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Coming to Terms with Reality. Evaluation of the Belgian Debt Relief ...

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International debt relief initiatives and <strong>the</strong>ir effects<br />

By <strong>the</strong> mid-1980s it became increasingly clear that repeated short-term debt service<br />

rescheduling would not solve <strong>the</strong> deeper-rooted problem <strong>of</strong> unsustainable debt burdens<br />

which many <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> poorest developing countries continued <strong>to</strong> accumulate. Consequently,<br />

<strong>the</strong> focus <strong>of</strong> debt relief efforts shifted from flow considerations <strong>to</strong> dealing <strong>with</strong> debt s<strong>to</strong>cks<br />

(see Daseking and Powell, 1999). An important breakthrough was reached in 1988 when<br />

<strong>the</strong> Paris Club, in <strong>the</strong> wake <strong>of</strong> a G-7 summit in Toron<strong>to</strong>, agreed <strong>to</strong> introduce a treatment<br />

whereby up <strong>to</strong> 33.33 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> net present value <strong>of</strong> non-concessional bilateral public<br />

or publicly guaranteed debt <strong>of</strong> low-income countries could be reduced. These ‘Toron<strong>to</strong><br />

terms’ consisted <strong>of</strong> a menu <strong>of</strong> debt s<strong>to</strong>ck reduction, debt service reduction and fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

repayment schedule prolonging options (see <strong>the</strong> table added as Annex 2.1 <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> report).<br />

Again, some Paris Club members launched a parallel round <strong>of</strong> ODA loan forgiveness. 1989<br />

saw moreover <strong>the</strong> establishment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Brady Plan which laid out a number <strong>of</strong> voluntary<br />

debt reduction mechanisms designed for commercial credi<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong> exchange non-performing<br />

debt titles <strong>of</strong> (primarily) middle-income countries for new bonds <strong>with</strong> more favourable<br />

(s<strong>of</strong>ter) terms (see e.g. Vásquez, 1996 for more info). The same year, also <strong>the</strong> IDA <strong>Debt</strong><br />

Reduction Facility (IDA-DRF) was created. Under this World Bank-sponsored facility,<br />

low-income deb<strong>to</strong>r governments were given grants <strong>to</strong> buy back debts from <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

commercial credi<strong>to</strong>rs at a large discount, <strong>the</strong>reby effectively eliminating <strong>the</strong>se external<br />

obligations.<br />

Despite some advancement in debt reduction, <strong>the</strong> international community quickly realised<br />

that <strong>the</strong> concessions given so far were still greatly insufficient <strong>to</strong> achieve a healthy and<br />

sustainable external debt situation in most developing countries and so different menus for<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r debt reduction succeeded each o<strong>the</strong>r rapidly. In 1990, <strong>the</strong> Paris Club prompted a<br />

new ‘Hous<strong>to</strong>n terms’ debt treatment, introducing a number <strong>of</strong> enhancements <strong>with</strong> respect<br />

<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> earlier classic terms (but no debt reduction) for lower middle-income countries. A<br />

year later, in 1991, <strong>the</strong> Toron<strong>to</strong> terms for low-income countries were replaced by <strong>the</strong><br />

‘Enhanced Toron<strong>to</strong> terms’ or ‘London terms’, raising <strong>the</strong> maximal level <strong>of</strong> debt reduction<br />

from 33.33 <strong>to</strong> 50 percent <strong>of</strong> net present value. The London terms made way for <strong>the</strong> ‘Naples<br />

terms’ in 1994, raising <strong>the</strong> percentage debt reduction <strong>to</strong> 67 percent.<br />

One particular novelty in <strong>the</strong> Paris Club menus <strong>of</strong>fered since <strong>the</strong> inception <strong>of</strong> Hous<strong>to</strong>n and<br />

London terms was <strong>the</strong> possibility <strong>of</strong> converting, on a voluntary and bilateral basis, ODA<br />

debt or part <strong>of</strong> non-ODA debt in<strong>to</strong> commitments by <strong>the</strong> deb<strong>to</strong>r country for investments<br />

<strong>with</strong> social, commercial or environmental finality. This ‘debt swap’ provision built fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

on <strong>the</strong> debt-for-equity, debt-for-nature, debt-for-health and o<strong>the</strong>r debt exchanges that had<br />

been earlier conducted <strong>with</strong> claims obtained on <strong>the</strong> secondary market for discounted<br />

commercial debt (see Buckley, 2009). Following <strong>the</strong>ir consideration by <strong>the</strong> Paris Club,<br />

debt swap agreements got a boost through bilateral initiatives such as <strong>the</strong> United States’<br />

Enterprise for <strong>the</strong> Americas Initiative (since 1990), <strong>the</strong> Swiss <strong>Debt</strong> Reduction Facility<br />

(since 1991) and France’s Libreville <strong>Debt</strong> Initiative (since 1992) and multilateral efforts<br />

such as <strong>the</strong> Polish Eco-Fund (since 1991) (see Moye, 2001; Ruiz, 2007; Gamarra et al.,<br />

2009).<br />

<strong>Coming</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Terms</strong> <strong>with</strong> <strong>Reality</strong><br />

