Answers to the European Commission on the ... - Eiopa - Europa
Answers to the European Commission on the ... - Eiopa - Europa
Answers to the European Commission on the ... - Eiopa - Europa
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insurance liabilities set by reference <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> given distributi<strong>on</strong> percentile<br />
will not always be found <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be adequate. C<strong>on</strong>sequently, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> risk margin<br />
<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> expected value should not be less than a proporti<strong>on</strong> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
standard deviati<strong>on</strong>. The present value of expected cash flows is <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be<br />
reported <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> supervisor <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>ge<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> insurance liabilities set<br />
using a proporti<strong>on</strong> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> standard deviati<strong>on</strong> criteri<strong>on</strong> where it applies. 19<br />
This methodology might also be used for very small portfolios where it<br />
may not be possible <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> obtain a well-behaved probability distributi<strong>on</strong>.<br />
The advantage of this approach is its uniformity. 20<br />
7.41 Alternatively, some CEIOPS members suggest that uncertainty risks<br />
could be addressed by selecting a prudent discount rate for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
valuati<strong>on</strong> of liabilities.<br />
Profits at incepti<strong>on</strong><br />
7.42 CEIOPS notes that valuing insurance liabilities by using <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> best<br />
estimate plus risk margin approach may lead <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> recogniti<strong>on</strong> of<br />
profits or losses at incepti<strong>on</strong> of an insurance c<strong>on</strong>tract. IASB<br />
compatibility of this approach should be m<strong>on</strong>i<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>red as work <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
insurance accounting project progresses. O<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r practical c<strong>on</strong>sequences<br />
also need <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be c<strong>on</strong>sidered – for example, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> need that such margins<br />
should not be c<strong>on</strong>sidered as profits in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> profit and loss account, in<br />
view of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> requirement in some Member States that in some profit<br />
sharing business, recognised profits must partly be distributed <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
policyholders. In some cases, provisi<strong>on</strong>s may be calculated following a<br />
tariff base.<br />
Segmentati<strong>on</strong><br />
7.43 For added transparency, determinati<strong>on</strong> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> insurance liabilities<br />
should be carried out using a policy-by-policy valuati<strong>on</strong> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> present<br />
value of expected cash flows. The risk margin related <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
quantitative level of prudence, calculated by homogenous risk group,<br />
should be added <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> expected value of all <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se policies. However,<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> relevance of whole-entity calculati<strong>on</strong>s will also need <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be<br />
c<strong>on</strong>sidered. In particular, CEIOPS will c<strong>on</strong>sider fur<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r how<br />
diversificati<strong>on</strong> effects between homogenous risk groups could be taken<br />
in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> account where dem<strong>on</strong>strably based <strong>on</strong> sound actuarial techniques.<br />
This should be tested in QIS.<br />
Discounting<br />
7.44 Under a best estimate approach, insurance liabilities for life business<br />
should be discounted using an appropriate term structure of interest<br />
rates. Risk-free rates might be used for this purpose, with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> potential<br />
c<strong>on</strong>sequences of any variability addressed in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> SCR. However, some<br />
CEIOPS members c<strong>on</strong>sider that this uncertainty should be addressed<br />
through a prudent risk margin in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> discount rate.<br />
7.45 A nominal term structure of interest rates for each currency might be<br />
prescribed by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> supervisor, or acceptable sources of such term<br />
19