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Digitalisation of the economy and its impact on labour markets —

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<str<strong>on</strong>g>Digitalisati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>ec<strong>on</strong>omy</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>its</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>labour</strong> <strong>markets</strong><br />

Introducti<strong>on</strong><br />

A new debate is causing ferment not <strong>on</strong>ly in academia but also in politics <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> world <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>labour</strong> in both <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> United States <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Europe. This debate,<br />

symbolised by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrupti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Uber in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> passenger transport sector, signals<br />

– according to some – an end to waged <strong>labour</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> total liberalisati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

services, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> extensi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> worldwide competiti<strong>on</strong> far bey<strong>on</strong>d any <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

Bolkestein directive’s prop<strong>on</strong>ents’ wildest dreams. It will put an end to social<br />

models as we know <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>m in Europe: no more <strong>labour</strong> law or working time<br />

regulati<strong>on</strong>; no more hours’ schedules or <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fices; no dismissal procedures (but<br />

instead internet accounts disc<strong>on</strong>nected by decisi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> some start-up<br />

somewhere); <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> no more collective <strong>labour</strong> acti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

O<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs regard this visi<strong>on</strong> as exaggeratedly pessimistic; <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>y see <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong>set <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a<br />

digitalised <str<strong>on</strong>g>ec<strong>on</strong>omy</str<strong>on</strong>g> as a harbinger <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> new opportunities, whe<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

services sector – where <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> emergence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> collaborative projects will be<br />

facilitated, with a premium <strong>on</strong> use value ra<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r than ownership (shared use <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

costly goods such as cars, housing, tools), <strong>on</strong> repair ra<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r than replacement,<br />

<strong>on</strong> local or shared financing ra<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r than bank loans – or in industry where<br />

increasingly intelligent producti<strong>on</strong> lines will volatise worker input to produce<br />

a new form <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cooperati<strong>on</strong> between humans <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> machines. Here we have a<br />

new ec<strong>on</strong>omic model entailing zero marginal cost that in no time at all will<br />

become <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> driver <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> powerful ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> str<strong>on</strong>g job creati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

How are we to see with any clarity what is entailed by such a rapidly evolving<br />

scenario? In <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> following paragraphs we will attempt to establish <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> current<br />

state <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> debate using some <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> main publicati<strong>on</strong>s that have appeared in<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> last two or three years in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> United States <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Europe.<br />

In a first part, we sketch out <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> general c<strong>on</strong>text: what is meant by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> digital<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>ec<strong>on</strong>omy</str<strong>on</strong>g>, by Big Data, or internet platforms? And what are <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> new<br />

possibilities <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>reby opened up?<br />

In <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> sec<strong>on</strong>d part we tackle some <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> specific questi<strong>on</strong>s raised by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se<br />

developments in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> world <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>labour</strong> in particular:<br />

<strong>—</strong> regarding <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>labour</strong> market: does <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> digital <str<strong>on</strong>g>ec<strong>on</strong>omy</str<strong>on</strong>g> destroy more jobs<br />

than it creates? Do we have any way <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> predicting <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> net outcome?<br />

<strong>—</strong> c<strong>on</strong>cerning <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> status <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> workers: are we all about to become selfemployed?<br />

Is this <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> end <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> wage <strong>labour</strong> or <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> beginning <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> new <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

more flexible forms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> employment more in keeping with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> wishes <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

workers <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>mselves?<br />

WP 2016.02<br />

5

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