2.2.1.2 <strong>Debt</strong> relief under <strong>the</strong> HIPC Initiative<br />

Whereas by <strong>the</strong> mid-1990s <strong>the</strong> existing debt relief mechanisms seemed <strong>to</strong> have eased <strong>the</strong><br />

debt problems <strong>of</strong> most middle-income countries, <strong>the</strong> economic prospects <strong>of</strong> a fair number<br />

<strong>of</strong> low-income countries bearing heavy external debt burdens continued <strong>to</strong> look bleak.<br />

One reason was <strong>the</strong> increasing share <strong>of</strong> debt owed <strong>to</strong> multilateral institutions by <strong>the</strong>se latter<br />

countries, debt titles which had been kept out <strong>of</strong> all <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> traditional debt relief initiatives<br />

up till <strong>the</strong>n. In response <strong>to</strong> this situation, in September 1996 <strong>the</strong> World Bank and <strong>the</strong> IMF<br />

jointly launched <strong>the</strong> Heavily Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) Initiative, aimed at<br />

committing <strong>the</strong> international community <strong>to</strong> bring back <strong>to</strong> manageable levels <strong>the</strong> debt<br />

burdens <strong>of</strong> eligible heavily-indebted poor countries <strong>with</strong> a proven track record <strong>of</strong> strong<br />

policy performance and exhibiting a willingness for macroeconomic adjustment<br />

programmes and structural reform (see Boote and Thugge, 1997). The Paris Club signed in<br />

on <strong>the</strong> new approach and in November 1996 agreed on new ‘Lyon terms’ for eligible<br />

HIPCs, increasing net present value relief (ei<strong>the</strong>r through debt flow restructuring or debt<br />

s<strong>to</strong>ck reduction) <strong>to</strong> up <strong>to</strong> 80 percent. From this point onwards, international debt relief got<br />

on two distinct tracks (see Table 2.1): one for HIPCs, which would be broadened and<br />

deepened in <strong>the</strong> subsequent years (see fur<strong>the</strong>r); and one for non-HIPCs, which would<br />

largely be a continuation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> practices before 1996.<br />

The HIPC Initiative’s objective was <strong>to</strong> engage in a comprehensive, one-<strong>of</strong>f debt relief<br />

effort that would launch even <strong>the</strong> most-indebted poor countries on a path <strong>of</strong> economic<br />

growth and would free <strong>the</strong>m for good from fur<strong>the</strong>r debt rescheduling and reduction<br />

negotiations. Countries (that could only borrow from <strong>the</strong> World Bank’s IDA) were selected<br />

on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir ‘unsustainable levels’ <strong>of</strong> debt, defined in terms <strong>of</strong> debt service-<strong>to</strong>exports<br />

and debt s<strong>to</strong>ck-<strong>to</strong>-exports ratios above 20-25 percent and 200-250 percent in net<br />

present value, respectively (i.e. after all o<strong>the</strong>r traditional relief mechanisms, such as Naples<br />

terms treatment, had been exhausted) 11 . After having successfully implemented reforms<br />

through IMF- and IDA-supported programmes for three years, eligible HIPCs would reach<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir so-called ‘decision point’ at which <strong>the</strong> IMF and World Bank would decide on <strong>the</strong><br />

amount <strong>of</strong> debt relief needed (through a debt sustainability analysis or DSA). Ano<strong>the</strong>r<br />

three-year period <strong>of</strong> programmes would <strong>the</strong>n be followed by <strong>the</strong> HIPC attaining its<br />

‘completion point’, resulting in full and irrevocable debt relief <strong>to</strong> bring down debt <strong>to</strong> HIPC<br />

Initiative thresholds. This final debt reduction would entail <strong>the</strong> participation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Paris<br />

Club, o<strong>the</strong>r bilateral credi<strong>to</strong>rs, commercial credi<strong>to</strong>rs and multilateral institutions <strong>to</strong> come<br />

(ideally) <strong>to</strong> an equitable sharing <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> costs involved (see Boote and Thugge, 1997) 12 .<br />

In September 1999, after a thorough review and consultation process (and under <strong>the</strong><br />

growing pressure <strong>of</strong> civil society organisations such as <strong>the</strong> Jubilee 2000 movement), <strong>the</strong><br />

World Bank and <strong>the</strong> IMF reinvigorated an Enhanced HIPC Initiative which was meant <strong>to</strong><br />

11 In April 1997 eligibility for <strong>the</strong> HIPC Initiative was broadened <strong>to</strong> countries <strong>with</strong> particularly severe fiscal<br />

burden indica<strong>to</strong>rs. The threshold here was set at a net present value debt-<strong>to</strong>-fiscal revenue ratio <strong>of</strong> 280<br />

per cent (see Gautam, 2003).<br />

12 Multilateral institutions are partly reimbursed by member (credi<strong>to</strong>r) countries for forgoing incoming debt<br />

service flows. O<strong>the</strong>r financing has primarily come from proceeds <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> revaluation <strong>of</strong> gold (IMF) and<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>its <strong>of</strong> lending <strong>to</strong> middle-income countries (World Bank) (see Cosio-Pascal, 2008).<br />

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