26.02.2016 Views

pakistan’s

SR55_Mapping_Pakistan_February2016

SR55_Mapping_Pakistan_February2016

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Ironically, the quest for energy security also created the prospects for both Iran and Pakistan<br />

to act as partners with (or rivals to) each other in serving as conduits for trade and transit to<br />

Central Asia. Iran perceives itself as the natural transit route for oil and gas exports and non-oil<br />

trade from Central Asian countries to world markets. Iran offered India a viable transit route<br />

for trade with the newly independent Central Asian republics by linking major seaports in the<br />

Caspian Sea and the Indian Ocean bordering India with the rest of the world. To this end, the two<br />

countries inked an MOU in 1984, with Tajikistan as the third signatory party, to facilitate India’s<br />

transit trade with the Central Asian republics. India had been participating in efforts to complete<br />

railway projects that would facilitate such transit within Iran. Iran, India, Turkmenistan, and<br />

Kyrgyzstan are also co-signatories of a cargo transit arrangement via rail from Bandar Abbas<br />

to Central Asia and beyond. However, Pakistan, because of its proximity to the region, viewed<br />

all these developments as inimical to its own interests. Instead, it touted a policy of “strategic<br />

depth,” under which Pakistan sought to use the natural advantage of its proximity to the Central<br />

Asian landmass to monopolize access to the region. In effect, these two separate efforts served to<br />

neutralize each other, serving no country’s interest in any considerable measure.<br />

Strategic Cooperation between Iran and India<br />

Iranian strategic calculations have also been a source of tension between Pakistan and Iran, as<br />

the latter looked to bolster its interests by seeking partners with other regional powers, including<br />

Russia and India. With the disintegration of the Soviet Union and the emergence of the Central<br />

Asian states—all of which had varying degrees of closeness historically and culturally with<br />

Iran—as comforting buffers, Iran’s traditional relationship of mutual suspicion and hostility with<br />

the former Soviet Union was transformed into a new relationship of potential cooperation and<br />

selective collaboration in defense purchases with the new Russian Federation. In the mid-1990s,<br />

Iran acquired three submarines from Russia and other conventional weaponry from both Russia<br />

and other states of the former Soviet Union. 4<br />

However, with the growing U.S.-Russia detente, Iran viewed Russia as increasingly under U.S.<br />

pressure and therefore not entirely reliable as a source for spare parts and ater-sales services.<br />

(This perception translated into Iran forging and strengthening close ties with both China and<br />

North Korea—but the limited scope of this essay precludes elaboration of this here). Although<br />

Russia completed delivery of all submarines in the mid-1990s, it was around this time that Iran<br />

looked eastward to India as a possible strategic partner in the realm of defense. As such, several<br />

high-level visits between defense personnel were exchanged, albeit without any fanfare. India<br />

could provide Iran spare parts, maintenance, and training in the use of its defense hardware of<br />

Russian or former Soviet origin. Therefore, the two countries cautiously explored the new potential<br />

for expanding strategic cooperation, although neither side talked about this publicly. This caused<br />

considerable angst and discomfort in Pakistan. However, U.S. pressure and the threat of sanctions<br />

on Indo-Iranian deals effectively served to push this issue to the back burner, which militated<br />

against Iran and India coming closer together but also in the process caused vicarious pleasure in<br />

Pakistan and fueled resentment in Iran.<br />

116<br />

NBR<br />

4 Nuclear Threat Initiative, “Iran Submarine Capabilities,” July 17, 2013, http://www.nti.org/analysis/articles/iran-submarine-capabilities;<br />

and Lionel Beehner, “Russia-Iran Arms Trade,” Council on Foreign Relations, Backgrounder, November 1, 2013, http://www.cfr.org/armsindustries-and-trade/russia-iran-arms-trade/p11869.<br />

SPECIAL REPORT u FEBRUARY 2016

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!