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Carl%20Sagan%20-%20The%20Demon%20Haunted%20World

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THE DEMON-HAUNTED WORLD<br />

reliably reported cases that are unexotic, and exotic cases that are<br />

unreliable. There are no cases - despite well over a million UFO<br />

reports since 1947 - in which something so strange that it could<br />

only be an extraterrestrial spacecraft is reported so reliably that<br />

misapprehension, hoax or hallucination can be reliably excluded.<br />

There's still a part of me that says, 'Too bad.'<br />

We're regularly bombarded with extravagant UFO claims<br />

vended in bite-sized packages, but only rarely do we get to hear<br />

about their comeuppance. This isn't hard to understand: which<br />

sells more newspapers and books, which garners higher ratings,<br />

which is more fun to believe, which is more resonant with the<br />

torments of our time - real crashed alien ships, or experienced con<br />

men preying on the gullible; extraterrestrials of immense powers<br />

toying with the human species, or such claims deriving from<br />

human weakness and imperfection?<br />

Over the years I've continued to spend time on the UFO<br />

problem. I receive many letters about it, frequently with detailed<br />

first-hand accounts. Sometimes momentous revelations are promised<br />

if only I will call the letter writer. After I give lectures - on<br />

almost any subject - I often am asked, 'Do you believe in UFOs?'<br />

I'm always struck by how the question is phrased, the suggestion<br />

that this is a matter of belief and not of evidence. I'm almost never<br />

asked, 'How good is the evidence that UFOs are alien spaceships?'<br />

I've found that the going-in attitude of many people is highly<br />

predetermined. Some are convinced that eyewitness testimony is<br />

reliable, that people do not make things up, that hallucinations or<br />

hoaxes on such a scale are impossible, and that there must be a<br />

long-standing, high-level government conspiracy to keep the truth<br />

from the rest of us. Gullibility about UFOs thrives on widespread<br />

mistrust of government, arising naturally enough from all those<br />

circumstances where, in the tension between public well-being<br />

and 'national security', the government lies. As government<br />

deceit and conspiracies of silence have been exposed on so many<br />

other matters, it's hard to argue that a cover-up on this odd<br />

subject is impossible, that the government would never hide<br />

important information from its citizens. A common explanation<br />

on why there would be a cover-up is to prevent worldwide panic or<br />

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