27.03.2013 Views

Coming to Terms with Reality. Evaluation of the Belgian Debt Relief ...

Coming to Terms with Reality. Evaluation of the Belgian Debt Relief ...

Coming to Terms with Reality. Evaluation of the Belgian Debt Relief ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

| 90 |<br />

<strong>Debt</strong> relief policy and practice by Belgium<br />

relief, until 2003, HIPC Trust Fund were also administered by MINFIN and put on its budget;<br />

from 2004 on however, <strong>the</strong>y were switched <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> DGD budget.<br />

All <strong>the</strong> remaining debt relief interventions are operations that directly originate from DGD<br />

initiatives, and/or are on its budget (except for <strong>the</strong> induced debt swaps, <strong>to</strong> which we return<br />

later). Overall, as can be seen from table 3.1., DGD accounts for 10% <strong>of</strong> debt relief (inclusive<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> debt relief from <strong>the</strong> induced swaps, in execution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1991 compensation agreement).<br />

As shown in table 3.1, Belgium did not yet engage in financing IDA <strong>Debt</strong> Reduction Facility<br />

operations 65 . Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, Belgium engaged in a series <strong>of</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r earmarked HIPC Trust Fund<br />

operations, regarding <strong>the</strong> IADB, <strong>the</strong> European Development Fund (EDF), <strong>the</strong> PRGF window <strong>of</strong><br />

IMF, <strong>the</strong> West-African Development Bank, next <strong>to</strong> unearmarked operations, in <strong>to</strong>tal for about 55<br />

million EUR. Topping up contributions <strong>to</strong> IDA and AfDF in <strong>the</strong> context <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> MDRI has<br />

amounted <strong>to</strong> about 20 million EUR so far. Belgium also engaged in one bridge loan operation for<br />

Burundi in 2004 (for about 5.6 million EUR) <strong>to</strong> help clear arrears <strong>to</strong>wards multilateral credi<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />

Eventually, DGD pioneered <strong>with</strong> swaps very early on, doing 4 au<strong>to</strong>nomous swaps operations <strong>with</strong><br />

4 countries (Guatemala, Bolivia, Ecuador and Côte d’Ivoire) in <strong>the</strong> beginning <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> period.<br />

This last practice led <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> inclusion in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1991 ONDD compensation agreement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> swap<br />

window. Although this was a series <strong>of</strong> ‘induced’ operations, <strong>the</strong>y did result in additional debt relief<br />

<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> recipient countries. Annex 3.3 (first column) provides an overview <strong>of</strong> all <strong>the</strong> induced swap<br />

operations, executed by DGD <strong>with</strong> ONDD under <strong>the</strong> 1991 compensation agreement, including also<br />

<strong>the</strong> budgetary cost for DGD 66 . Overall, <strong>the</strong> induced swaps led <strong>to</strong> 189 million EUR <strong>of</strong> nominal debt<br />

relief, or about 6.75% <strong>of</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal, at an overall budgetary cost <strong>of</strong> 60.8 million EUR (see Annex 3.3),<br />

which amounts <strong>to</strong> an average discount <strong>of</strong> 68% 67 .<br />

Regarding <strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal nominal debt relief over recipient countries, table 3.2 shows that<br />

about 70% <strong>of</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal debt relief (1.97 billion EUR) targets HIPC countries, <strong>of</strong> which about 1.8 billion<br />

EUR is targeted <strong>to</strong>wards <strong>the</strong> HIPC/MDRI initiative (when summing debt relief for HIPCs over <strong>the</strong><br />

1996-2009 period, including HIPC/MDRI earmarked multilateral interventions); however, <strong>of</strong> that<br />

<strong>to</strong>tal, about 1 billion EUR is granted <strong>to</strong> DRC. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, about 732 million EUR is for debt<br />

relief outside <strong>the</strong> HIPC framework, mainly for operations <strong>with</strong> Iraq (268 million EUR) and Nigeria<br />

(269 million EUR), for ONDD claims only. Finally, debt relief granted <strong>to</strong> partner countries mounts<br />

<strong>to</strong> about 55% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal <strong>Belgian</strong> nominal debt relief effort.<br />

3.2.2 Fur<strong>the</strong>r implications <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> compensations for inter-agency burden sharing<br />

So far, we have only discussed <strong>the</strong> impact on debt relief <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> swap window <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1991<br />

compensation agreement, as it provided additional debt relief. Table 3.3 provides an<br />

overview <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> consequences on <strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal debt relief over <strong>the</strong> three agencies<br />

(ONDD, MINFIN and DGD), when we account for all <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r compensations that DGD<br />

has paid over <strong>the</strong> years. More particularly, this refers <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> second window <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1991<br />

agreement, in which DGD (partly) compensates ONDD for debt relief granted in <strong>the</strong> Paris<br />

65 Despite its favourable overall evaluation (see chapter 1).<br />

66 Due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> discounts, <strong>the</strong> budgetary cost is much lower than <strong>the</strong> nominal amount <strong>of</strong> debt relieved.<br />

67 See also Biron (2001) for a detailed overview <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> operations, for <strong>the</strong> period up <strong>to</strong> 2000.<br />

<strong>Coming</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Terms</strong> <strong>with</strong> <strong>Reality</strong><br />

