Economic Report of the President

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TABLE B–106.—U.S. international trade in goods on balance of payments (BOP) and Census basis,and trade in services on BOP basis, 1979–2004[Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]Year ormonthTotal,BOPbasis 3Total,Censusbasis 34Goods: Exports(f.a.s. value) 12Census basis (by end-use category)Foods,feeds,andbeveragesIndustrialsuppliesandmaterialsCapitalgoodsexceptauto-mo-tiveAutomotivevehicles,parts,andenginesConsumergoods(nonfood)exceptautomotiveTotal,BOPbasisGoods: Imports (customs value, except asnoted) 5Total,Censusbasis 4Census basis (by end-use category)Foods,feeds,andbeveragesF.a.s. value 2 F.a.s. value 2IndustrialsuppliesandmaterialsCapitalgoodsexceptauto-mo-tiveAutomotivevehicles,parts,andenginesConsumergoods(nonfood)exceptautomotiveServices(BOP basis)ExportsImports1979 ............ 184.4 186.4 .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... 212.0 210.3 .......... .......... .......... .......... ............ 39.7 36.71980 ............ 224.3 225.6 .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... 249.8 245.3 .......... .......... .......... .......... ............ 47.6 41.5332Customs value1981 ............ 237.0 238.7 .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... 265.1 261.0 .......... .......... .......... .......... ............ 57.4 45.51982 ............ 211.2 216.4 31.3 61.7 72.7 15.7 14.3 247.6 244.0 17.1 112.0 35.4 33.3 39.7 64.1 51.71983 ............ 201.8 205.6 30.9 56.7 67.2 16.8 13.4 268.9 258.0 18.2 107.0 40.9 40.8 44.9 64.3 55.01984 ............ 219.9 224.0 31.5 61.7 72.0 20.6 13.3 332.4 6330.7 21.0 123.7 59.8 53.5 60.0 71.2 67.71985 ............ 215.9 7218.8 24.0 58.5 73.9 22.9 12.6 338.1 6336.5 21.9 113.9 65.1 66.8 68.3 73.2 72.91986 ............ 223.3 7227.2 22.3 57.3 75.8 21.7 14.2 368.4 365.4 24.4 101.3 71.8 78.2 79.4 86.7 80.11987 ............ 250.2 254.1 24.3 66.7 86.2 24.6 17.7 409.8 406.2 24.8 111.0 84.5 85.2 88.7 98.7 90.81988 ............ 320.2 322.4 32.3 85.1 109.2 29.3 23.1 447.2 441.0 24.8 118.3 101.4 87.7 95.9 110.9 98.51989 ............ 359.9 363.8 37.2 99.3 138.8 34.8 36.4 477.7 473.2 25.1 132.3 113.3 86.1 102.9 127.1 102.51990 ............ 387.4 393.6 35.1 104.4 152.7 37.4 43.3 498.4 495.3 26.6 143.2 116.4 87.3 105.7 147.8 117.71991 ............ 414.1 421.7 35.7 109.7 166.7 40.0 45.9 491.0 488.5 26.5 131.6 120.7 85.7 108.0 164.3 118.51992 ............ 439.6 448.2 40.3 109.1 175.9 47.0 51.4 536.5 532.7 27.6 138.6 134.3 91.8 122.7 177.3 119.41993 ............ 456.9 465.1 40.6 111.8 181.7 52.4 54.7 589.4 580.7 27.9 145.6 152.4 102.4 134.0 185.9 123.71994 ............ 502.9 512.6 42.0 121.4 205.0 57.8 60.0 668.7 663.3 31.0 162.1 184.4 118.3 146.3 200.4 132.91995 ............ 575.2 584.7 50.5 146.2 233.0 61.8 64.4 749.4 743.5 33.2 181.8 221.4 123.8 159.9 219.2 141.31996 ............ 612.1 625.1 55.5 147.7 253.0 65.0 70.1 803.1 795.3 35.7 204.5 228.1 128.9 172.0 239.5 152.41997 ............ 678.4 689.2 51.5 158.2 294.5 74.0 77.4 876.5 869.7 39.7 213.8 253.3 139.8 193.8 256.3 166.31998 ............ 670.4 682.1 46.4 148.3 299.4 72.4 80.3 917.1 911.9 41.2 200.1 269.5 148.7 217.0 263.1 181.31999 ............ 684.0 695.8 46.0 147.5 310.8 75.3 80.9 1,030.0 1,024.6 43.6 221.4 295.7 179.0 241.9 282.5 199.72000 ............ 