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Coming to Terms with Reality. Evaluation of the Belgian Debt Relief ...

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Annexes<br />

related <strong>to</strong> specific debt relief initiatives. Finally, <strong>the</strong> bilateral loan section, apart from <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>of</strong>fsetting entries part, also includes debt reorganisation interventions related <strong>to</strong> gross new<br />

ODA loans from ‘rescheduled debt’, referring <strong>to</strong> ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> accounting <strong>of</strong> capitalized interest<br />

on ODA debt, or <strong>the</strong> rescheduling <strong>of</strong> OOF as ODA (rare). Note however, that this new ODA<br />

loans from rescheduling do not include an element <strong>of</strong> debt relief, strictly speaking.<br />

Table 2 provides an overview <strong>of</strong> actual ODA-impact <strong>of</strong> debt reorganisation for <strong>the</strong> 1988-<br />

2008 period, according <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> most comprehensive definition <strong>of</strong> debt reorganisation interventions.<br />

It refers <strong>to</strong> ODA disbursements from bilateral donors <strong>to</strong> developing countries. The item<br />

‘Gross <strong>Debt</strong> Reorganisation’ sums debt forgiveness grants and o<strong>the</strong>r action on debt. Adding<br />

<strong>the</strong> new ODA loan from rescheduling part (which is not debt relief) summarizes <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> item<br />

‘Gross bilateral ODA debt relief’. Taking in<strong>to</strong> account <strong>the</strong> <strong>of</strong>fsetting items from ODA<br />

principal reduction, <strong>the</strong> ‘net bilateral ODA debt relief’ is derived 92 .<br />

The table also provides an estimate <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> share <strong>of</strong> bilateral debt reorganisation ODA as a<br />

share <strong>of</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal (net) ODA, both for <strong>the</strong> debt relief part in a strict sense, as for <strong>the</strong> more<br />

comprehensive debt reorganisation concept.<br />

3. Additional entries when using a net transfer concept<br />

<strong>of</strong> ODA<br />

While conventional ODA accounting uses a net (flow) concept, it may sometimes be more<br />

appropriate <strong>to</strong> use a net transfer concept <strong>of</strong> aid accounting, deducting from net flows <strong>the</strong><br />

interest payment on ODA loans. Memo items included in ODA statistics, registered under<br />

<strong>the</strong> item interest received allow for this transformation. In this case however, one also has<br />

<strong>to</strong> account for interest forgiven. The DAC debt reorganisation rules also include guidelines<br />

on how <strong>to</strong> account for forgiven interest, using <strong>of</strong>fsetting entries similar <strong>to</strong> those used for<br />

principal reduction embedded in ODA debt cancellation.<br />

More precisely, <strong>the</strong> rules apply <strong>to</strong> an intervention related <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> interest part <strong>of</strong> a cancellation <strong>of</strong><br />

ODA or OOF debt, or a ODA or OOF debt conversion involving conversion <strong>of</strong> interest. In<br />

both cases, two entries equivalent <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> lump sum amount <strong>of</strong> forgiven interest or converted are<br />

made: one (referring <strong>to</strong> table DAC 2a) as interest received (on <strong>the</strong> relevant country line), and<br />

one (as a memo item) made in table DAC 1 under ‘<strong>of</strong>fsetting entries for forgiven interest’.<br />

92 Data for this table are drawn from <strong>the</strong> DAC CRS on line system. The table is identical <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> most<br />

comprehensive published statistics on debt reorganisation in ODA compiled by <strong>the</strong> DAC secretariat, such<br />

as DAC (2007, table 34), except for bilateral HIPC trust fund contributions (and in principle also for<br />

unearmarked IDA DRF trust fund contributions) which are registered as a memo item jointly <strong>with</strong><br />

multilateral contributions, and which can not be singled out in <strong>the</strong> CRS system. Somewhat strangely, <strong>the</strong><br />

DAC secretariat itself relies on data from <strong>the</strong> World Bank <strong>to</strong> add <strong>the</strong>se bilateral HIPC trust fund contributions<br />

<strong>to</strong> derive <strong>the</strong>ir published comprehensive debt reorganisation statistics.<br />