Club, plus <strong>the</strong> compensation payments <strong>of</strong> DGD vis-à-vis both MINFIN (on bilateral loans)<br />

and ONDD (on its claims) <strong>with</strong>in <strong>the</strong> context <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 2001 and 2005 agreements, for claims<br />

cancelled on HIPCs (only) when <strong>the</strong>y reach completion point.<br />

The table shows that <strong>the</strong>se o<strong>the</strong>r compensations amount <strong>to</strong> about 198 million EUR. About 22<br />

million EUR refers <strong>to</strong> compensations <strong>of</strong> cancellation <strong>of</strong> bilateral loans (MINFIN) already<br />

paid 68 . The rest refers <strong>to</strong> compensations <strong>of</strong> ONDD, both through <strong>the</strong> 1991 agreement (about<br />

165 million EUR), as well as through <strong>the</strong> 2001-2005 HIPC agreement, for which, up <strong>to</strong> now,<br />

DGD paid compensations <strong>to</strong> ONDD on 4 countries: Bolivia (2002, 6.055 million EUR),<br />

Ghana (2006, about 0.87 million EUR), Senegal (2006, about 0.3 million EUR) and Tanzania<br />

(2002, 3.043 million EUR) 69 . All in all, <strong>the</strong>se compensations increase <strong>the</strong> share <strong>of</strong> DGD in<br />

<strong>to</strong>tal debt relief from 10.4 <strong>to</strong> 17.4%, <strong>with</strong>out <strong>of</strong> course increasing <strong>to</strong>tal <strong>Belgian</strong> debt relief.<br />

3.2.3 Implications <strong>of</strong> debt relief for <strong>Belgian</strong> ODA<br />

An overview <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> consequences <strong>of</strong> <strong>Belgian</strong> debt relief on <strong>Belgian</strong> ODA is presented in table<br />

3.4; <strong>the</strong> distribution over recipient countries is added in table 3.5. Data come from <strong>the</strong> ODA<br />

database <strong>of</strong> DGD. Overall, we can state that almost all <strong>of</strong> <strong>Belgian</strong> debt relief can be<br />

accounted for as ODA, for a <strong>to</strong>tal <strong>of</strong> 2.6 billion EUR. Differences between debt relief and<br />

ODA are almost exclusively <strong>with</strong> respect <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> bilateral loans component. This is obvious: as<br />

<strong>the</strong>se loans were already accounted for as ODA at <strong>the</strong> beginning, cancelling <strong>the</strong>m only<br />

increases ODA as <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> interest component <strong>of</strong> it. All o<strong>the</strong>r interventions can be accounted for<br />

as ODA at ei<strong>the</strong>r nominal or present value debt relief values; <strong>with</strong> respect <strong>to</strong> ONDD claims.<br />

Small changes exist between <strong>the</strong> debt relief figures obtained from ONDD (used in tables<br />

3.1-3.3) and <strong>the</strong> figures imputed in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> ODA database.<br />

It is important <strong>to</strong> note here that <strong>the</strong> presentation <strong>of</strong> table 3.4 should be interpreted correctly:<br />

as <strong>the</strong> Paris Club compensation payments <strong>of</strong> DGD do not generate additional ODA, <strong>the</strong><br />

compensations are added <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> ODA figures <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> agency that originally generated <strong>the</strong><br />

ODA, i.e. ei<strong>the</strong>r ONDD or MINFIN (<strong>the</strong> concrete figures are added as a separate item).<br />

However, in <strong>the</strong> DGD database, <strong>the</strong> ODA that is generated is split up between <strong>the</strong> two parties<br />

when a compensation is paid 70 .<br />

68 Future compensations on bilateral loans cancellation from HIPCs in <strong>the</strong> pipeline are currently estimated at<br />

about 132 million EUR. Moreover, in principle, compensations on bilateral loan cancellation <strong>of</strong> HIPCs that<br />

already reached completion point (Bolivia, Cameroon, Ethiopia, Ghana and Sao Tomé) could fur<strong>the</strong>r increase<br />

<strong>the</strong> compensation bill by about 46 million EUR, <strong>to</strong> be spread between now and up <strong>to</strong> 2050, according <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

original debt service schedule <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> loans cancelled.<br />

69 Compensation claims for o<strong>the</strong>r HIPCs currently amount <strong>to</strong> Cameroon (70.63 million EUR, see section 4.2) and<br />

Sierra Leone (0.22 million EUR). Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, future claims from HIPCs currently in <strong>the</strong> pipeline (Congo-<br />

Brazzaville, DRC, Guinée-Bissau, Côte d’Ivoire, and potentially also Sudan and Togo) are estimated at around<br />

225 million EUR.<br />

70 The standard format used <strong>to</strong> present <strong>the</strong> <strong>Belgian</strong> ODA statistics (ODA per channel) added <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> confusion,<br />

as <strong>the</strong> compensations were included in this presentation, as a separate budget line in <strong>the</strong> DGD part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

ODA presentation, while ONDD debt relief was presented net <strong>of</strong> compensations. When looking at this table,<br />

this reads indeed as if <strong>the</strong> ODA was generated due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> compensations. The presentation has been<br />

changed now, and compensations do no longer appear in <strong>the</strong> ODA table, while <strong>the</strong> ONDD debt relief line in<br />

<strong>the</strong> ODA table reflects everything (including <strong>the</strong> compensations). The compensation payments are only<br />

visible from <strong>the</strong> DGD budget.<br />

| 91 |

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!