772.0 781.9 47.9 172.6 356.9 80.4 89.4 1,224.4 1,218.0 46.0 299.0 347.0 195.9 281.8 299.0 224.92001 ............ 718.7 729.1 49.4 160.1 321.7 75.4 88.3 1,145.9 1,141.0 46.6 273.9 298.0 189.8 284.3 287.9 223.42002 ............ 681.8 693.1 49.6 156.8 290.4 78.9 84.4 1,164.7 1,161.4 49.7 267.7 283.3 203.7 307.8 294.1 232.92003 ............ 713.1 724.8 55.0 173.0 293.6 80.7 89.9 1,260.7 1,257.1 55.8 313.8 295.8 210.2 333.9 307.4 256.32003: Jan .... 57.1 57.8 4.4 14.0 23.1 6.6 7.3 102.7 102.5 4.5 25.5 24.3 17.1 27.1 25.0 20.7Feb .... 57.9 58.8 4.3 14.1 24.1 6.6 7.1 102.7 102.5 4.4 26.5 23.4 17.1 27.1 24.9 20.5Mar ... 58.5 59.5 4.4 14.5 23.7 6.7 7.3 106.0 105.8 4.6 28.4 23.5 17.3 28.0 24.6 20.8Apr .... 57.3 58.5 4.4 14.1 23.2 6.7 7.2 103.5 103.2 4.7 25.6 24.3 17.0 27.6 24.0 20.3May ... 57.8 58.8 4.4 14.1 23.6 6.9 7.3 102.9 102.6 4.6 24.3 24.4 17.7 27.7 24.8 20.5June .. 59.4 60.4 4.6 14.6 24.3 6.7 7.6 103.7 103.2 4.5 25.2 24.5 17.9 27.0 25.2 20.9July ... 60.1 61.1 4.7 14.9 24.5 6.7 7.5 104.8 104.6 4.6 26.3 24.5 17.8 27.4 25.5 21.7Aug ... 58.2 59.3 4.5 14.1 24.1 6.4 7.5 102.6 102.2 4.6 26.0 24.2 16.3 27.4 25.9 21.7Sept .. 59.9 61.0 4.7 14.2 24.8 6.8 7.7 105.5 105.2 4.8 26.1 25.1 17.5 27.8 26.1 21.8Oct .... 61.2 61.9 4.8 14.6 25.5 6.9 7.6 107.3 107.1 4.8 26.0 25.4 18.0 28.9 26.9 22.3Nov .... 63.1 64.2 5.0 14.6 26.8 6.8 8.0 107.8 107.6 4.9 25.8 25.6 18.1 29.1 27.1 22.3Dec .... 62.6 63.4 4.9 15.1 26.0 6.9 7.8 111.1 110.9 4.9 28.1 26.7 18.3 28.9 27.5 22.92004: Jan .... 61.7 62.7 4.6 15.1 25.9 6.7 7.7 111.3 111.0 4.8 28.3 26.7 17.8 29.4 26.9 23.1Feb .... 64.9 65.9 4.7 16.0 27.2 7.0 8.2 114.7 114.5 5.1 31.2 26.3 18.8 28.9 27.3 23.3Mar ... 67.3 68.5 4.9 16.7 27.7 7.2 8.6 118.7 118.4 5.1 31.8 27.2 18.9 31.2 27.9 23.6Apr .... 65.9 66.9 4.7 16.3 27.1 7.2 8.6 118.9 118.7 5.1 30.9 27.8 19.0 31.7 28.3 23.8May ... 68.7 69.6 4.8 17.3 28.7 7.2 8.5 120.2 119.9 5.3 31.9 28.0 19.4 31.0 28.1 24.0June .. 64.7 65.7 4.5 16.1 26.4 7.0 8.4 123.8 123.5 5.2 35.1 29.4 18.7 31.0 28.3 24.5July ... 67.5 68.2 4.4 17.3 27.8 7.6 8.2 122.2 122.0 5.1 33.9 29.2 19.1 30.5 28.4 24.2Aug ... 68.0 68.8 4.2 17.0 27.7 7.8 8.6 125.0 124.7 5.1 36.6 29.0 19.2 30.4 28.2 25.1Sept .. 69.1 70.2 4.9 17.4 28.0 7.7 8.8 124.1 123.9 5.0 35.5 29.5 19.5 30.3 28.4 24.3Oct .... 69.2 70.1 4.7 17.9 28.1 7.7 8.8 129.3 129.0 5.2 38.4 29.8 19.4 32.0 28.6 24.5Nov p 66.5 67.5 4.7 17.1 26.6 7.3 8.6 130.7 130.4 5.4 39.6 29.7 18.9 32.4 29.0 25.21Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program are excluded fromtotal exports through 1985 and included beginning 1986.2F.a.s. (free alongside ship) value basis at U.S. port of exportation for exports and at foreign port of exportation for imports.3Beginning 1989, exports have been adjusted for undocumented exports to Canada and are included in the appropriate end-use categories.For prior years, only total exports include this adjustment.4Total includes ‘‘other’’ exports or imports, not shown separately.5Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.6Total includes revisions not reflected in detail.7Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical month basis.Note.—Goods on a Census basis are adjusted to a BOP basis by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, in line with concepts and definitionsused to prepare international and national accounts. The adjustments are necessary to supplement coverage of Census data, to eliminateduplication of transactions recorded elsewhere in international accounts, and to value transactions according to a standard definition.Data include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and U.S. Foreign Trade Zones.Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census and Bureau of Economic Analysis).
