a largeextent variable and can be reduced to counteract a fall inprofits or increase in vacant space.With effect from the 2007 <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong>, <strong>Akademiska</strong> <strong>Hus</strong> will not publishprofit forecasts. The reason for this change is that the <strong>Akademiska</strong><strong>Hus</strong> <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> is part of the bond prospectus that falls under newEU rules. If an issuer chooses to include a profit forecast, the prospectusmust include an account of the most important assumptions that formthe basis for the forecast and the prospectus must include a statementfrom the auditor. Following discussions with the Company’s Audit Committee,the conclusion is that examination and verification of theassumptions that make up the profit forecast would be far too extensive.Profit forecasts have therefore been excluded from the <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong>.Certain information on prospects for the future will, however, continueto be provided under the various sub-headings covering the mostimportant areas.purpose and are not in a broad sense general. Investments in speciallyadapted premises take place once a long lease that justifies the investmenthas been signed. Purchases and sales of properties take place tocounteract and deal with the strategic risk in the property portfolio.Operating risksThe strategy of owning and managing properties also entails operatingrisks, which <strong>Akademiska</strong> <strong>Hus</strong> works actively to handle. The term operatingrisk refers mainly to the risk of financial consequences and consequencesrelated to trust which ensue from shortcomings in internal routinesand systems. The handling of operating risks is aimed at identifying,assessing, monitoring and reducing those risks. The risks areassessed and handled based on their expected consequences and thedegree of probability that they could occur. Internal directives and guidelinesform the basis for risk management within <strong>Akademiska</strong> <strong>Hus</strong>. Asopposed to market risks, the handling generally is directed more atreducing the risks. Corporate culture is critical in ensuring that internalcontrols are a normal and necessary operating prerequisite. An importantfactor in handling the operating risks is a standardised and processorientedworking approach. The essential elements of property managementare process-oriented and include control points. Compliancewith the established working approach is revised on an ongoing basisas part of the quality assurance process.Strategic risk – owning and managing properties<strong>Akademiska</strong> <strong>Hus</strong> is affected by the government’s education policy aswell as macroeconomic factors such as inflation, employment andexpansion in society.Key risks also take the form of property investments and transactions.Major investments in creative environments for know-how andresearch have formed the <strong>Akademiska</strong> <strong>Hus</strong> campuses. In this respectthe property portfolio is a strategic risk. The campuses have a specificThe operating risks that need to be handled can be divided into• Administrative – insufficient or unsuitable routines, lack of controlsand reporting, human error, lack of expertise, an unclear allocationof responsibility.• IT – incorrect data systems, information security, stoppage risks• Legal – sub-standard documentation, incorrect agreementsThe Group’s assets are insured in line with the assessed insurancerequirements.30 <strong>Akademiska</strong> <strong>Hus</strong> <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> 2007 | Risk management and the future
of energy system and form of energy. <strong>Akademiska</strong> <strong>Hus</strong> is involved inmaking a continuous assessment and phasing out of hazardous substancesin goods and building products.The increasingly tangible climate deterioration in recent yearsmeans that new types of risks must be taken into account. Extremeweather situations make different demands on buildings. In thefuture, the effects of climate change will probably need to beweighed up in a more radical way in construction and management.Changes in valueChanges in value are affected by external factors and by specificchanges in the properties. External factors are the market rent trend,the direct yield requirement and cost of capital requirement. Specificchanges in the properties are changes in vacant space and investments.Changes in value of existing holdings are often the singlelargest profit and loss item. It is, however, an unrealised profit anddoes not affect the cash flow. An unrealised change in value of onepercentage point affects profit to the amount of SEK 484 million.The echo-free room at Chalmers University of Technology is completely silent.This is where teaching and research are conducted in areas such as speakersand microphones, how human hearing functions and how we process informationin the sounds we hear.Risks – property managementEnvironmental risksOwning and managing properties is always associated with environmentalrisks. The Environmental Code places considerable responsibilityon the property owner. By satisfying the environmental certificationrequirements according to ISO 14001:2004, these risks are handledin a structured, co-ordinated way.Based on documented environmental surveys, environmentalimpact is identified and the environmental programme is plannedaccordingly. The results of the environmental survey are compiledand evaluated in such a way that the environmental aspects thatentail the greatest environmental impact are prioritised as ‘significantenvironmental aspects’. The environmental aspects compriseenergy management, material management, phasing out of hazardoussubstances and a good indoor environment. During 2007, thesewere expanded to also include transport.<strong>Akademiska</strong> <strong>Hus</strong> uses risk analysis as a means of identifying,preventing, minimising or eliminating environmental risks in the Company’soperations. This takes place in conjunction with purchasing,new construction, redevelopment and day-to-day management.Before a property is acquired a documented environmentalevaluation is made through a due diligence process.New construction or redevelopment involves the use of large volumesof natural assets and environmental effects extend far into thefuture. The decisions reached at the planning and construction stagehave considerable repercussions on environmental impact during thelife cycle of the building and on costs over time. Consequently, an environmentalprogramme is prepared for each individual project. Theenvironmental objectives are formulated on the basis of a risk analysisfor the project in question. Environmental risk analysis forms the basisfor preventive measures to eliminate or minimise risks and create preparatorymeasures for those risks which, despite everything, persist.The environmental risk analysis is reviewed annually. The link betweenenergy use and emissions of greenhouse gases influences our choiceRental incomeRental income is assured through, by industry standards, longleases. The average term for a newly signed lease with <strong>Akademiska</strong><strong>Hus</strong> is 10.4 years and at the year-end the average remaining leaseterm was 6.3 years.Specialist buildings intended for laboratory and research operationsaccount for 34 per cent of the holdings and leases as these arenormally signed with terms of ten years or more. In recent years,however, the need in the higher education sector for premises hasfallen and many customers are reviewing their requirements.Around 70 per cent of the rents are adapted annually tochanges in the CPI. A small lease volume is also adapted to changesin interest rates.In conjunction with rent negotiations there is a continuous follow-upof the lease renewal structure with the aim of securing aneven spread of renewal dates. A change in rental income of one percent affects the Group’s pre-tax profit by SEK 46 million and the fairvalue by SEK 658 million.Rents from state-controlled customers account for 88 per centof the rental income and this income does not represent a credit risk.Few property companies can report such a combination of long,secure revenue flows.In 2007, rental income increased in all regions and amounted toSEK 4,635 million (4,543). The largest increases are in the EasternRegion (SEK 30 million), the Stockholm Region (SEK 29 million) andthe Northern Region (SEK 26 million). Other regions report rentalincome just above the 2006 level. In Stockholm, the full-year impact ofcommissionings and lettings during 2006 took effect. The EasternRegion is increasing thanks to the completion of the A-Building projectin Linköping as well as customer adaptations in Örebro. In the NorthernRegion the increase is attributable mainly to the full-year effect ofcommissionings and the increase in rent levels in Umeå and Luleå.Vacant spaceAn increase in vacant space has a direct impact on profit. The followupand handling of current and future vacant space is a high priority.Special plans have been drawn up to deal with all vacant space inconjunction with operational follow-up and these are also reported tothe board of each regional company.Vacant space amounted to 99,155 square metres (111,955),which is equivalent to 3.1 per cent (3.5). The economic level of vacant<strong>Akademiska</strong> <strong>Hus</strong> <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> 2007 | Risk management and the future 31
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AddressesGROUP HEAD OFFICEAkademisk