Economic Report of the President

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Year ormonthTABLE B–101.—Agricultural price indexes and farm real estate value, 1975–2004Prices received byfarmersAllfarmproductsCropsLivestockandproductsAllcommodities,services,interest,taxes,andwagerates 1[1990-92=100, except as noted]Total 2FeedLivestockandpoultryPrices paid by farmersFertilizerProduction itemsAgriculturalchemicalsFuelsFarmmachineryFarmservicesRentWageratesAddendum:Averagefarmrealestatevalueperacre(dollars)31975 ........... 73 88 62 47 55 83 39 87 72 40 38 48 44 3401976 ........... 75 87 64 50 59 83 47 74 78 43 43 52 48 3971977 ........... 73 83 64 53 61 82 48 72 71 46 47 57 51 4741978 ........... 83 89 78 58 67 80 65 72 66 48 51 60 55 5311979 ........... 94 98 90 66 76 89 88 77 67 61 56 66 60 6281980 ........... 98 107 89 75 85 98 85 96 71 86 63 81 65 7371981 ........... 100 111 89 82 92 110 80 104 77 98 70 89 70 8191982 ........... 94 98 90 86 94 99 78 105 83 97 76 96 74 8231983 ........... 98 108 88 86 92 107 76 100 87 94 81 82 76 7881984 ........... 101 111 91 89 94 112 73 103 90 93 85 86 77 8011985 ........... 91 97 86 86 91 95 74 98 90 93 85 85 78 7131986 ........... 87 87 88 85 86 88 73 90 89 76 83 83 81 6401987 ........... 89 86 91 87 87 83 85 86 87 76 85 84 85 5991988 ........... 99 105 93 91 90 104 91 94 89 77 89 85 87 6321989 ........... 104 109 100 96 95 110 93 99 93 83 94 91 95 6681990 ........... 104 103 105 99 99 103 102 97 95 100 96 96 96 96 6831991 ........... 100 101 99 100 100 98 102 103 101 104 100 98 100 100 7031992 ........... 99 101 97 101 101 99 96 100 103 96 104 103 104 105 7131993 ........... 101 102 100 104 104 102 104 96 109 93 107 110 100 108 7401994 ........... 100 105 95 106 106 106 94 105 112 89 113 110 108 111 7981995 ........... 102 112 92 109 108 103 82 121 116 89 120 115 117 114 8441996 ........... 112 127 99 115 115 129 75 125 119 102 125 116 128 117 8871997 ........... 107 115 98 118 119 125 94 121 121 106 128 116 136 123 9261998 ........... 102 107 97 115 113 111 88 112 122 84 132 115 120 129 9741999 ........... 96 97 95 115 111 100 95 105 121 93 135 116 113 135 1,0302000 ........... 96 96 97 120 116 102 110 110 120 134 139 119 110 140 1,0902001 ........... 102 99 106 123 120 109 111 123 121 119 144 121 117 146 1,1502002 ........... 98 105 90 124 119 112 102 108 119 112 148 120 119 153 1,2102003 ........... 107 111 103 128 124 114 109 124 121 140 151 123 120 157 1,2702004 ........... 119 117 122 133 131 118 128 138 121 163 162 124 120 161 1,3602003: Jan ... 99 103 96 126 122 114 105 112 122 140 149 121 120 161 1,270Feb .... 99 103 95 127 123 114 102 117 122 171 149 122 120 161 .............Mar ... 99 106 93 128 124 114 98 126 120 178 149 122 120 161 .............Apr .... 101 110 93 128 124 114 102 129 121 143 149 122 120 158 .............May ... 105 116 96 127 123 115 102 127 121 127 150 122 120 158 .............June .. 108 118 99 127 123 114 103 124 121 131 150 123 120 158 .............July ... 105 109 101 127 123 111 106 123 121 132 151 124 120 153 .............Aug ... 109 113 105 127 123 107 107 124 121 136 152 124 120 153 .............Sept .. 111 111 110 128 125 112 117 125 121 131 153 124 120 153 .............Oct .... 113 111 116 129 126 112 126 126 121 137 153 122 120 156 .............Nov ... 116 115 117 129 126 118 122 126 121 128 154 122 120 156 .............Dec ... 114 115 112 129 126 117 119 128 120 130 154 122 120 156 .............2004: Jan ... 112 113 110 130 127 117 113 131 121 145 156 123 120 163 1,360Feb .... 116 121 112 131 127 121 110 134 121 137 156 123 120 163 .............Mar ... 121 121 122 132 129 124 115 137 121 142 161 123 120 163 .............Apr .... 125 123 126 133 131 131 121 137 121 151 161 123 120 159 .............May ... 129 124 133 135 132 134 126 135 121 159 162 124 120 159 .............June .. 128 122 133 135 132 127 134 135 121 150 161 125 120 159 .............July ... 124 120 128 135 133 125 136 136 121 161 162 125 120 162 .............Aug ... 121 118 123 134 132 115 137 138 121 170 162 125 120 162 .............Sept .. 115 113 118 134 131 110 138 140 122 173 163 125 120 162 .............Oct .... 114 111 117 135 132 104 141 143 122 202 166 124 120 161 .............Nov ... 116 112 119 134 131 102 137 146 122 195 165 124 120 161 .............Dec ... 111 103 120 133 130 102 133 147 121 166 169 124 120 161 .............1Includes items used for family living, not shown separately.2Includes other production items not shown separately.3Average for 48 States. Annual data are: March 1 for 1975, February 1 for 1976-81, April 1 for 1982-85, February 1 for 1986-89, and January1 for 1990-2004.Note.—Data on a 1990-92 base prior to 1975 have not been calculated by Department of Agriculture.Source: Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service.326