TABLE B–107.—International investment position of the United States at year-end, 1995–2003[Billions of dollars]Type ofinvestment1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 pNET INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITIONOF THE UNITED STATES:With direct investment at current cost .. −458.5 −495.1 −820.7 −900.0 −775.5 −1,388.7 −1,889.7 −2,233.0 −2,430.7With direct investment at market value −305.8 −360.0 −822.7 −1,075.4 −1,046.7 −1,588.6 −2,308.2 −2,553.4 −2,651.0U.S.-OWNED ASSETS ABROAD:With direct investment at current cost .. 3,486.3 4,032.3 4,567.9 5,090.9 5,965.1 6,231.2 6,270.4 6,413.5 7,202.7With direct investment at market value 3,964.6 4,650.8 5,379.1 6,174.5 7,390.4 7,393.6 6,898.7 6,613.3 7,864.0U.S. official reserve assets .............................. 176.1 160.7 134.8 146.0 136.4 128.4 130.0 158.6 183.6Gold 1 ........................................................ 101.3 96.7 75.9 75.3 76.0 71.8 72.3 90.8 108.9Special drawing rights ............................ 11.0 10.3 10.0 10.6 10.3 10.5 10.8 12.2 12.6Reserve position in the InternationalMonetary Fund ..................................... 14.6 15.4 18.1 24.1 18.0 14.8 17.9 22.0 22.5Foreign currencies ................................... 49.1 38.3 30.8 36.0 32.2 31.2 29.0 33.7 39.5U.S. Government assets, other than officialreserves ........................................................ 85.1 86.1 86.2 86.8 84.2 85.2 85.7 85.3 84.8U.S. credits and other long-term assets 82.8 84.0 84.1 84.9 81.7 82.6 83.1 82.7 82.0Repayable in dollars ....................... 82.4 83.6 83.8 84.5 81.4 82.3 82.9 82.4 81.7Other ................................................ .4 .4 .4 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3U.S. foreign currency holdings and U.S.short-term assets ................................ 2.3 2.1 2.1 1.9 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.8U.S. private assets:With direct investment at current cost .. 3,225.1 3,785.4 4,346.9 4,858.2 5,744.5 6,017.7 6,054.8 6,169.6 6,934.3With direct investment at market value 3,703.4 4,404.0 5,158.1 5,941.7 7,169.8 7,180.1 6,683.1 6,369.4 7,595.6Direct investment abroad:At current cost .................................... 885.5 989.8 1,068.1 1,196.0 1,414.4 1,531.6 1,686.6 1,840.0 2,069.0At market value ................................... 1,363.8 1,608.3 1,879.3 2,279.6 2,839.6 2,694.0 2,314.9 2,039.8 2,730.3Foreign securities ........................................ 1,203.9 1,487.5 1,751.2 2,053.0 2,525.3 2,385.4 2,114.7 1,846.9 2,474.4Bonds ................................................... 413.3 481.4 543.4 578.0 521.6 532.5 502.1 501.8 502.1Corporate stocks ................................. 790.6 1,006.1 1,207.8 1,475.0 2,003.7 1,852.8 1,612.7 1,345.1 1,972.2U.S. claims on unaffiliated foreignersreported by U.S. nonbanking concerns ... 367.6 450.6 545.5 588.3 704.5 836.6 839.3 908.0 614.7U.S. claims reported by U.S. banks, not includedelsewhere ..................................... 