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Managing Computers in Large Organizations

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<strong>Manag<strong>in</strong>g</strong> Microcomputers <strong>in</strong> <strong>Large</strong> <strong>Organizations</strong><br />

http://www.nap.edu/catalog/167.html<br />

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PERSONAL COMPUTERS AND THE OFFICE OF THE FUTURE 60<br />

Personal <strong>Computers</strong> and the Office of the<br />

Future<br />

James H. Bair*<br />

A historical perspective is helpful <strong>in</strong> understand<strong>in</strong>g where small computer<br />

technology is headed. In the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g, back <strong>in</strong> 1945, Vannevar Bush proposed<br />

that computers could serve as an extension to human memory. That idea took<br />

shape at Stanford Research Institute <strong>in</strong> the early 1960s as an augmented human<br />

<strong>in</strong>tellect system. This system <strong>in</strong> turn evolved <strong>in</strong>to augmented knowledge<br />

workshops and eventually <strong>in</strong>to the concept of office automation, a system that<br />

was actually demonstrated at the National Computer Conference <strong>in</strong> 1967.<br />

The “office of the future,” as it was conceived then, never really got off the<br />

ground. It was generally superseded by personal computers. But some of the<br />

issues that were typical then are still important today and will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be<br />

issues as we move toward <strong>in</strong>tegrat<strong>in</strong>g the personal computer <strong>in</strong>to the<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>stream of digital technology.<br />

One way to look at evolution—<strong>in</strong> this case, the evolution of digital<br />

technology—is <strong>in</strong> terms of the “share of m<strong>in</strong>d” that a technology commands at<br />

a given time. In fact, it is not really the technology but some manifestation of it<br />

that has the share of m<strong>in</strong>d.<br />

Prior to 1960 scientific and military comput<strong>in</strong>g was the dom<strong>in</strong>ant<br />

manifestation. Then, management <strong>in</strong>formation systems<br />

* James H. Bair is manager of advanced systems for the Information Systems Group,<br />

Hewlett-Packard Co., Cupert<strong>in</strong>o, California.<br />

Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

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