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NIGERIA Invest in 2012-13 - Newsdesk Media

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Potential for growth<br />

The Nigerian government has been try<strong>in</strong>g to attract <strong>in</strong>vestors<br />

<strong>in</strong>to petrochemicals s<strong>in</strong>ce 1977, when it launched a master<br />

plan for the <strong>in</strong>dustry. The more attractive political climate may<br />

mean that more recent efforts have greater success. Gibb<strong>in</strong>s<br />

suggests that Nigeria’s potential is significant, but says it<br />

would need some deregulation, <strong>in</strong>vestment worth several<br />

billion dollars, an attractive climate for foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors and<br />

“three to five years m<strong>in</strong>imum”.<br />

“There’s huge potential <strong>in</strong> Nigeria – it could be the<br />

petrochemicals producer for the whole of Africa. But it needs<br />

to get its act together first,” he says. BMI analysts admit that<br />

they are sceptical, too, about some of the promised projects.<br />

Eleme’s plan to build one of the world’s largest fertiliser<br />

complexes has seen its timescale slip by two years already.<br />

“The fertiliser complex planned by India’s Nagarjuna is<br />

oil, gas and m<strong>in</strong>erals 103<br />

Despite plenty of plans for <strong>in</strong>vestment, petrochemicals<br />

analysts rema<strong>in</strong> sceptical about whether those<br />

ambitions will be realised over the next five years<br />

scheduled to come onstream <strong>in</strong> 2014-15, but [we] believe that<br />

project delays are <strong>in</strong>evitable, and do not envisage completion<br />

until 2016 at the earliest,” the analysis group says.<br />

Economic benefits<br />

Nigerian companies spend around $1 billion a year import<strong>in</strong>g<br />

petrochemicals products such as solvents, polymer granules<br />

and so on, accord<strong>in</strong>g to BMI, so there would be a key<br />

economic benefit <strong>in</strong> Nigeria develop<strong>in</strong>g and susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g a<br />

stronger petrochemicals sector.<br />

BMI also suggests, nevertheless, that there is an<br />

important role for foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors: “Nigeria’s petrochemicals<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry cannot be resurrected by governmental efforts<br />

alone. Strong private sector participation is required <strong>in</strong><br />

addition to long-term commitment and plann<strong>in</strong>g for<br />

develop<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>dustry.” ■<br />

<strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> nigeria <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>13</strong>

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