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Beyond Feelings

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CHAPTER 5 How Good Are Your Opinions?<br />

Kinds of Errors<br />

Opinion can be corrupted by any one of four broad kinds of errors.* These<br />

classifications, with examples added for clarification, are the following:<br />

1. Errors or tendencies to error common among all people by virtue of<br />

their being human (for example, the tendency to perceive selectively<br />

or rush to judgment or oversimplify complex realities)<br />

2. Errors or tendencies to error associated with one’s individual habits<br />

of mind or personal attitudes, beliefs, or theories (for example, the<br />

habit of thinking the worst of members of a race or religion against<br />

which one harbors prejudice)<br />

3. Errors that come from human communication and the limitations of<br />

language (for example, the practice of expressing a thought or feeling<br />

inadequately and leading others to form a mistaken impression)<br />

4. Errors in the general fashion of an age (for example, the tendency in<br />

our grandparents’ day to accept authority unquestioningly or the<br />

tendency in ours to recognize no authority but oneself)<br />

Some people, of course, are more prone to errors than others. English<br />

philosopher John Locke observed that these people fall into three groups:<br />

Those who seldom reason at all, but think and act as those around them<br />

do—parents, neighbors, the clergy, or anyone else they admire and<br />

respect. Such people want to avoid the difficulty that accompanies<br />

thinking for themselves.<br />

Those who are determined to let passion rather than reason govern<br />

their lives. Those people are influenced only by reasoning that supports<br />

their prejudices.<br />

Those who sincerely follow reason, but lack sound, overall good<br />

sense, and so do not look at all sides of an issue. They tend to talk with<br />

one type of person, read one type of book, and so are exposed to only<br />

one viewpoint. 13<br />

To Locke’s list we should add one more type: those who never bother<br />

to reexamine an opinion once it has been formed. These people are often the<br />

most error prone of all, for they forfeit all opportunity to correct mistaken<br />

opinions when new evidence arises.<br />

Informed Versus Uninformed Opinion<br />

If experts can, like the rest of us, be wrong, why are their opinions more<br />

highly valued than those of nonexperts? In light of the examples we have considered,<br />

we might conclude that it is a waste of time to consult the experts.<br />

Let’s look at some situations and see if this conclusion is reasonable.<br />

*The classifications noted here are adaptations of Francis Bacon’s well-known “Idols,”<br />

Novum Organum, Book I (1620).<br />

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