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scostep 2010 (stp12) - Leibniz-Institut für Atmosphärenphysik an der ...

scostep 2010 (stp12) - Leibniz-Institut für Atmosphärenphysik an der ...

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STP12 Abstracts<br />

Berlin, 12 - 16 July <strong>2010</strong><br />

SCOSTEP Symposium <strong>2010</strong><br />

Solar Activity Signals on Annual Precipitation Records (1912-2008) from S<strong>an</strong>ta Maria<br />

(29°41'S, 53°48'W), Southern Brazil<br />

Rampelotto Pabulo Henrique 1 , Rigozo Nivaor Rodolfo 1 , Da Rosa Marcelo Barcellos 2 , Prestes Al<strong>an</strong> 3 ,<br />

Souza Echer Mariza Pereira 4 , Nordem<strong>an</strong>n D<strong>an</strong>iel Je<strong>an</strong> Roger 4 , Schuch Nelson Jorge 1 , Dal Lago<br />

Alisson<br />

1 Southern Regional Space Research Center (CRS/INPE), 2 Fe<strong>der</strong>al University of S<strong>an</strong>ta Maria<br />

(UFSM), 3 University of Vale do Paraíba (UNIVAP), 4 National <strong>Institut</strong>e for Space Research (INPE),<br />

5<br />

In recent years, there is a great interest in trying to un<strong>der</strong>st<strong>an</strong>d <strong>an</strong>d qu<strong>an</strong>tify the solar<br />

influences on Earth’s climate. However, on the global scale, the correlation between solar<br />

activity <strong>an</strong>d meteorological parameters may be positive, negative, or even zero. In this study,<br />

we investigate the effects of solar activity (Rz <strong>an</strong>d Rz22) on the rainfall time series (1912 to<br />

2008) from S<strong>an</strong>ta Maria (29°41'S, 53°48'W), Southern Brazil. Classical spectral <strong>an</strong>alysis for<br />

rainfall has shown signific<strong>an</strong>t periods of 12.3, 21.0 <strong>an</strong>d 82.5. Cross-wavelet between Rz<br />

(11yr) <strong>an</strong>d rainfall was signific<strong>an</strong>t in the 11 year signal after 1930, but it was intermitted<br />

around 1960–1970. Furthermore, it was also observed a high <strong>an</strong>d continuous cross correlation<br />

between rainfall <strong>an</strong>d Rz22 (22yr) for the <strong>an</strong>alyzed period. The linear correlation between<br />

<strong>an</strong>nual rainfall <strong>an</strong>d solar activity was r < -0.10 for Rz <strong>an</strong>d r = -0.19 for Rz22. These results<br />

suggest that, regarding the rainfall variability, minor th<strong>an</strong> 10% c<strong>an</strong> be associated with a linear<br />

dependency to 11 year solar cycle <strong>an</strong>d around 19% to 22 year magnetic cycle. Therefore, it is<br />

possible that the effect of Hale cycle on climate may be stronger th<strong>an</strong> the Schwabe cycle<br />

effect.

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