<strong>Coming</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Terms</strong> <strong>with</strong> <strong>Reality</strong><br />

4. Consequences and limitations for empirical research<br />

using ODA debt relief data<br />

As <strong>the</strong> previous discussion made clear, <strong>the</strong> most comprehensive (gross) measure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> debt<br />

reorganisation part in bilateral ODA refers <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> sum <strong>of</strong> debt forgiveness grants, o<strong>the</strong>r action<br />

on debt (including, if available, bilateral donor HIPC trust fund and unearmarked IDA DRF<br />

trust fund contributions) and <strong>the</strong> new ODA loans from rescheduled debt. However, if we<br />

want <strong>to</strong> measure ODA related <strong>to</strong> debt relief in a more strict (NPV) sense, gross ODA debt<br />

relief is best proxied by <strong>the</strong> sum <strong>of</strong> debt forgiveness grants and o<strong>the</strong>r action on debt only 93 .<br />

Net ODA debt relief is <strong>the</strong> former one minus <strong>of</strong>fsetting entries on debt relief.<br />

In principle, cleaning <strong>to</strong>tal (bilateral) ODA for <strong>the</strong>se debt relief interventions can <strong>the</strong>n be<br />

done accordingly, by subtracting all <strong>the</strong> items above from <strong>to</strong>tal (bilateral) ODA figures.<br />

Again, it is preferable not <strong>to</strong> clean net ODA (new loans from) rescheduled debt part, as it<br />

does not entail debt relief in a strict (NPV) sense.<br />

In case one uses <strong>the</strong> net transfer concept <strong>of</strong> aid, net ODA has <strong>to</strong> be reduced by <strong>the</strong> interest<br />

payments received on ODA loans; in this case on has <strong>to</strong> take in<strong>to</strong> account that <strong>the</strong>se<br />

interest payments include interest forgiven (as an <strong>of</strong>fsetting item), so when cleaning<br />

correctly for <strong>the</strong> debt relief part in ODA, <strong>to</strong>tal interest payments received have <strong>to</strong> be<br />

reduced by this ‘interest forgiven’ part.<br />

Now that we have conceptualized everything, what is <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> disaggregation <strong>of</strong> data<br />

publicly available for empirical analysis here, as in <strong>the</strong> on-line CRS database. For this, we<br />

should make a distinction between data entries registered in table 1 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> DAC system<br />

(and CRS), and entries in table 2 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CRS on-line database (where table 2a refers <strong>to</strong><br />

ODA). This is relevant since only entries related <strong>to</strong> table 2a are also available at <strong>the</strong><br />

disaggregated recipient country level, allowing for analysis using pair-wise individual<br />

donor-recipient data (tbc fur<strong>the</strong>r). All data entries in both table 1 and 2a are available for<br />

all (bilateral) donors <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r, and for each donor individually, though.<br />

The last column <strong>of</strong> table 1 indicates which data entries are available in table 1, and/or table<br />

2a. However, <strong>the</strong> bot<strong>to</strong>m-line seems <strong>to</strong> be that some entries related <strong>to</strong> debt relief or o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

debt reorganisation interventions are only registered as table 1 entries, and are as such not<br />

available for pair-wise empirical analysis. More particularly, this goes for all <strong>the</strong> entries<br />

under <strong>the</strong> heading <strong>of</strong> ‘o<strong>the</strong>r action on debt’ (conversions, buybacks, third party debt service<br />

and o<strong>the</strong>r contributions), which are not registered as an separately identifiable entry in<br />

table 2a. This also goes for (<strong>the</strong> <strong>of</strong>fsetting entry on) forgiven interest.<br />

As a consequence, when doing such disaggregated pair-wise donor-recipient analysis, it is<br />

not possible <strong>to</strong> single out comprehensive debt relief, according <strong>to</strong> our definition, lacking<br />

grosso modo all interventions related <strong>to</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r action on debt (including HIPC and IDA<br />

DRF trust fund, and in future also MDRI-related contributions).<br />

93 Including again, if available separately, bilateral donor HIPC trust fund and unearmarked IDA DRF trust<br />

fund contributions.<br />

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