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Coming to Terms with Reality. Evaluation of the Belgian Debt Relief ...

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5<br />

General conclusions and<br />

recommendations<br />

<strong>Coming</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Terms</strong> <strong>with</strong> <strong>Reality</strong><br />

<strong>Debt</strong> relief is a chameleon. It can take on different colours, making it resemble several<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r aid modalities, basically depending on <strong>the</strong> type <strong>of</strong> conditionalities attached. In order<br />

<strong>to</strong> allow for a correct comparison <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong>se o<strong>the</strong>r aid modalities (in cash flow terms), and<br />

<strong>to</strong> judge its relative usefulness from a development intervention perspective, debt relief is<br />

measured best at its economic value, i.e. <strong>the</strong> present value (PV) <strong>of</strong> all <strong>the</strong> debt service<br />

payments which <strong>the</strong> deb<strong>to</strong>r would have done on <strong>the</strong> debt relieved, in <strong>the</strong> absence <strong>of</strong> this<br />

debt relief intervention. In <strong>the</strong>ory, <strong>the</strong> ODA accountability <strong>of</strong> debt relief should follow this<br />

same economic value criterion, but in practice it is not, grossly overstating it, and making<br />

<strong>the</strong> ODA-accountability an additional element in <strong>the</strong> ‘politics’ <strong>of</strong> debt relief.<br />

There is widespread consensus that international debt relief during <strong>the</strong> 1990s, i.e. pre-<br />

HIPC debt relief, performed ra<strong>the</strong>r poorly on <strong>the</strong> dimensions <strong>of</strong> efficiency, effectiveness<br />

and relevance. All this is not illogical, as pre-HIPC debt relief very much resembles<br />

old-style project aid, and piecemeal and even larger scale debt relief in <strong>the</strong> Paris Club as<br />

well as under <strong>the</strong> original HIPC initiative shares a number <strong>of</strong> features <strong>with</strong> aid disbursed<br />

during <strong>the</strong> heydays <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) logic. Both project aid and<br />

SAPs were heavily criticised, even by donor organisations <strong>the</strong>mselves, for failing <strong>to</strong> bring<br />

about <strong>the</strong> promised development results. <strong>Debt</strong> relief that mimics <strong>the</strong>se forms <strong>of</strong> aid can<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore not be expected <strong>to</strong> perform a lot better. Moreover, <strong>with</strong> respect <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> debt<br />

relief on recipient country (budgetary) cash flows (‘fiscal space’), early debt relief efforts<br />

typically involved debt titles that were not going <strong>to</strong> be repaid in <strong>the</strong> first place (hence having<br />

an economic value close <strong>to</strong> zero), hence leading <strong>to</strong> negligible fiscal space effects .<br />

In fact, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Belgian</strong> debt relief operations during that period mimicked international<br />

practice. This is not surprising, as on <strong>the</strong> debt relief field, <strong>the</strong> degree <strong>of</strong> international donor<br />

harmonisation has always been high, especially among those bilateral credi<strong>to</strong>rs (such as<br />

Belgium) joined in <strong>the</strong> Paris Club: in order <strong>to</strong> ensure equal treatment, <strong>the</strong>y agreed on<br />

‘common terms’ <strong>of</strong> debt rescheduling/debt relief and <strong>the</strong>n implemented <strong>the</strong>se agreed-upon<br />

common terms in bilateral agreements <strong>with</strong>out a lot <strong>of</strong> policy space left. As such, before<br />

<strong>the</strong> HIPC-Initiative, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Belgian</strong> debt relief interventions consisted <strong>of</strong> debt rescheduling/<br />

debt relief operations through <strong>the</strong> Paris Club, both on its concessional (ODA-)claims<br />

(bilateral loans, <strong>the</strong> so-called ‘State-<strong>to</strong>-State loans’), administered by <strong>the</strong> Treasury<br />

(Ministry <strong>of</strong> Finance, MINFIN), as well as on its non-concessional (non-ODA)claims,<br />

originating from export credits insured by <strong>the</strong> <strong>Belgian</strong> semi-public export credit agency<br />

ONDD (Office National du Ducroire - Nationale Delcrederedienst). Belgium acted<br />

pro-actively, frontloading some debt relief by cancelling MINFIN-administered<br />

concessional bilateral claims on a series <strong>of</strong> low income countries in 1990 and 1994.<br />

Development Cooperation (DGD) was as such not involved, as it does not administer debt<br />

claims, but became a direct party from 1991 on, when it was forced <strong>to</strong> contribute <strong>to</strong> solving<br />

<strong>the</strong> financial problems <strong>of</strong> ONDD, as a result <strong>of</strong> large scale non-payment and rescheduling<br />

<strong>of</strong> ONND- held claims due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> debt crisis. From <strong>the</strong>n on, DGD engaged in so-called<br />

compensation payments <strong>to</strong> ONDD, amounting <strong>to</strong> 13.64 million EUR annually, in order <strong>to</strong><br />

help servicing <strong>the</strong> so-called ‘financial reorganisation loan’ <strong>of</strong> 1991, that was contracted by<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>Belgian</strong> State <strong>to</strong> recapitalise ONDD. These compensations consisted <strong>of</strong> ei<strong>the</strong>r partly<br />

compensating ONDD for debt relief granted in <strong>the</strong> Paris Club, or, more actively, buying<br />

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