NHS pay review body: twenty-sixth report 2012 - Official Documents

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Figure 3.4: Composition of FTE staff paid at or below AfC spine point 15 in Wales, April 2011 Source: Welsh Government. Ambulance service, 0.8% Healthcare scientists, 3.5% Scientific, therapeutic & technical, 6.3% Nursing, midwifery & health visiting, 23.2% Administration & estates, 28.6% Healthcare assistants & other support, 37.7% Total: 26,000 FTE staff Figure 3.5: Composition of FTE staff paid at or below AfC spine point 15 in Northern Ireland, June 2011 Ambulance, 1.4% Professional & technical, 5.6% Social services staff (inc social care and home helps, 18.6% Nursing, midwifery & health visiting, 19.1% Estates/support services, 25.4% Source: Department of Health, Social Services and Public Safety. Generic/admin & clerical, 29.9% Total: 20,100 FTE staff 23
Economy, Inflation, Labour Market and Earnings 3.6 24 Our assessment below is based on the latest economic indicators available at the time of submission of this report. Economic Growth 3.7 3.8 3.9 GDP grew by 0.9% during 2011 (see Figure 3.6). This was substantially below the forecast made at the start of 2011. Recent economic forecasts saw a downgrading of growth expectations. The most recent set of forecasts from the Treasury panel of independent experts in January 20122 estimated GDP growth of 0.4% for 2012, compared to a forecast of 2.1% in March 2011. This followed a substantial downgrading of growth expectations from the Office for Budgetary Responsibility (OBR) 3 in November 2011. It revised down its forecasts for GDP growth in 2012 to 0.7% from the 2.5% forecast in March 2011. It expected GDP to be broadly flat in the first half of 2012, but to gain momentum gradually though the year assuming that the euro area found its way though the current crisis. Figure 3.6: GDP growth, 2006 to 2011 (chained volume measure at market prices) % change 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 Source: Office for National Statistics. 2006Q1 2006Q2 2006Q3 2006Q4 2007Q1 2007Q2 2007Q3 2007Q4 2008Q1 2008Q2 Change from a year earlier 2008Q3 2008Q4 2009Q1 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 Change from previous quarter The Bank of England also reduced its growth forecasts for 2012 significantly in its November 2011 inflation report, from 2.1% to 1.3%. In doing so, the Bank of England said that “the marked deterioration in the external environment, together with the domestic headwinds stemming from the fiscal consolidation and squeeze on households’ real incomes, means that growth looks set to be weak in the near term. The recovery is likely to gather pace over the second and third years of the forecast as private demand picks up, supported by continuing stimulus from monetary policy and a gentle recovery in real incomes” 4 . 2 HM Treasury, Forecasts for the UK Economy: A Comparison of Independent Forecasts, January 2012. Available at: http:// www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/201201forecomp.pdf. 3 Office for Budgetary Responsibility, Economic and Fiscal Outlook, November 2011. Available at: http://cdn. budgetresponsibility.independent.gov.uk/Autumn2011EFO_web_version138469072346.pdf. 4 Bank of England, Inflation Report, November 2011.
Page 1 and 2: NHS Pay Review Body Twenty-Sixth Re
Page 3 and 4: ii © Crown copyright 2012 You may
Page 6 and 7: Contents Summary of Recommendations
Page 8 and 9: level since August 1994. We have co
Page 10 and 11: Chapter 1 - Introduction and Backgr
Page 12 and 13: in his 20 June 2011 letter that the
Page 14 and 15: 1.21 At the time of submission of t
Page 16 and 17: Chapter 2 - Recruitment, Retention
Page 18 and 19: Table 2.1: Change in NHS workforce
Page 20 and 21: Table 2.3: Leaving and joining rate
Page 22 and 23: Distribution of Staff on Agenda for
Page 24 and 25: Table 2.5: Median gross weekly pay
Page 26 and 27: Figure 2.8: Growth in median gross
Page 28 and 29: Figure 2.9: Estimated pension membe
Page 30 and 31: 3.4 3.5 Figure 3.1: Distribution of
Page 34 and 35: Inflation 3.10 In the context of th
Page 36 and 37: 3.15 The OBR forecast in November 2
Page 38 and 39: 3.22 The Government noted that infl
Page 40 and 41: of components of CPI and RPI over t
Page 42 and 43: Table 3.1: NHS revenue since 2000/0
Page 44 and 45: 3.46 The Department added that rece
Page 46 and 47: surplus on its Departmental Expendi
Page 48 and 49: Evidence from the Parties The Healt
Page 50 and 51: 3.83 We make our assessment of the
Page 52 and 53: staff median earnings across the ec
Page 54 and 55: equired to seek evidence or advice
Page 56 and 57: 4.17 For this report, Unite initial
Page 58 and 59: Table 4.4: Staffing establishments
Page 60 and 61: pre-registration trainee pharmacist
Page 62 and 63: Proposal for a National Recruitment
Page 64 and 65: 4.47 UCATT has drawn to our attenti
Page 66 and 67: Chapter 5 - General Workforce Issue
Page 68 and 69: • • • • • • Specialist
Page 70 and 71: 5.19 The 2011 NHS Staff Survey in E
Page 72 and 73: Our Comment 5.34 From the evidence
Page 74 and 75: planning process could become fragm
Page 76 and 77: Staff Bodies 5.60 The Staff Side sa
Page 78 and 79: Chapter 6 - A Forward Look 6.1 In t
Page 80: Data and Evidence Requirements 6.13
Page 83 and 84:
74 PROTECT UNTIL PUBLICATION PROTEC
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76 PROTECT UNTIL PUBLICATION 114
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80 PROTECT UNTIL PUBLICATION PROTEC
Page 91 and 92:
82 Deputy First Minister & CabinetS
Page 93 and 94:
Appendix B Recommended Agenda For C
Page 95 and 96:
C2 C3 86 Figure C3: Composition of
Page 97 and 98:
Table C4: Ambulance 88 England FTE
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Note that, in years when the number
Page 101 and 102:
Table D3: HCHS Paybill per FTE (£)
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Table D7: HCHS Workforce (FTE) 1,8
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APPENDIX F Previous Reports Of The
Page 107 and 108:
APPENDIX G Glossary AfC Agenda for
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UK United Kingdom VAT Value Added T
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