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Coming to Terms with Reality. Evaluation of the Belgian Debt Relief ...

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International debt relief initiatives and <strong>the</strong>ir effects<br />

buy-back operations. In <strong>the</strong> future, additional support is also expected <strong>to</strong> come from <strong>the</strong><br />

African Legal Support Facility (ALSF), set up by <strong>the</strong> African Development Bank mid-<br />

2009 <strong>to</strong> provide technical assistance <strong>to</strong> and build legal capacity in African HIPCs facing<br />

debt recovery lawsuits (see African Development Bank, 2010).<br />

Finally, it is important <strong>to</strong> note that while providing debt relief is one thing, avoiding a fresh<br />

build-up <strong>of</strong> unsustainable debt in <strong>the</strong> future is ano<strong>the</strong>r. In view <strong>of</strong> its mandate <strong>of</strong><br />

surveillance (Article IV) <strong>the</strong> IMF has conducted debt sustainability analyses (DSAs) <strong>of</strong><br />

countries’ public and external debt in a systematic and formal manner since 2002. In April<br />

2005 <strong>the</strong> Executive Boards <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> IMF and <strong>the</strong> World Bank adopted <strong>the</strong> joint <strong>Debt</strong><br />

Sustainability Framework (DSF) for low-income countries, aimed at matching those<br />

countries’ need for financing <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir current and prospective capacity <strong>to</strong> service debt.<br />

Under <strong>the</strong> DSF, baseline debt ratios as well as alternative scenarios (testing <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong><br />

possible shocks) are calculated (see IMF, 2010d). Ano<strong>the</strong>r novel initiative has been <strong>the</strong><br />

provision <strong>of</strong> special debt management assistance <strong>to</strong> low-income countries since <strong>the</strong><br />

establishment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Debt</strong> Management Facility (DMF) by <strong>the</strong> World Bank in November<br />

2008. This DMF is a multi-donor grant facility which seeks <strong>to</strong> improve <strong>the</strong> debt<br />

management capacity <strong>of</strong> IDA-eligible countries by <strong>of</strong>fering <strong>to</strong>ols (in cooperation <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

IMF) and training for developing and implementing a medium-term debt management<br />

strategy (MTDS) and reform plans (see World Bank and IMF, 2009).<br />

2.2.2 Characterising international debt relief initiatives from an aid modality<br />

equivalence perspective<br />

2.2.2.1 Characterising through conditionality: a chameleon called debt relief<br />

In this section, we look at <strong>the</strong> different debt relief initiatives briefly described in <strong>the</strong><br />

previous section from a more analytical perspective. More precisely, we first describe <strong>the</strong><br />

particular conditionality sets that were attached <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> particular debt relief initiatives; in<br />

that way, as highlighted in <strong>the</strong> logframe <strong>of</strong> this evaluation (<strong>of</strong> Chapter 1) we describe <strong>the</strong><br />

policy dialogue/conditionality input <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> different debt relief initiatives. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, we<br />

describe <strong>to</strong> what extent <strong>the</strong>se initiatives were both policy- as well as system-aligned <strong>with</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> recipient country 18 , providing information that will enable us <strong>to</strong> judge later <strong>to</strong> what extent<br />

debt relief could be labelled as coherent <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> prevailing aid paradigms, and, more<br />

recently, <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> NAA in particular. Toge<strong>the</strong>r, both issues enable us <strong>to</strong> compare particular<br />

debt relief interventions <strong>with</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r aid modalities. In fact, we will show that debt relief has<br />

something <strong>of</strong> a chameleon, changing colours depending on <strong>the</strong> type <strong>of</strong> conditionalities and<br />

extent <strong>of</strong> alignment attached. In characterising <strong>the</strong> current set <strong>of</strong> debt relief initiatives, we<br />

(again) distinguish between four ‘generations’, being pre-HIPC (largely Paris Club) relief,<br />

HIPC relief, HIPC+ relief (additional bilateral HIPC relief and MDRI), and <strong>the</strong> targeting <strong>of</strong><br />

non-HIPC eligible countries/debt titles, mainly through (second generation) debt swaps.<br />

Table 2.2 below provides a detailed overview <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> issues.<br />

18 ‘Policy alignment’ refers <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> donors/credi<strong>to</strong>rs committing <strong>the</strong>mselves <strong>to</strong> base <strong>the</strong>ir overall support on<br />

developing countries’ national development strategies, and ‘system alignment’, refers <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>m using a<br />

recipient country’s own institutions and systems for implementation, moni<strong>to</strong>ring and evaluation where<br />

such institutions and systems are deemed reliable, effective and accountable (see e.g. OECD-DAC 2005<br />

and 2008).<br />

<strong>Coming</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Terms</strong> <strong>with</strong> <strong>Reality</strong><br />

