Answers to the European Commission on the ... - Eiopa - Europa
Answers to the European Commission on the ... - Eiopa - Europa
Answers to the European Commission on the ... - Eiopa - Europa
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those insurers this possible increase in complexity may already be<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re when determining <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> valuati<strong>on</strong> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se n<strong>on</strong>-linear instruments<br />
(depending <strong>on</strong> CfAs 7 and 8).<br />
10.89 A fac<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r-based approach could be viewed as a practical alternative <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> a<br />
pre-specified stress test. This could follow a 'hybrid approach', where<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> fac<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs are be calibrated by running stress tests (<strong>on</strong>, for example, a<br />
series of hypo<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>tical insurance undertakings), or by using data from<br />
QIS. For linear risks, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> resulting fac<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r-based model would replicate<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> effects of a pre-specified stress test. For n<strong>on</strong>-linear risks, a fac<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rbased<br />
model might be seen as a reas<strong>on</strong>able approximati<strong>on</strong> for a stress<br />
test. The quality of approximati<strong>on</strong> may be increased by adding<br />
additi<strong>on</strong>al risk fac<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs. For example, c<strong>on</strong>vexity captures n<strong>on</strong>-linear<br />
effects in interest rate risk which are not covered by durati<strong>on</strong>.<br />
10.90 Although <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> quality of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximati<strong>on</strong> may be increased by adding<br />
fur<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r risk fac<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> need for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> standard formula <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be easy <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
implement and verify will place a limit <strong>on</strong> its complexity. This means<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re will be cases where <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximati<strong>on</strong> delivered by a fac<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rbased<br />
model differs significantly from <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> results that would be<br />
generated by stress tests. This may arise where an undertaking has<br />
more material (or substantially different) n<strong>on</strong>-linear effects, due <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
different features embedded with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir products or investments. In<br />
such circumstances an internal model may give a better reflecti<strong>on</strong> of an<br />
undertaking’s individual risk profile than <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> fac<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r-based model.<br />
Credit risk<br />
10.91 Credit risk is <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> risk of loss of value resulting from default and change<br />
in creditworthiness of issuers of securities within <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> investment<br />
portfolio, counterparties (through, for example, reinsurance or<br />
derivative c<strong>on</strong>tracts) and intermediaries <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> whom <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> insurance<br />
undertaking has exposure, and any o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r risks normally reflected in<br />
credit spreads. It is <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>refore also <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> loss of value arising from<br />
deteriorati<strong>on</strong> in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> market's percepti<strong>on</strong> of counterparty or issuer's<br />
creditworthiness.<br />
10.92 Credit risk may also impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> value of technical provisi<strong>on</strong>s, for<br />
example in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> case of with-profits c<strong>on</strong>tracts in life insurance.<br />
10.93 C<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> in credit risk may arise through <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> combinati<strong>on</strong> of<br />
different business activities. For example, an insurer might hold b<strong>on</strong>ds<br />
of a reinsurer and have a significant reinsurance exposure <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> same<br />
counterparty.<br />
10.94 Within <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> range of possible modelling approaches for credit risk a prespecified<br />
stress test may allow features such as undertaking-specific<br />
reinsurance and hedging effects <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be taken in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> account. However, a<br />
pre-specified stress test may increase <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> complexity of calculati<strong>on</strong>.<br />
10.95 A pre-specified stress test can be approximated by a fac<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r-based<br />
model reflecting <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> linear elements of credit risk. This may be a<br />
reas<strong>on</strong>able approximati<strong>on</strong> for undertakings with n<strong>on</strong>-material credit<br />
99