Understanding earnings quality - MIT Sloan School of Management
Understanding earnings quality - MIT Sloan School of Management
Understanding earnings quality - MIT Sloan School of Management
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attention (Aboody et al. , 1999). 71 Both studies predict that macroeconomic factors are correlated<br />
with increased incentives for <strong>earnings</strong> management. We did not find any studies that hypothesize<br />
macroeconomic conditions as a determinant <strong>of</strong> <strong>earnings</strong> <strong>quality</strong> for other reasons, for example,<br />
because <strong>of</strong> variation in the ability <strong>of</strong> accruals to capture performance fundamentals when the<br />
“fundamentals” are different.<br />
6. The consequences <strong>of</strong> <strong>earnings</strong> <strong>quality</strong><br />
6.1 Capital market consequences <strong>of</strong> <strong>earnings</strong> <strong>quality</strong><br />
The hypothesized capital market consequences <strong>of</strong> <strong>earnings</strong> <strong>quality</strong> include: short-window<br />
stock price returns around the <strong>earnings</strong> announcement date, contemporaneous long-window returns,<br />
and future stock price performance after the release <strong>of</strong> <strong>earnings</strong>-related information (Section 6.1.1);<br />
market-multiples (Section 6.1.2); cost <strong>of</strong> equity capital (Section 6.1.3); and cost <strong>of</strong> debt capital<br />
(Section 6.1.4). 72<br />
6.1.1 Return responses to <strong>earnings</strong> <strong>quality</strong><br />
Contemporaneous short-window returns: In the short-window returns tests, information is assumed<br />
to be <strong>of</strong> higher <strong>quality</strong> if it has a higher association with returns. Inferring variation in EQ from the<br />
association between unexpected <strong>earnings</strong> and returns has been a prevalent research methodology<br />
since the publication <strong>of</strong> Kormendi and Lipe (1987) and Easton and Zmijewski (1989). The key<br />
findings are:<br />
71 Wilson (1987) finds that his results are driven by two observations (1981 and 1982) and conjectures that the cause<br />
might be a “macroeconomic phenomenon,” given that both were years <strong>of</strong> significant economic downturn. Bernard and<br />
Stober (1989), however, find no evidence for this conjecture.<br />
72 Many <strong>of</strong> the studies that examine market consequences use multiple measures and are cited more than once.<br />
120