768.1 857.5 982.1 1,020.8 1,100.3 1,264.1 1,414.1 1,574.7 1,776.3FOREIGN-OWNED ASSETS IN THE UNITEDSTATES:With direct investment at current cost .. 3,944.7 4,527.4 5,388.6 5,990.9 6,740.6 7,620.0 8,160.1 8,646.6 9,633.4With direct investment at market value 4,270.4 5,010.9 6,201.9 7,249.9 8,437.1 8,982.2 9,206.9 9,166.7 10,515.0Foreign official assets in the United States ... 682.9 820.8 873.7 896.2 951.1 1,030.7 1,082.3 1,212.7 1,474.2U.S. Government securities ..................... 507.5 631.1 648.2 669.8 693.8 756.2 831.5 954.9 1,145.0U.S. Treasury securities .................. 490.0 606.4 615.1 622.9 617.7 639.8 704.6 796.4 956.7Other ................................................ 17.5 24.7 33.1 46.8 76.1 116.4 126.9 158.4 188.4Other U.S. Government liabilities ............ 23.6 22.6 21.7 18.4 21.1 19.3 17.0 17.1 16.6U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks,not included elsewhere ....................... 107.4 113.1 135.4 125.9 138.8 153.4 123.4 144.6 190.6Other foreign official assets ................... 44.4 54.0 68.4 82.1 97.3 101.8 110.4 96.0 122.0Other foreign assets:With direct investment at current cost .. 3,261.9 3,706.5 4,514.9 5,094.7 5,789.5 6,589.3 7,077.8 7,433.8 8,159.2With direct investment at market value 3,587.5 4,190.0 5,328.1 6,353.7 7,486.0 7,951.5 8,124.6 7,954.0 9,040.8Direct investment in the United States:At current cost .................................... 680.1 745.6 824.1 920.0 1,101.7 1,421.0 1,513.5 1,505.2 1,554.0At market value ................................... 1,005.7 1,229.1 1,637.4 2,179.0 2,798.2 2,783.2 2,560.3 2,025.3 2,435.5U.S. Treasury securities .............................. 327.0 433.9 538.1 543.3 440.7 381.6 358.5 457.7 542.5U.S. securities other than U.S. Treasurysecurities ................................................. 969.8 1,165.1 1,512.7 1,903.4 2,351.3 2,623.0 2,821.4 2,786.6 3,391.1Corporate and other bonds ................. 459.1 539.3 618.8 724.6 825.2 1,068.6 1,343.1 1,600.4 1,853.0Corporate stocks ................................. 510.8 625.8 893.9 1,178.8 1,526.1 1,554.4 1,478.3 1,186.2 1,538.1U.S. currency ................................................ 169.5 186.8 211.6 228.3 250.7 256.0 279.8 301.3 317.9U.S. liabilities to unaffiliated foreignersreported by U.S. nonbanking concerns ... 300.4 346.8 459.4 485.7 578.0 738.9 798.3 864.6 466.5U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks, notincluded elsewhere .................................. 815.0 828.2 968.8 1,014.0 1,067.2 1,168.7 1,306.4 1,518.4 1,887.21Valued at market price.Note.—For details regarding these data, see Survey of Current Business, July 2004.Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.333
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Economic Reportof the PresidentTran
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C O N T E N T SECONOMIC REPORT OF T
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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENTTo
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the playing field is level for our
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LETTER OF TRANSMITTALCOUNCIL OF ECO
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Monetary Policy ...................
