NIGERIA Invest in 2012-13 - Newsdesk Media
NIGERIA Invest in 2012-13 - Newsdesk Media
NIGERIA Invest in 2012-13 - Newsdesk Media
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the economy and f<strong>in</strong>ance 67<br />
Public resources and development banks will not be able<br />
to cover the substantial costs <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />
projects. Private capital is a potential f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g outlet<br />
sectors, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g food, construction<br />
and tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and education have<br />
shown <strong>in</strong>terest, with many look<strong>in</strong>g at<br />
work<strong>in</strong>g with Nigerian agents or<br />
distributors rather than open their own<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess on the ground.”<br />
Challenges to secur<strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>ance<br />
Form<strong>in</strong>g trade agreements usually<br />
means establish<strong>in</strong>g a l<strong>in</strong>e of credit.<br />
It has been difficult to secure f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
for Nigerian <strong>in</strong>vestments because of<br />
local risks. Efforts have been made to<br />
stamp out corruption and violence, but<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestors rema<strong>in</strong> wary of issues such as<br />
delayed or miss<strong>in</strong>g payments and<br />
non-delivery of products. “Nigeria can<br />
be a challeng<strong>in</strong>g place. As <strong>in</strong> any<br />
overseas market, it is important to<br />
undertake due diligence and ensure the<br />
legality of contracts,” Fogden stresses.<br />
A deregulated foreign exchange<br />
system has helped to ease concerns, but<br />
lenders still often require protection for<br />
trade f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>gs – for example, <strong>in</strong>voice<br />
f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g and export receivables-<br />
backed f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g where credit is secured<br />
<strong>in</strong> advance, or e-payments. Banks can<br />
also <strong>in</strong>sist on risk guarantees, so that<br />
borrowers carry the f<strong>in</strong>ancial burden if<br />
political or civil unrest disrupts<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess, or they simply place a high<br />
price on loans to mitigate that risk.<br />
Nigeria’s biggest f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
challenge, however, rema<strong>in</strong>s its<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure: public transport is<br />
unreliable, schools and hospitals need<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment and power outages are<br />
common. The cost to provide the country<br />
with modern and stable transport, power<br />
and communication systems is expected<br />
to surpass $100 billion, accord<strong>in</strong>g to<br />
sources <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the World Bank.<br />
The government has made<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment a priority. The prime<br />
<strong>in</strong>itiative is Vision 20:20, a $5.5 billion<br />
plan to achieve 16,000MW of capacity<br />
to the grid by 20<strong>13</strong>. The World Bank,<br />
meanwhile, claims that a further<br />
$14 billion per year is required over the<br />
next decade to deliver transport and<br />
social <strong>in</strong>frastructure projects if the<br />
country is to reach its growth targets.<br />
<strong>Invest</strong>ment gap<br />
The traditional source of fund<strong>in</strong>g for<br />
such programmes – public resources and<br />
development banks – will not be able to<br />
cover the substantial costs <strong>in</strong>volved.<br />
Private capital, through privatisations<br />
and public-private partnerships (PPPs),<br />
is a potential f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g outlet.<br />
“The Nigerian Government simply<br />
does not have the funds to provide<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure,” observes Oluseyi<br />
Bickersteth, the national senior partner<br />
<strong>in</strong> Nigeria at KPMG Professional<br />
Services. “The <strong>2012</strong> budget has only<br />
28 per cent go<strong>in</strong>g to capital budget.<br />
That is why PPPs are important. That is<br />
why privatisation is important. In project<br />
f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, the key has been government<br />
realisation that private f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g is<br />
crucial and needed.”<br />
Eleven distribution organisations<br />
and six power stations have already been<br />
offered for privatisation <strong>in</strong> a bid to open<br />
up the energy market. Hundreds of<br />
expressions of <strong>in</strong>terest were lodged for<br />
the assets follow<strong>in</strong>g roadshows that<br />
took place <strong>in</strong> Lagos, Dubai, New York,<br />
London and Johannesburg.<br />
The privatisations are likely to<br />
attract asset f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, while<br />
non-recourse debt will be required if<br />
the PPP programme is to succeed. The<br />
PPP model <strong>in</strong>volves projects be<strong>in</strong>g<br />
funded and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed by a private<br />
company, which assumes the f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
and operational risk, while the<br />
authorities pay an availability fee for<br />
the use of the project.<br />
The pathf<strong>in</strong>der PPP is the<br />
$450 million design, build, f<strong>in</strong>ance,<br />
operate and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> project for a new<br />
term<strong>in</strong>al and air traffic systems at<br />
Lekki-Epe International Airport <strong>in</strong> Lagos.<br />
The tender opened <strong>in</strong> 2011 with 33<br />
bidders, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g divisions of Bouygues,<br />
DSC Infrastructure, Grupo Isolux Corsán<br />
and Samsung register<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terest. Other<br />
proposed PPPs <strong>in</strong>clude a second bridge<br />
across the Niger, two national arenas <strong>in</strong><br />
Lagos and Abuja and the redevelopment<br />
of the General Hospital <strong>in</strong> Lagos.<br />
Focus on the banks<br />
Key to this process will be Nigeria’s<br />
banks, which have been able to <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
their liquidity after the government<br />
provided a $4 billion rescue package<br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g the global economic crisis. This<br />
came about after Central Bank of Nigeria<br />
(CBN) reforms to recapitalise the banks<br />
<strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> niGeRia <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>13</strong>