YearTABLE B–102.—U.S. exports and imports of agricultural commodities, 1945–2004Total 1FeedgrainsFoodgrains 2ExportsOilseedsandproducts[Billions of dollars]CottonTobaccoAnimalsandproductsTotal 1Fruits,nuts,andvegetables3ImportsAnimalsandproductsCoffeeCocoabeansandproductsAgriculturaltradebalance1945 ...................... 2.3 ( 4 ) 0.4 ( 4 ) 0.3 0.2 0.9 1.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 ( 4 ) 0.51946 ...................... 3.1 0.1 .7 ( 4 ) .5 .4 .9 2.3 .2 .4 .5 0.1 .81947 ...................... 4.0 .4 1.4 0.1 .4 .3 .7 2.8 .1 .4 .6 .2 1.21948 ...................... 3.5 .1 1.5 .2 .5 .2 .5 3.1 .2 .6 .7 .2 .31949 ...................... 3.6 .3 1.1 .3 .9 .3 .4 2.9 .2 .4 .8 .1 .71950 ...................... 2.9 .2 .6 .2 1.0 .3 .3 4.0 .2 .7 1.1 .2 −1.11951 ...................... 4.0 .3 1.1 .3 1.1 .3 .5 5.2 .2 1.1 1.4 .2 −1.11952 ...................... 3.4 .3 1.1 .2 .9 .2 .3 4.5 .2 .7 1.4 .2 −1.11953 ...................... 2.8 .3 .7 .2 .5 .3 .4 4.2 .2 .6 1.5 .2 −1.31954 ...................... 3.1 .2 .5 .3 .8 .3 .5 4.0 .2 .5 1.5 .3 −.91955 ...................... 3.2 .3 .6 .4 .5 .4 .6 4.0 .2 .5 1.4 .2 −.81956 ...................... 4.2 .4 1.0 .5 .7 .3 .7 4.0 .2 .4 1.4 .2 .21957 ...................... 4.5 .3 1.0 .5 1.0 .4 .7 4.0 .2 .5 1.4 .2 .61958 ...................... 3.9 .5 .8 .4 .7 .4 .5 3.9 .2 .7 1.2 .2 ( 4 )1959 ...................... 4.0 .6 .9 .6 .4 .3 .6 4.1 .2 .8 1.1 .2 −.11960 ...................... 4.8 .5 1.2 .6 1.0 .4 .6 3.8 .2 .6 1.0 .2 1.01961 ...................... 5.0 .5 1.4 .6 .9 .4 .6 3.7 .2 .7 1.0 .2 1.31962 ...................... 5.0 .8 1.3 .7 .5 .4 .6 3.9 .2 .9 1.0 .2 1.21963 ...................... 5.6 .8 1.5 .8 .6 .4 .7 4.0 .3 .9 1.0 .2 1.61964 ...................... 6.3 .9 1.7 1.0 .7 .4 .8 4.1 .3 .8 1.2 .2 2.31965 ...................... 6.2 1.1 1.4 1.2 .5 .4 .8 4.1 .3 .9 1.1 .1 2.11966 ...................... 6.9 1.3 1.8 1.2 .4 .5 .7 4.5 .4 1.2 1.1 .1 2.41967 ...................... 6.4 1.1 1.5 1.3 .5 .5 .7 4.5 .4 1.1 1.0 .2 1.91968 ...................... 6.3 .9 1.4 1.3 .5 .5 .7 5.0 .5 1.3 1.2 .2 1.31969 ...................... 6.0 .9 1.2 1.3 .3 .6 .8 5.0 .5 1.4 .9 .2 1.11970 ...................... 7.3 1.1 1.4 1.9 .4 .5 .9 5.8 .5 1.6 1.2 .3 1.51971 ...................... 7.7 1.0 1.3 2.2 .6 .5 1.0 5.8 .6 1.5 1.2 .2 1.91972 ...................... 9.4 1.5 1.8 2.4 .5 .7 1.1 6.5 .7 1.8 1.3 .2 2.91973 ...................... 17.7 3.5 4.7 4.3 .9 .7 1.6 8.4 .8 2.6 1.7 .3 9.31974 ...................... 21.9 4.6 5.4 5.7 1.3 .8 1.8 10.2 .8 2.2 1.6 .5 11.71975 ...................... 21.9 5.2 6.2 4.5 1.0 .9 1.7 9.3 .8 1.8 1.7 .5 12.61976 ...................... 23.0 6.0 4.7 5.1 1.0 .9 2.4 11.0 .9 2.3 2.9 .6 12.01977 ...................... 23.6 4.9 3.6 6.6 1.5 1.1 2.7 13.4 1.2 2.3 4.2 1.0 10.21978 ...................... 29.4 5.9 5.5 8.2 1.7 1.4 3.0 14.8 1.5 3.1 4.0 1.4 14.61979 ...................... 34.7 7.7 6.3 8.9 2.2 1.2 3.8 16.7 1.7 3.9 4.2 1.2 18.01980 ...................... 41.2 9.8 7.9 9.4 2.9 1.3 3.8 17.4 1.7 3.8 4.2 .9 23.81981 ...................... 43.3 9.4 9.6 9.6 2.3 1.5 4.2 16.9 2.0 3.5 2.9 .9 26.41982 ...................... 36.6 6.4 7.9 9.1 2.0 1.5 3.9 15.3 2.3 3.7 2.9 .7 21.31983 ...................... 36.1 7.3 7.4 8.7 1.8 1.5 3.8 16.5 2.3 3.8 2.8 .8 19.61984 ...................... 37.8 8.1 7.5 8.4 2.4 1.5 4.2 19.3 3.1 4.1 3.3 1.1 18.51985 ...................... 29.0 6.0 4.5 5.8 1.6 1.5 4.1 20.0 3.5 4.2 3.3 1.4 9.11986 ...................... 26.2 3.1 3.8 6.5 .8 1.2 4.5 21.5 3.6 4.5 4.6 1.1 4.71987 ...................... 28.7 3.8 3.8 6.4 1.6 1.1 5.2 20.4 3.6 4.9 2.9 1.2 8.31988 ...................... 37.1 5.9 5.9 7.7 2.0 1.3 6.4 21.0 3.8 5.2 2.5 1.0 16.11989 ...................... 40.1 7.7 7.1 6.4 2.2 1.3 6.4 21.9 4.4 5.0 2.4 1.0 18.21990 ...................... 39.5 7.0 4.8 5.7 2.8 1.4 6.6 22.9 4.9 5.6 1.9 1.1 16.61991 ...................... 39.3 5.7 4.2 6.4 2.5 1.4 7.1 22.9 5.0 5.5 1.9 1.1 16.51992 ...................... 43.1 5.7 5.4 7.2 2.0 1.7 8.0 24.8 5.2 5.7 1.7 1.1 18.31993 ...................... 42.9 5.0 5.6 7.3 1.5 1.3 8.0 25.1 5.4 5.9 1.5 1.0 17.71994 ...................... 46.2 4.7 5.3 7.2 2.7 1.3 9.2 27.0 5.9 5.7 2.5 1.0 19.21995 ...................... 56.3 8.2 6.7 9.0 3.7 1.4 10.9 30.3 6.4 6.0 3.3 1.1 26.01996 ...................... 60.3 9.4 7.4 10.8 2.7 1.4 11.1 33.5 7.2 6.1 2.8 1.4 26.81997 ...................... 57.2 6.0 5.2 12.1 2.7 1.6 11.3 36.1 7.5 6.5 3.9 1.5 21.01998 ...................... 51.8 5.0 5.0 9.5 2.5 1.5 10.6 36.9 8.4 6.9 3.4 1.7 14.91999 ...................... 48.4 5.5 4.7 8.1 1.0 1.3 10.4 37.7 9.3 7.3 2.9 1.5 10.72000 ...................... 51.2 5.2 4.3 8.6 1.9 1.2 11.6 39.0 9.4 8.3 2.7 1.4 12.32001 ...................... 53.7 5.2 4.2 9.2 2.2 1.3 12.4 39.4 9.9 9.1 1.7 1.5 14.32002 ...................... 53.1 5.5 4.5 9.6 2.0 1.0 11.1 41.9 10.6 9.0 1.7 1.8 11.22003 ...................... 59.6 5.4 5.0 11.7 3.4 1.0 12.4 47.4 11.9 8.9 2.0 2.4 12.2Jan-Nov:2003 .................. 