<strong>UNISCI</strong> Discussion Papers, Nº 33 (Octubre / October 2013) ISSN 1696-22061. IntroductionAn overview of the conflicts on the African continent 2 leads to the observation that in manycases armed and non-armed conflicts spill over state bor<strong>de</strong>rs. We suggest qualifying thatphenomenon as a “system of conflicts”. In the 1990s, Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guineaprovi<strong>de</strong>d a first illustration of this 3 and there are no shortages of recent examples in WestAfrica, Senegambia, the Gulf of Guinea and the Sahel 4 — not to mention Somalia in the Hornof Africa 5 ; the eastern region of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) to the frontier ofthe Great Lakes sub-region 6 , and Darfur, at the crossroads of Central Africa (Chad) andEastern Africa (Sudan). The difficulty here is to succeed in <strong>de</strong>scribing the way in which thevarious conflicts, taken separately, interact to the point of creating what some aca<strong>de</strong>mics callconflict “complexes” or “systems”.Barry Buzan was one of the first researchers to suggest an analysis in terms of RegionalSecurity Complex Theory (RSCT). He <strong>de</strong>fined this as “a group of states whose primarysecurity concerns link together sufficiently closely that their national securities cannotrealistically be consi<strong>de</strong>red apart from one another. Security complexes tend to be durable, butthey are neither permanent nor internally rigid”. 7 That approach, by consi<strong>de</strong>ring that internalconflicts in states are linked together by security issues, is a starting point. Following Buzan’swork, which inspired numerous authors, some explanations may help us to un<strong>de</strong>rstand theregional dimension 8 of conflicts.Raimo Väyrynen has suggested the concept of Regional Conflict Formations (RCF): “Acomplex mix of violent, intra-national, intra-regional and extra-regional conflicts. Theformation of these conflicts becomes more complex and entangled in the sense that theycannot easily become unraveled into individual conflicts. 9 Peter Wallensteen and MargaretaSollenberg took this further with Regional Conflict Complexes (RCF), which they <strong>de</strong>fined as“situations where neighboring countries experience internal or interstate conflicts, and withsignificant links between the conflicts. These links may be so substantial that changes inconflict dynamics or the resolution of one conflict will have an effect on a neighboringconflict”. 102 This phenomenon is not peculiar to Africa, take for example Iraq (1980-1988, 1990-1991), Lebanon (1975-1989), the Balkans and Afghanistan. On these subjects, see the works by Armstrong, Andrea and Rubin, Barnett:“Conference summary: Policy Approaches to Regional Conflict Formations”, Center on InternationalCooperation, 20 November 2002.3 See “Liberia, Sierra Leone, Guinée: la régionalisation <strong>de</strong> la guerre”, Politique Africaine, n°88 (December2002), pp.5-102.4 See the works by Massaër Diallo within the framework of the Sahel West Africa Club (SWAC) and also for theInstitut d’Etu<strong>de</strong>s Politiques et Stratégiques (IEPS) at http://www.ieps-cipsao.org.5 The Horn of Africa comprises Somalia, Djibouti, Ethiopia and Eritrea.6 The Great Lakes Region comprises the Democratic Republic of Congo, Burundi, Uganda and Rwanda.7 Buzan, Barry (1983): People, States and Fears, The National Security Problem in International Relations,Brighton, Harvester Press, pp. 105-115.8 My approach to the region corresponds to the “macro-region”, also known as “world region”, <strong>de</strong>fined as aterritorial unit or sub-system located between the state level and that of the global system. Sö<strong>de</strong>rbaum, Fre<strong>de</strong>rik(2003): Introduction: Theories of New Regionalism, in Theories of New Regionalism, Palgrave rea<strong>de</strong>r,Basingstoke, Palgrave Macmillan, p. 6.9 Väyrynen, Raimo: “Regional Conflict Formations: An Intractable Problem of International Relations”, Journalof Peace Research, vol. 21, n°4 (November 1984), p. 344.10 Wallensteen, Peter; Sollenberg, Margareta: “Armed Conflict and Regional Conflict Complexes, 1989-97?”,Journal of Peace Research, vol. 35, n°5 (September 1998), p. 623.108
