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NIGERIA Invest in 2012-13 - Newsdesk Media

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the economy and f<strong>in</strong>ance 67<br />

Public resources and development banks will not be able<br />

to cover the substantial costs <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />

projects. Private capital is a potential f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g outlet<br />

sectors, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g food, construction<br />

and tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and education have<br />

shown <strong>in</strong>terest, with many look<strong>in</strong>g at<br />

work<strong>in</strong>g with Nigerian agents or<br />

distributors rather than open their own<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>ess on the ground.”<br />

Challenges to secur<strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>ance<br />

Form<strong>in</strong>g trade agreements usually<br />

means establish<strong>in</strong>g a l<strong>in</strong>e of credit.<br />

It has been difficult to secure f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

for Nigerian <strong>in</strong>vestments because of<br />

local risks. Efforts have been made to<br />

stamp out corruption and violence, but<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestors rema<strong>in</strong> wary of issues such as<br />

delayed or miss<strong>in</strong>g payments and<br />

non-delivery of products. “Nigeria can<br />

be a challeng<strong>in</strong>g place. As <strong>in</strong> any<br />

overseas market, it is important to<br />

undertake due diligence and ensure the<br />

legality of contracts,” Fogden stresses.<br />

A deregulated foreign exchange<br />

system has helped to ease concerns, but<br />

lenders still often require protection for<br />

trade f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>gs – for example, <strong>in</strong>voice<br />

f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g and export receivables-<br />

backed f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g where credit is secured<br />

<strong>in</strong> advance, or e-payments. Banks can<br />

also <strong>in</strong>sist on risk guarantees, so that<br />

borrowers carry the f<strong>in</strong>ancial burden if<br />

political or civil unrest disrupts<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>ess, or they simply place a high<br />

price on loans to mitigate that risk.<br />

Nigeria’s biggest f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

challenge, however, rema<strong>in</strong>s its<br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure: public transport is<br />

unreliable, schools and hospitals need<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment and power outages are<br />

common. The cost to provide the country<br />

with modern and stable transport, power<br />

and communication systems is expected<br />

to surpass $100 billion, accord<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

sources <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the World Bank.<br />

The government has made<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment a priority. The prime<br />

<strong>in</strong>itiative is Vision 20:20, a $5.5 billion<br />

plan to achieve 16,000MW of capacity<br />

to the grid by 20<strong>13</strong>. The World Bank,<br />

meanwhile, claims that a further<br />

$14 billion per year is required over the<br />

next decade to deliver transport and<br />

social <strong>in</strong>frastructure projects if the<br />

country is to reach its growth targets.<br />

<strong>Invest</strong>ment gap<br />

The traditional source of fund<strong>in</strong>g for<br />

such programmes – public resources and<br />

development banks – will not be able to<br />

cover the substantial costs <strong>in</strong>volved.<br />

Private capital, through privatisations<br />

and public-private partnerships (PPPs),<br />

is a potential f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g outlet.<br />

“The Nigerian Government simply<br />

does not have the funds to provide<br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure,” observes Oluseyi<br />

Bickersteth, the national senior partner<br />

<strong>in</strong> Nigeria at KPMG Professional<br />

Services. “The <strong>2012</strong> budget has only<br />

28 per cent go<strong>in</strong>g to capital budget.<br />

That is why PPPs are important. That is<br />

why privatisation is important. In project<br />

f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, the key has been government<br />

realisation that private f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g is<br />

crucial and needed.”<br />

Eleven distribution organisations<br />

and six power stations have already been<br />

offered for privatisation <strong>in</strong> a bid to open<br />

up the energy market. Hundreds of<br />

expressions of <strong>in</strong>terest were lodged for<br />

the assets follow<strong>in</strong>g roadshows that<br />

took place <strong>in</strong> Lagos, Dubai, New York,<br />

London and Johannesburg.<br />

The privatisations are likely to<br />

attract asset f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, while<br />

non-recourse debt will be required if<br />

the PPP programme is to succeed. The<br />

PPP model <strong>in</strong>volves projects be<strong>in</strong>g<br />

funded and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed by a private<br />

company, which assumes the f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

and operational risk, while the<br />

authorities pay an availability fee for<br />

the use of the project.<br />

The pathf<strong>in</strong>der PPP is the<br />

$450 million design, build, f<strong>in</strong>ance,<br />

operate and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> project for a new<br />

term<strong>in</strong>al and air traffic systems at<br />

Lekki-Epe International Airport <strong>in</strong> Lagos.<br />

The tender opened <strong>in</strong> 2011 with 33<br />

bidders, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g divisions of Bouygues,<br />

DSC Infrastructure, Grupo Isolux Corsán<br />

and Samsung register<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terest. Other<br />

proposed PPPs <strong>in</strong>clude a second bridge<br />

across the Niger, two national arenas <strong>in</strong><br />

Lagos and Abuja and the redevelopment<br />

of the General Hospital <strong>in</strong> Lagos.<br />

Focus on the banks<br />

Key to this process will be Nigeria’s<br />

banks, which have been able to <strong>in</strong>crease<br />

their liquidity after the government<br />

provided a $4 billion rescue package<br />

dur<strong>in</strong>g the global economic crisis. This<br />

came about after Central Bank of Nigeria<br />

(CBN) reforms to recapitalise the banks<br />

<strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> niGeRia <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>13</strong>

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