Conditionality is an essential ingredient <strong>of</strong> an aid intervention, distinguishing it from o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

hard-currency recipient country resources such as, say, those coming from oil (or o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

exports), as it reduces <strong>the</strong> policy space <strong>to</strong> use those resources freely; by using<br />

conditionality, donors want <strong>to</strong> influence, in a direct way, <strong>the</strong> utilisation <strong>of</strong> funds (so-called<br />

earmarking), or, more indirectly, try <strong>to</strong> change recipient country behaviour in a broad way,<br />

both ex ante (incite good behaviour), or ex-post (rewarding good behaviour) 19 . This is not<br />

different <strong>with</strong> aid interventions <strong>of</strong> a debt relief kind. But conditionalities used have evolved<br />

over time.<br />

Pre-HIPC (largely Paris Club) flow as well as debt s<strong>to</strong>ck relief essentially only relied on<br />

countries having an active IMF programme; no particular development-earmarking was<br />

included. As such, in fact, this type <strong>of</strong> debt relief intervention can essentially being<br />

characterised as similar <strong>to</strong> balance <strong>of</strong> payments support granted by say <strong>the</strong> IMF, in <strong>the</strong><br />

context <strong>of</strong> a Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) 20 . With respect <strong>to</strong> swaps, such IMF<br />

program conditionality was no absolute conditionality, but <strong>the</strong>re was very strict microearmarking<br />

21 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> funds released through <strong>the</strong> debt swap, and, as such, in fact, is very<br />

similar <strong>to</strong> (old-style) project aid. What can we conclude: although intuitively, we think that<br />

debt relief inherently looks very much like budget support, since it is freeing up (also fiscal)<br />

resources, <strong>the</strong> conditionalities attached make pre-HIPC initiative debt relief look very much<br />

like <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>n-dominant aid modalities, i.e. support for Structural Adjustment, and project aid.<br />

In fact, in <strong>the</strong> absence <strong>of</strong> a clear link <strong>to</strong> a development/poverty reduction agenda, this<br />

remains largely <strong>the</strong> case <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> original HIPC Initiative, still looking very much like<br />

structural adjustment support. This has changed under <strong>the</strong> enhanced HIPC-initiative, where<br />

standard IMF conditionality is enhanced <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> link <strong>to</strong> a recipient country-owned<br />

National Development Strategy in general, and <strong>the</strong> PRSP in particular. It is policy-aligned,<br />

and in principle non-earmarked 22 .<br />

19 The basic idea <strong>to</strong> characterise freely usable resources as oil and compare <strong>the</strong>m <strong>to</strong> types <strong>of</strong> aid is in Collier<br />

(2006).<br />

20 In fact, <strong>the</strong> debt relief granted in this way was largely <strong>the</strong> accounting-wise <strong>of</strong>fsetting entry for <strong>the</strong> debt<br />

service arrears that <strong>the</strong> recipient country had been accumulating before <strong>the</strong> debt restructuring operation.<br />

Both in <strong>the</strong> BoP and <strong>the</strong> budget, arrears are characterised as a source <strong>of</strong> ‘exceptional’ finance (registered<br />

‘below <strong>the</strong> line’), similar <strong>to</strong> IMF financing.<br />

21 Micro-earmarking refers <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> desire <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> donor <strong>to</strong> micro-determine and moni<strong>to</strong>r <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> funds.<br />

Typically, funds are placed in jointly-managed counterpart funds, usually outside <strong>the</strong> government budget,<br />

using non-aligned (separate) implementation and moni<strong>to</strong>ring mechanisms, bypassing <strong>the</strong> government’s<br />

public system. This practice can be considered part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ‘old’ project logic, <strong>with</strong> its attached inherent<br />

strengths, such as high donor commitment, ease <strong>of</strong> moni<strong>to</strong>ring and effectiveness evaluation (both ex ante<br />

as well as ex post), and high degree <strong>of</strong> donor accountability <strong>to</strong>wards home constituencies, but also <strong>with</strong> its<br />

well-known weaknesses, such as fungibility, high transaction costs, lack <strong>of</strong> long-term capacity building and<br />

streng<strong>the</strong>ning <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> public management and moni<strong>to</strong>ring and evaluation system, and weak ownership and<br />

sustainability.<br />

22 Non-earmarked debt relief refers <strong>to</strong> debt relief that is not tied <strong>to</strong> specific predetermined activities. It is<br />

so-<strong>to</strong>-say ‘deliberately fungible’, where funds from debt relief are pooled <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong> budget, <strong>to</strong> be spent on<br />

<strong>the</strong> government’s priorities as put forward in national development plans such as for example <strong>the</strong> PRSP, a<br />

MDG plan, etc. We prefer <strong>to</strong> label <strong>the</strong>m as non-earmarked use, highlighting <strong>the</strong> essence <strong>of</strong> (full) alignment<br />

<strong>with</strong> donor development priorities, and government systems <strong>of</strong> planning, implementation and M&E.<br />

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