53.5 4.7 4.5 10.2 2.9 .9 11.3 42.9 10.7 8.0 1.8 2.2 10.62004 .................. 55.5 5.8 5.9 9.1 3.9 1.0 9.4 49.1 11.9 9.6 2.1 2.3 6.41Total includes items not shown separately.2Rice, wheat, and wheat flour.3Includes fruit, nut, and vegetable preparations. Beginning in 1989, includes bananas.4Less than $50 million.Note.—Data derived from official estimates released by the Bureau of the Census, Department of Commerce. Agricultural commodities aredefined as (1) nonmarine food products and (2) other products of agriculture which have not passed through complex processes of manufacture.Export value, at U.S. port of exportation, is based on the selling price and includes inland freight, insurance, and other charges to theport. Import value, defined generally as the market value in the foreign country, excludes import duties, ocean freight, and marine insurance.Source: Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.327
Page 1 and 2:
Economic Reportof the PresidentTran
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C O N T E N T SECONOMIC REPORT OF T
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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENTTo
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the playing field is level for our
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LETTER OF TRANSMITTALCOUNCIL OF ECO
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Monetary Policy ...................
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Encouraging FDI ...................
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3-4. The Equivalence of Sales Taxes
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Real GDP expanded by 3.7 percent du
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Options for Tax ReformChapter 3, Op
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and better Nation for it. A compreh
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Innovation and the Information Econ
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ecause they do not expect family me
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The Administration has pushed aggre
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C H A P T E R 1The Year in Review a
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Consumer SpendingConsumer spending
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easons for this correlation are dis
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2003, a number of countries that to
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ProductivityRecent productivity gro
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The projected path of inflation as
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strengthen. The forecast is based o
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The growth rate of the economy over
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In sum, potential real GDP is proje
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C H A P T E R 2Expansions Past and
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The behavior of real GDP is similar
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of faltering may be attributable to
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most recent expansions have shown r
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middle of 2003. The more moderate r
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1.2 percent. Employment continued t
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SummaryModerate recessions are foll
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permanent cuts should permanently r
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and the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief
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Federal government revenues had bee
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Fiscal policy played an especially
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C H A P T E R 3Options for Tax Refo
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High Compliance CostsThe complexity
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a reasonable estimate is that a 10
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Excess BurdenBecause taxes distort
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Box 3-3 — continuedThe bottom 40
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more uniform or pure version of the
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of being collected all at once at t
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would have to differ from state tax
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owner claimed it was for business,
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The current set of saving incentive
