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The Design of Modern Steel Bridges - TEDI

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will have a probability <strong>of</strong> failure P f given by<br />

Pf ¼ ½ ðmR mD mLÞ=ðs 2 R þ s2 D þ s2 L Þ1=2 Š¼ ½ bŠ, when<br />

(1) N, m, s and V represent the nominal, mean, standard deviation and<br />

coefficient <strong>of</strong> variation <strong>of</strong> the variables<br />

(2) Suffixes D, L, S, C and R represent the variables dead load, live load,<br />

material strength, component strength and total resistance<br />

(3) s R is the standard deviation <strong>of</strong> the total resistance variable, given by<br />

VR mR ¼½V 2 S þ V2 C þ V2 S V2 C Š1=2 aS aC NR<br />

(4) a is the ratio <strong>of</strong> the mean to the nominal values <strong>of</strong> the variables<br />

(5) g f3 is a partial safety factor to cover inaccurate assessment <strong>of</strong> action effects<br />

and stresses<br />

(6) g m is a partial safety factor for resistance<br />

(7) g fL is a partial safety factor for loading<br />

(8) b is a reliability index<br />

(9) is the cumulative density function; for a normal distribution <strong>of</strong> a variable,<br />

this is given by<br />

rffiffiffiffiffið1 1<br />

2p<br />

b<br />

e x2 =2<br />

<strong>The</strong> following example illustrates how the failure probability can be<br />

calculated for a structure designed with specified partial safety factors on loads<br />

and resistance. Consider the structure to be designed for a nominal dead load <strong>of</strong><br />

10 units, a nominal live load <strong>of</strong> 15 units, gfLD ¼ 1.3, gfLL ¼ 1.5, g m ¼ 1.2 and<br />

g f3 ¼ 1.1. <strong>The</strong> nominal resistance NR must not be less than<br />

1:1 1:2 ½10 1:3 þ 15 1:5Š ¼46:86 units<br />

Let us assume that the nominal resistance NR <strong>of</strong> the designed structure is 47<br />

units.<br />

Let us also assume the following statistical parameters <strong>of</strong> the variables:<br />

Variables a ¼ m/N V¼ s/m<br />

Dead load 1.05 0.05<br />

Live load 1.04 0.09<br />

Material strength 1.10 0.064<br />

Component strength 1.15 0.091<br />

dx<br />

Aims <strong>of</strong> <strong>Design</strong> 85

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