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Encouraging FDI ...................
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3-4. The Equivalence of Sales Taxes
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Real GDP expanded by 3.7 percent du
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Options for Tax ReformChapter 3, Op
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and better Nation for it. A compreh
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Innovation and the Information Econ
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ecause they do not expect family me
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The Administration has pushed aggre
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C H A P T E R 1The Year in Review a
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Consumer SpendingConsumer spending
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easons for this correlation are dis
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2003, a number of countries that to
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ProductivityRecent productivity gro
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The projected path of inflation as
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strengthen. The forecast is based o
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The growth rate of the economy over
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In sum, potential real GDP is proje
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C H A P T E R 2Expansions Past and
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The behavior of real GDP is similar
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of faltering may be attributable to
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most recent expansions have shown r
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middle of 2003. The more moderate r
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1.2 percent. Employment continued t
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SummaryModerate recessions are foll
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permanent cuts should permanently r
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and the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief
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Federal government revenues had bee
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Fiscal policy played an especially
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C H A P T E R 3Options for Tax Refo
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High Compliance CostsThe complexity
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a reasonable estimate is that a 10
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Excess BurdenBecause taxes distort
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Box 3-3 — continuedThe bottom 40
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more uniform or pure version of the
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of being collected all at once at t
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would have to differ from state tax
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owner claimed it was for business,
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The current set of saving incentive
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the current system. In addition, so
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C H A P T E R 4ImmigrationIn recent
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TABLE 4-1.— Foreign-Born Share of
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immigrants (also called illegal or
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largest group of immigrants was bor
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employment costs, including wage fl
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Chapter 4 | 103
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wages fall in response to immigrati
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immigrants from Latin America do re
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addition, as migrants leave the cou
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include siblings and adult children
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despite the tremendous growth in th
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The TWP would allow new foreign wor
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C H A P T E R 5Expanding Individual
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This phenomenon, known as the “tr
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producing more of that good. Simila
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In 2002, the President proposed “
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provide evidence of increased profi
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schools are four times as efficient
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low administrative costs, estimated
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Box 5-2: The Benefits of Land Title
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development plan designed by others
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C H A P T E R 6Innovation and theIn
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E-mail is the most common online ac
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Changed circumstances, such as new
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Illegal Acts on the InternetThe Int
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or develop new markets, which can l
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inflation factor for the price cap
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U.S. households connecting to local
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garbling their transmissions. To li
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from 51.3 percent in December 1999
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for their property rights. The Admi
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C H A P T E R 7The Global HIV/AIDS
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Chart 7-1 Estimated HIV Infection L
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There is no cure for HIV/AIDS, thou
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AIDS is more damaging to a househol
