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Proceedings Fonetik 2009 - Institutionen för lingvistik

Proceedings Fonetik 2009 - Institutionen för lingvistik

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<strong>Proceedings</strong>, FONETIK <strong>2009</strong>, Dept. of Linguistics, Stockholm Universityresults corresponds to a d' of about 0.9, which isa rather poor performance. But the numbers reportedin the table reflect probably the judgementsof the "Nemesysco-certified" personal 4in which case the meaningless results generatedby the LVA-technology may have been overriddenby personal's uncontrolled "interpretations"of the direct outcomes after listening torecordings of the interviews.Tabell 1. Evaluation results published by the UK'sDWP.NLow risk caseswith no change inbenefitHigh risk caseswith no change inbenefitLow risk caseswith change inbenefitHigh risk caseswith change inbenefitTrue NegativeFalse PositiveFalse NegativeTrue PositiveAUC of ROCCurveJobcentre Plus 787 354 182 145 106 0.54Birmingham 145 60 49 3 33 0.73Derwentside 316 271 22 11 12 0.72Edinburgh 82 60 8 8 6 0.66Harrow 268 193 15 53 7 0.52Lambeth 1101 811 108 153 29 0.52Wealden 86 70 7 8 1 0.51Overall 2785 1819 391 381 194 0.65ConclusionsThe essential problem of this LVA-technologyis that it does not extract relevant informationfrom the speech signal. It lacks validity.Strictly, the only procedure that might makesense is the calibration phase, where variablesare initialized with values derived from the fourvariables above. This is formally correct butrather meaningless because the waveformmeasurements lack validity and their reliabilityis low because of the huge information loss inthe representation of the speech signal used bythe LVA-technology. The association of ad hocwaveform measurements with the speaker’semotional state is extremely naive and ungroundedwishful thinking that makes thewhole calibration procedure simply void.4 An inquiry on the methodological details of the evaluationwas sent to the DWP on the 23 April <strong>2009</strong> but themethodological information has not yet been provided.In terms of “lie-detection”, the algorithm reliesstrongly on the variables associated withthe plateaus. Given the phonetic structure of thespeech signals, this predicts that, in principle,lowering the fundamental frequency and changingthe phonation mode towards a more creakyvoice type will tend to count as an indication oflie, in relation to a calibration made under modalphonation. Of course this does not haveanything to do with lying. It is just the consequencea common phonetic change in speakingstyle, in association with the arbitrary constructionof the “lie”-variable that happens to givemore weight to plateaus, which in turn are associatedwith the lower waveform amplitudestowards the end of the glottal periods in particularwhen the fundamental frequency is low.The overall conclusion from this study isthat from the perspectives of acoustic phoneticsand speech signal processing, the LVAtechnologystands out as a crude and absurdprocessing technique. Not only it lacks a theoreticalmodel linking its measurements of thewaveform with the speaker’s emotional statusbut the measurements themselves are so imprecisethat they cannot possibly convey useful information.And it will not make any differenceif Nemesysco “updates” in its LVA-technology.The problem is in the concept’s lack of validity.Without validity, “success stories” of “percentdetection rates” are simply void. Indeed, these“hit-rates” will not even be statistically significantdifferent from associated “false-alarms”,given the method’s lack of validity. Until proofof the contrary, the LVA-technology should besimply regarded as a hoax and should not beused for any serious purposes (Eriksson &Lacerda, 2007).ReferencesEriksson, A. and Lacerda, F. (2007). Charlatanryin forensic speech science: A problemto be taken seriously. Int Journal of Speech,Language and the Law, 14, 169-193.Liberman, A. (10-28-2003). Layered VoiceAnalysis (LVA). [6,638,217 B1]. US patent.i http://www.nemesysco.com/technology.htmlii http://www.nemesysco.com/technology-lvavoiceanalysis.htmliii http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=phNtm3LmDZEME67-nBnsRMwiv http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/<strong>2009</strong>/mar/19/dwp-voicerisk-analysis-statistics225

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