<strong>UNISCI</strong> Discussion Papers, Nº 33 (Octubre / October 2013) ISSN 1696-2206Taking these attempted <strong>de</strong>finitions as a starting point, two common factors need to bementioned. First the proponents of RSC and RCF question the impact of outsi<strong>de</strong> intervention,whether direct or indirect, on the intensity of a conflict. According to Väyrynen, “the origin ofconflict formations are, in other words, explained by domestic conditions, while factorsexternal to the region may account, for instance, for the intensity and duration of violentconflicts” 11 These links emphasize that the state is essential to un<strong>de</strong>rstanding the interactionbetween the internal and external dimensions of regional conflicts. We may therefore <strong>de</strong>ducethat state bor<strong>de</strong>rs, being the visible manifestations of the principles of sovereignty andterritoriality, are where the political, social and economic interactions are strongest.At this stage of our review of the literature on the subject, two questions remain. Ifforms of regional conflict can resemble civil wars or bor<strong>de</strong>r disputes 12 , how are we todistinguish them from a civil war with third party intervention? Does a regional conflict haveits own specific characteristics? To provi<strong>de</strong> some elements of an answer it is necessary toreview in greater <strong>de</strong>tail the notion of a “system” so complex that we cannot separate thedifferent components of the conflict. Our approach pays special attention to the notion of asystem 13 , <strong>de</strong>fined “as a set of elements in interaction”. 14 According to the inter<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nceprinciple, a system <strong>de</strong>pends both on the evolution of those internal elements and on externalpressures. The main difficulty in un<strong>de</strong>rstanding how the system is created lies in i<strong>de</strong>ntifyingthe various conflicts that produced it (its internal components) and un<strong>de</strong>rstanding theirinter<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nce on other conflicts for which it was not directly responsible (its externalcomponents).In the 1990s, a round table was organized for analyzing the dynamics of conflictperpetuation, which suggested a comparative approach in terms of war systems. Didier Bigo,one of the organizers, stressed the importance of the links between the militarized actors inun<strong>de</strong>rstanding how the system is perpetuated. According to Bigo, “the militarized actors haveambiguous ties with each other and dominate the third parties in the conflict, such as thecivilian population, and the unarmed actors. They generate new fronts and bor<strong>de</strong>rs that have atwo-fold function, namely to <strong>de</strong>limit the conflict zones (to circumscribe or foreclose them)and above all to impose a socio-political or<strong>de</strong>r on the unarmed inhabitants by submitting themto various warlords”. 15 Didier Bigo’s approach, more <strong>de</strong>scriptive than analytical, introducesthe i<strong>de</strong>a into the <strong>de</strong>bate that the perpetuation of a conflict “legitimizes” or rather justifies, theuse of violence. In short, within the framework of a war system, armed conflict becomes astrategy for obtaining material rewards. The control of resources and territory is an importantfactor for armed groups and influences the political sphere. Combat is characterized by itsendurance rather than by its intensity. The longer a war lasts, the more an unconsciousmimicry sets in among the belligerents. Since they do not aim for major military action, they<strong>de</strong>velop <strong>de</strong>fensive strategies to maintain a form of local power.A few years later Roland Marchal and Christine Messiant perfected the <strong>de</strong>finition of awar system by <strong>de</strong>scribing it as: “armed conflicts produced by distinct national circumstances11 Väyrynen, op. cit., p. 352.12 Ibid., p.345.13 Meszaros, Thomas: “Quelques réflexions sur l'idée <strong>de</strong> système en sciences sociales et sur son utilisation dansles Relations internationales contemporaines”, Cosmopolitis, n°2 (2007).14 Bertalanffy, Ludwig Von (1973): Théorie générale <strong>de</strong>s systèmes, Physique, biologie, psychologie, sociologieet philosophie, Paris, Dunod, p. 3.15 Round table on “La prolongation <strong>de</strong>s conflits: Approche comparative <strong>de</strong>s systèmes <strong>de</strong> guerre”, Cultures &Conflits, n°1 (1990), at http://conflits.revues.org/147.109
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Juan Emilio CheyreDirector, Center
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