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Answers to the European Commission on the ... - Eiopa - Europa

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legislati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Retrospective methods<br />

7.53 In general, insurance liabilities should be valued prospectively. Certain<br />

elements of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> prospective expected cash flows may need <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be<br />

determined having regard <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> retrospective features - for example,<br />

future surrender values.<br />

Surrender value floor<br />

7.54 Disc<strong>on</strong>tinuance experience normally will have a significant effect <strong>on</strong><br />

overall profitability <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> insurer for many investment c<strong>on</strong>tract types.<br />

The insurer may use credible and relevant disc<strong>on</strong>tinuance experience <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> extent practical. In <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> absence of reliable experience data for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

class of risk under c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> (e.g., new products or later durati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> policy), o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r comparable sources would normally be c<strong>on</strong>sidered.<br />

The experience based disc<strong>on</strong>tinuance assumpti<strong>on</strong>s used will need <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be<br />

appropriate for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> purpose for which <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y are being used. For<br />

example, different sets of assumpti<strong>on</strong>s may need <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be applied<br />

depending <strong>on</strong> whe<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y are being used <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> determine <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> present<br />

value of expected cash flows, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> risk margin in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> insurance liabilities<br />

or <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> SCR.<br />

7.55 It is important for each insurer <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> value <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> opti<strong>on</strong>s of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> policyholder<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> change <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> terms of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>tract from <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> perspective of risk<br />

management.<br />

7.56 A potential requirement supported by several CEIOPS’ members says<br />

that, at any time, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> minimum insurance liabilities provisi<strong>on</strong> is <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be at<br />

least equal <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> sum of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> guaranteed surrender values of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

c<strong>on</strong>tracts (<strong>on</strong> a c<strong>on</strong>tract by c<strong>on</strong>tract basis). IAIS says <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> following <strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> subject: "some jurisdicti<strong>on</strong> believe <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> valuati<strong>on</strong> of insurance<br />

liabilities should cover <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> current surrender values of all insurance<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tracts, while o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r jurisdicti<strong>on</strong>s do not. But all <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> latter jurisdicti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

believe that <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>tal financial resources should be available <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> cover <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

current surrender values of all insurance c<strong>on</strong>tracts" 23 . Ano<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r soluti<strong>on</strong><br />

expected <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> lead <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> lower insurance liabilities but which is more in line<br />

with realistic valuati<strong>on</strong> of liabilities such as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> best estimate approach,<br />

would be <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> extend <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> calculati<strong>on</strong> of expected value <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> policyholder<br />

opti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> disc<strong>on</strong>tinue <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>tract. This soluti<strong>on</strong> requires <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> some<br />

extent fur<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r attenti<strong>on</strong> by supervisors and actuaries in order <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

develop methods and practices for estimati<strong>on</strong> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> value of such<br />

policyholder opti<strong>on</strong>s. Where such an approach were taken <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> valuati<strong>on</strong><br />

of insurance liabilities, potential for adverse surrender experience due<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> changes from expected lapse rates would fail <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be addressed by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

SCR and <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> answer <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> CfA 10 refers <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> this.<br />

Expenses<br />

7.57 The realistic valuati<strong>on</strong> of assets and liabilities means that all possible<br />

22

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