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Answers to the European Commission on the ... - Eiopa - Europa

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Reflecti<strong>on</strong> in technical provisi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

12.6 C<strong>on</strong>ceptually, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> SCR standard formula is underpinned by a definiti<strong>on</strong><br />

of ruin with a certain probability over some time horiz<strong>on</strong>. Ruin is being<br />

defined by reference <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> relati<strong>on</strong>ship between assets and liabilities at<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> end of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> time horiz<strong>on</strong>.<br />

12.7 Generally, a reinsurance programme will have an impact <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

relati<strong>on</strong>ship between an insurance undertaking's assets in excess of<br />

liabilities where <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se are measured at, say, a 75 th percentile. In<br />

principle, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> impact of a reinsurance programme <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> relati<strong>on</strong>ship<br />

between assets and liabilities can <strong>on</strong>ly be determined by c<strong>on</strong>sidering<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> positi<strong>on</strong> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> whole of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> undertaking's business.<br />

12.8 The effects of reinsurance <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> relati<strong>on</strong>ship between assets and<br />

liabilities <strong>on</strong> this basis are complex and, in general, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> value of assets<br />

in excess of liabilities may be significantly different measured gross and<br />

net of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> effects of reinsurance. This is because of complex features<br />

relating <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> risk dependencies and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>sequences of blending<br />

different risk distributi<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

12.9 Despite this, a broad assumpti<strong>on</strong> is being made for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> purpose of this<br />

answer that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> numerical value resulting from quantifying assets less<br />

liabilities is <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> same net and gross of reinsurance. The materiality of<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> error in this assumpti<strong>on</strong> in terms of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> applicability of any<br />

standard formula needs <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be assessed.<br />

Reflecti<strong>on</strong> in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> MCR<br />

12.10 According <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> CEIOPS' answer <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> CfA 9, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> MCR reflects a level of<br />

capital below which an insurance undertaking's operati<strong>on</strong>s present an<br />

unacceptable risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> policyholders. Reinsurance (and o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r risk<br />

mitigati<strong>on</strong> techniques) can significantly change <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> risk profile of an<br />

insurer and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rewith change <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> risk that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> insurer's operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

present <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> policyholders. Hence, in principle, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> MCR should take in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

account <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> impact of reinsurance and o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r risk mitigati<strong>on</strong> techniques<br />

(including both risks transferred and acquired).<br />

12.11 CEIOPS' answer <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> CfA 9 outlines three opti<strong>on</strong>s for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> calculati<strong>on</strong> of<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> MCR for a method <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be adopted after a transiti<strong>on</strong>al period:<br />

• adopting essentially <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> existing Solvency I requirements;<br />

• using <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> SCR standard formula as a reference;<br />

• establishing a simple risk margin over and above liabilities.<br />

Under all three opti<strong>on</strong>s, it ought <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be possible <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> make allowance for<br />

reinsurance in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> determinati<strong>on</strong> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> MCR. Fur<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r analysis is<br />

required as <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> how this might be achieved, <strong>on</strong>ce <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> form of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> MCR is<br />

chosen.<br />

137

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