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the current system. In addition, so
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C H A P T E R 4ImmigrationIn recent
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TABLE 4-1.— Foreign-Born Share of
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immigrants (also called illegal or
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largest group of immigrants was bor
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employment costs, including wage fl
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Chapter 4 | 103
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wages fall in response to immigrati
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immigrants from Latin America do re
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addition, as migrants leave the cou
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include siblings and adult children
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despite the tremendous growth in th
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The TWP would allow new foreign wor
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C H A P T E R 5Expanding Individual
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This phenomenon, known as the “tr
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producing more of that good. Simila
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In 2002, the President proposed “
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provide evidence of increased profi
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schools are four times as efficient
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low administrative costs, estimated
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Box 5-2: The Benefits of Land Title
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development plan designed by others
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C H A P T E R 6Innovation and theIn
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E-mail is the most common online ac
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Changed circumstances, such as new
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Illegal Acts on the InternetThe Int
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or develop new markets, which can l
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inflation factor for the price cap
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U.S. households connecting to local
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garbling their transmissions. To li
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from 51.3 percent in December 1999
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for their property rights. The Admi
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C H A P T E R 7The Global HIV/AIDS
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Chart 7-1 Estimated HIV Infection L
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There is no cure for HIV/AIDS, thou
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AIDS is more damaging to a househol
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and risk reduction have helped redu
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only one price, the drug companies
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Box 7-1 — continuedfocused on the
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Box 7-2 — continuedenhancing coor
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ConclusionThe United States and cou
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Good Two. In Ricardo’s simple mod
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The Impact of Trade on Labor Market
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The U.S. Advantage in Services Trad
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U.S. firms is associated with a cor
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anked the second-best country out o
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the Chinese government agreed to el
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Trade LiberalizationTariffs and oth
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ConclusionThe United States is the
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LETTER OF TRANSMITTALCOUNCIL OF ECO
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Report to the President on theActiv
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The Council continued its efforts t
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The Staff of the Council of Economi
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John List and Ted Gayer provided co
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Appendix BSTATISTICAL TABLES RELATI