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and risk reduction have helped redu
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only one price, the drug companies
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Box 7-1 — continuedfocused on the
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Box 7-2 — continuedenhancing coor
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ConclusionThe United States and cou
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Good Two. In Ricardo’s simple mod
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The Impact of Trade on Labor Market
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The U.S. Advantage in Services Trad
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U.S. firms is associated with a cor
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anked the second-best country out o
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the Chinese government agreed to el
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Trade LiberalizationTariffs and oth
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ConclusionThe United States is the
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LETTER OF TRANSMITTALCOUNCIL OF ECO
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Report to the President on theActiv
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The Council continued its efforts t
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The Staff of the Council of Economi
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John List and Ted Gayer provided co
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Appendix BSTATISTICAL TABLES RELATI
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PageB-32. Gross saving and investme
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PageB-94. Relation of profits after
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NATIONAL INCOME OR EXPENDITURETABLE
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TABLE B-2.—Real gross domestic pr
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TABLE B-3.—Quantity and price ind
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TABLE B-5.—Contributions to perce
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TABLE B-6.—Chain-type quantity in
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TABLE B-7.—Chain-type price index
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TABLE B-8.—Gross domestic product
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TABLE B-10.—Gross value added by
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TABLE B-12.—Gross domestic produc
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TABLE B-13.—Real gross domestic p
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TABLE B-14.—Gross value added of
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TABLE B-16.—Personal consumption
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TABLE B-18.—Private fixed investm
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TABLE B-20.—Government consumptio
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TABLE B-22.—Private inventories a
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TABLE B-24.—Foreign transactions
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TABLE B-26.—Relation of gross dom
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TABLE B-28.—National income by ty
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TABLE B-29.—Sources of personal i
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TABLE B-30.—Disposition of person
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Year or quarterTABLE B-32.—Gross
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TABLE B-33.—Median money income (
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TABLE B-35.—Civilian population a
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TABLE B-36.—Civilian employment a
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TABLE B-38.—Unemployment by demog
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TABLE B-40.—Civilian labor force
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TABLE B-42.—Civilian unemployment
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TABLE B-44.—Unemployment by durat
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TABLE B-46.—Employees on nonagric
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TABLE B-47.—Hours and earnings in
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Year orquarterTABLE B-49.—Product
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PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITYTAB
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Year ormonthTABLE B-53.—Industria
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Year or monthTABLE B-55.—New cons
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TABLE B-57.—Manufacturing and tra
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TABLE B-59.—Manufacturers’ new
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Year ormonthTABLE B-61.—Consumer
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Page 280 and 281: TABLE B-64.—Changes in consumer p
Page 282 and 283: TABLE B-65.—Producer price indexe
Page 284 and 285: TABLE B-67.—Producer price indexe
Page 286 and 287: TABLE B-68.—Changes in producer p
Page 288 and 289: TABLE B-70.—Components of money s
Page 290 and 291: TABLE B-71.—Aggregate reserves of
Page 292 and 293: TABLE B-73.—Bond yields and inter
Page 294 and 295: TABLE B-74.—Credit market borrowi
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Page 298 and 299: TABLE B-77.—Consumer credit outst
Page 300 and 301: TABLE B-79.—Federal receipts, out
Page 302 and 303: TABLE B-81.—Federal receipts, out
Page 304 and 305: TABLE B-83.—Federal and State and
Page 306 and 307: TABLE B-85.—State and local gover
Page 308 and 309: End of yearor monthTABLE B-87.—U.
Page 310 and 311: End of monthTABLE B-89.—Estimated
Page 312 and 313: TABLE B-91.—Corporate profits by
Page 314 and 315: TABLE B-93.—Sales, profits, and s
Page 316 and 317: YearComposite(Dec. 31,2002=5,000) 3
Page 318 and 319: YearAGRICULTURETABLE B-97.—Farm i
Page 320 and 321: TABLE B-99.—Farm output and produ
Page 322 and 323: Year ormonthTABLE B-101.—Agricult
Page 324 and 325: INTERNATIONAL STATISTICSTABLE B-103
Page 326 and 327: TABLE B-104.—U.S. international t
Page 330 and 331: TABLE B-108.—Industrial productio
Page 332 and 333: TABLE B-110.—Foreign exchange rat
Page 334: TABLE B-112.—Growth rates in real
show all

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