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Nord Stream: Not Just a Pipeline

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1 Introduction<br />

The past decade has seen an increased focus on energy-related issues.<br />

Instability in petroleum-abundant regions, skyrocketing commodity<br />

prices, and concerns about CO2 emission levels are all factors that have<br />

contributed to the trend. The focus on energy security has even led some<br />

to speak of a ‘new cold war’ over increasingly scarce commodities<br />

(Follath and Jung 2006; Lucas 2008; SvD 2007a). The crucial point,<br />

however, is that the energy agenda is not only defined by the need for<br />

safe supplies but involves a vast spectrum of related issues, such as<br />

preservation of the environment, historically established power relations<br />

between the states in question, and naturally, current political realities.<br />

This report analyses the planned sub-sea pipeline from Russia to<br />

Germany known as <strong>Nord</strong> <strong>Stream</strong>, a project to which the reactions have<br />

varied substantially in the different littoral states of the Baltic Sea. The<br />

report is an extensive study of the divergent attitudes and debates that<br />

have surged in the region regarding <strong>Nord</strong> <strong>Stream</strong>, and the aim is to provide<br />

plausible explanations as to why the interpretations of the project<br />

have been so different in the various states.<br />

Previous analyses of <strong>Nord</strong> <strong>Stream</strong> have often been country-specific, i.e.<br />

written by a national research institute for the government of the country<br />

in question, and have mostly focused on issues relevant for that particular<br />

country. This report, by contrast, has a wider scope in that it will review<br />

and contrast the different debates about <strong>Nord</strong> <strong>Stream</strong>, and the focus is not<br />

merely on energy-related aspects of the project but also on militarystrategic<br />

and environmental ones. Furthermore, since <strong>Nord</strong> <strong>Stream</strong> is a<br />

‘moving target’ in that the pipeline has not yet been constructed, the<br />

report is also a contribution to the general research about the project in<br />

that it presents new material from several first-hand interviews.<br />

The question of what a pipeline is seems quite straightforward. Arguably,<br />

a pipeline could be seen as merely a means to transport a substance from<br />

origin to destination – a pipeline in this regard is just a pipeline. The<br />

recently constructed offshore ‘Langeled’ pipeline, which transports natural<br />

gas from Norway to the UK, could be interpreted in such a way.<br />

Few, if any, objections were made against the project prior to its<br />

realisation, and the construction of the pipeline was finished on schedule<br />

and within budget in 2006 (Stoltenberg 2006; Hydro 2006). The ease<br />

with which this project could be realised indicates that no third party<br />

considered it to be more than a bilateral trade-issue, or, in other words,<br />

just a pipeline (DN 2007a).<br />

By contrast, the planned <strong>Nord</strong> <strong>Stream</strong> pipeline from Russia to Germany<br />

through the Baltic Sea does not appear as straightforward as Langeled<br />

despite its equal length of 1200 km and its role in supplying (parts of)<br />

Europe with large quantities of natural gas in decades to come. Although<br />

not yet realised, the project has, since its birth, been the subject of harsh<br />

criticism and opposition by a significant number of states that, implicitly<br />

or explicitly, consider themselves affected by the pipeline. Whereas the<br />

Baltic States and Poland have interpreted the pipeline as a politically<br />

motivated strategy that will increase Russia’s leverage on them and<br />

1

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