Digitalisation of the economy and its impact on labour markets —
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<str<strong>on</strong>g>Digitalisati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>ec<strong>on</strong>omy</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>its</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>labour</strong> <strong>markets</strong><br />
According to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Internati<strong>on</strong>al Data Corporati<strong>on</strong> (IDC), ‘<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Big Data<br />
technology <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> services market represents a fast-growing multibilli<strong>on</strong>-dollar<br />
worldwide opportunity. In fact, a recent IDC forecast shows that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Big Data<br />
technology <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> services market will grow at a 26.4% compound annual growth<br />
rate to $41.5 billi<strong>on</strong> through 2018, or about six times <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> growth rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
overall informati<strong>on</strong> technology market 3 .<br />
The three characteristics <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Big Data are summed up in what have been called<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 3Vs: Volume, Velocity (speed at which <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> data are created), Variety.<br />
Management <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this data can allow formerly hidden informati<strong>on</strong> (for example,<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> wea<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r forecasts <strong>on</strong> sales) to be revealed 4 . We are thus speaking<br />
about unprecedented opportunities to combine, at virtually lightning speed,<br />
immense stocks <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> most highly varied data. This in turn enables, in a wide<br />
range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fields, reacti<strong>on</strong> to or anticipati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> behaviour <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a c<strong>on</strong>sumer, a<br />
driver, a salesman <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> – why not? – a worker.<br />
In this way Big Data become intelligent <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> can be turned into ‘learning<br />
machines’. Brynjolfss<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> McAfee, two fervent supporters <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this new digital<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>ec<strong>on</strong>omy</str<strong>on</strong>g>, describe a ‘sec<strong>on</strong>d machine age’ characterised by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> explosi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
digital data <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> robotics market. They tell us that digitalisati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> almost<br />
everything – documents, informati<strong>on</strong>, maps, photos, music, pers<strong>on</strong>al data,<br />
social networks, request for informati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> answers to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se requests, data<br />
transmitted by all sorts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sensors, etc. – is <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> most important phenom -<br />
ena <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> last few years. As we enter <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> sec<strong>on</strong>d machine age, digitalisati<strong>on</strong><br />
c<strong>on</strong>tinues to exp<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> accelerate, translating into some absolutely stupefying<br />
statistics’ (Brynjolfss<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> McAfee 2014: 78). The learning machines, fed by<br />
this data, are now beginning to perform tasks that were formerly unimaginable:<br />
diagnosing sicknesses, driving vehicles, drafting press articles, forecasting<br />
epidemics, restoring sight to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> partially blind, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> much more.<br />
To take a single example, it is perfectly possible to imagine that so<strong>on</strong>, at <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
moment you enter a restaurant your smartph<strong>on</strong>e will show you <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> menu,<br />
suggest what dishes are most likely to give satisfacti<strong>on</strong> depending <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> time<br />
available for your meal, your budget, your dietary c<strong>on</strong>straints, etc. (Babinet<br />
2015: 55). Similarly, a car rental firm would be able to forecast how many<br />
vehicles need to be available at <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> airport <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> basis <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> vacant<br />
hotel rooms.<br />
Intelligent data shake up <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> overturn retailing procedures, forms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> corporate<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> industrial organisati<strong>on</strong>, underst<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ing <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> stakes not <strong>on</strong>ly within<br />
companies but also in fields as wide-ranging as health, agriculture, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
envir<strong>on</strong>ment, energy, transport, town planning, in short, all forms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
3. https://www.idc.com/prodserv/4Pillars/bigdata<br />
4. According to Babinet, it was <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> interc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> synchr<strong>on</strong>isati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> financial <strong>markets</strong> at<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> beginning <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1980s that triggered <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> movement <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> globalisati<strong>on</strong>: <strong>on</strong>ce <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> financial<br />
<strong>markets</strong> were interc<strong>on</strong>nected, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y began to dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> from governments <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> deregulati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
financial trade, free movement <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> capital, etc. (Babinet 2015: 213). This is seen as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> birth<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> first ‘digital platform’, that <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> finance.<br />
WP 2016.02<br />
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