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PageB-32. Gross saving and investme
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PageB-94. Relation of profits after
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NATIONAL INCOME OR EXPENDITURETABLE
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TABLE B-2.—Real gross domestic pr
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TABLE B-3.—Quantity and price ind
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TABLE B-5.—Contributions to perce
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TABLE B-6.—Chain-type quantity in
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TABLE B-7.—Chain-type price index
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TABLE B-8.—Gross domestic product
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TABLE B-10.—Gross value added by
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TABLE B-12.—Gross domestic produc
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TABLE B-13.—Real gross domestic p
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TABLE B-14.—Gross value added of
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TABLE B-16.—Personal consumption
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TABLE B-18.—Private fixed investm
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TABLE B-20.—Government consumptio
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TABLE B-22.—Private inventories a
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TABLE B-24.—Foreign transactions
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TABLE B-26.—Relation of gross dom
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TABLE B-28.—National income by ty
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TABLE B-29.—Sources of personal i
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TABLE B-30.—Disposition of person
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Year or quarterTABLE B-32.—Gross
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TABLE B-33.—Median money income (
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TABLE B-35.—Civilian population a
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TABLE B-36.—Civilian employment a
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TABLE B-38.—Unemployment by demog
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TABLE B-40.—Civilian labor force
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TABLE B-42.—Civilian unemployment
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TABLE B-44.—Unemployment by durat
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TABLE B-46.—Employees on nonagric
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TABLE B-47.—Hours and earnings in
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Year orquarterTABLE B-49.—Product
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PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITYTAB
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Year ormonthTABLE B-53.—Industria
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Year or monthTABLE B-55.—New cons
Page 272 and 273: TABLE B-57.—Manufacturing and tra
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Page 276 and 277: Year ormonthTABLE B-61.—Consumer
Page 278 and 279: TABLE B-62.—Consumer price indexe
Page 280 and 281: TABLE B-64.—Changes in consumer p
Page 282 and 283: TABLE B-65.—Producer price indexe
Page 284 and 285: TABLE B-67.—Producer price indexe
Page 286 and 287: TABLE B-68.—Changes in producer p
Page 288 and 289: TABLE B-70.—Components of money s
Page 290 and 291: TABLE B-71.—Aggregate reserves of
Page 292 and 293: TABLE B-73.—Bond yields and inter
Page 294 and 295: TABLE B-74.—Credit market borrowi
Page 296 and 297: TABLE B-75.—Mortgage debt outstan
Page 298 and 299: TABLE B-77.—Consumer credit outst
Page 300 and 301: TABLE B-79.—Federal receipts, out
Page 302 and 303: TABLE B-81.—Federal receipts, out
Page 304 and 305: TABLE B-83.—Federal and State and
Page 306 and 307: TABLE B-85.—State and local gover
Page 308 and 309: End of yearor monthTABLE B-87.—U.
Page 310 and 311: End of monthTABLE B-89.—Estimated
Page 312 and 313: TABLE B-91.—Corporate profits by
Page 314 and 315: TABLE B-93.—Sales, profits, and s
Page 316 and 317: YearComposite(Dec. 31,2002=5,000) 3
Page 318 and 319: YearAGRICULTURETABLE B-97.—Farm i
Page 320 and 321: TABLE B-99.—Farm output and produ
Page 324 and 325: INTERNATIONAL STATISTICSTABLE B-103
Page 326 and 327: TABLE B-104.—U.S. international t
Page 328 and 329: TABLE B-106.—U.S. international t
Page 330 and 331: TABLE B-108.—Industrial productio
Page 332 and 333: TABLE B-110.—Foreign exchange rat
Page 334: TABLE B-112.—Growth rates in real
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Economic Report of the President

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