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Coming to Terms with Reality. Evaluation of the Belgian Debt Relief ...

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| 170 |<br />

Annexes<br />

and publicly guaranteed debt <strong>to</strong> GDP rose from 25% <strong>of</strong> GDP in 1985 <strong>to</strong> more than 50% in<br />

1993 and <strong>to</strong> over 110% in 1995, before staying around 100% until 2000.<br />

Figure 3 Public and Publicly Guaranteed <strong>Debt</strong> (Million US $, Nominal value), 1985-2000.<br />

Millions <strong>of</strong> US Dollars<br />

1.0000<br />

9.000<br />

8.000<br />

7.000<br />

6.000<br />

5.000<br />

4.000<br />

3.000<br />

2.000<br />

1.000<br />

0<br />

Source: GDF 2008<br />

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000<br />

PPG, <strong>to</strong>tal (DOD, millions US$)<br />

The devaluation <strong>of</strong> 1994 implied a clear change in <strong>the</strong> lending policy <strong>of</strong> credi<strong>to</strong>rs, since<br />

Cameroon <strong>the</strong>n became eligible for concessional assistance from <strong>the</strong> International<br />

Development Association (IDA) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> World Bank Group. The average grant element <strong>of</strong><br />

loans increased from around 30% <strong>to</strong> over 60% and <strong>the</strong> average interest fell from more than<br />

5% <strong>to</strong> less than 2% (see GDF 2008).<br />

The composition <strong>of</strong> Cameroon’s debt contracted between 1986 and 2000 is shown in figure<br />

4. Throughout this period bilateral debt has been preponderant. By <strong>the</strong> year 2000 its share<br />

had risen <strong>to</strong> approximately 80%. A large fraction <strong>of</strong> this debt is due <strong>to</strong> Paris Club credi<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />

The share <strong>of</strong> multilateral borrowing has remained more or less stable since <strong>the</strong> early 1990s<br />

at around 20%, <strong>the</strong> main credi<strong>to</strong>r being <strong>the</strong> World Bank Group. Private credi<strong>to</strong>rs have cut<br />

funding since <strong>the</strong> economic crisis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> late 1980s. By <strong>the</strong> year 2000 private debt<br />

constituted a negligible share <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal 98 .<br />

The composition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country’s external debt structure at <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 1999 (<strong>the</strong> year before<br />

<strong>the</strong> HIPC Decision Point) is represented in figure 5. More than two third <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> debt was due<br />

<strong>to</strong> Paris Club members, 25% <strong>to</strong> multilateral institutions and only 5% <strong>to</strong> private credi<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />

98 Most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1990s debt was denominated in foreign currency, mainly French Franc, Deutsche Mark, US<br />

Dollars and Austrian Schillings (in decreasing order <strong>of</strong> importance). At <strong>the</strong> eve <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> HIPC Decision Point<br />

<strong>the</strong> main bilateral credi<strong>to</strong>rs were France and Germany, <strong>with</strong> respectively 25% and 18% <strong>of</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal debt,<br />

followed by Austria (6.6%), Canada (4%), <strong>the</strong> U.K. (2.7%) and Belgium (2.6%).<br />

<strong>Coming</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Terms</strong> <strong>with</strong> <strong>Reality</strong><br />

Figure 4 Composition <strong>of</strong> Public and Publicly Guaranteed (PPG) external debt<br />

(cumulative amounts):<br />

Share <strong>of</strong> Total<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000<br />

Source: GDF 2008 data<br />

PPG, private credi<strong>to</strong>rs (% <strong>to</strong>tal) PPG, multilateral (% <strong>to</strong>tal) PPG, bilateral (% <strong>to</strong>tal)<br />

Figure 5 External <strong>Debt</strong> Structure in Cameroon (end 1999):<br />

Source: Cameroonian authorities; and IDA and IMF staff estimates.<br />

1% | O<strong>the</strong>r <strong>of</strong>ficial bilateral<br />

5% | Commercial<br />

6% | African Development Bank Group<br />

14% | World Bank Group<br />

3% | IMF<br />

2% | O<strong>the</strong>r multilateral credi<strong>to</strong>rs<br />

69% | Paris Club<br />

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