Projecting Fatalities in Crashes Involving Older Drivers, 2000-2025

Table A.3.2. Elder Driver Fatality Rate Projections, Males, Deaths per 100 Million
Miles Driven, as Percentage of 1995 Rates
National
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 102.6% 98.5% 94.2% 90.4% 86.6% 83.5%
70-74 100.0% 110.4% 106.6% 102.2% 96.6% 90.8% 86.0%
75-79 100.0% 105.1% 101.1% 96.7% 92.2% 88.0% 84.3%
80-84 100.0% 85.9% 82.5% 78.7% 75.4% 72.6% 70.2%
85+ 100.0% 100.6% 92.5% 84.4% 77.3% 71.2% 66.0%
Midwest
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 88.2% 83.3% 78.8% 75.6% 72.4% 69.7%
70-74 100.0% 105.4% 101.8% 97.3% 92.2% 87.1% 82.9%
75-79 100.0% 100.9% 98.2% 95.0% 91.4% 87.9% 84.8%
80-84 100.0% 71.8% 69.3% 65.7% 63.2% 61.3% 59.7%
85+ 100.0% 92.5% 86.5% 80.3% 74.7% 69.9% 66.0%
Northeast
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 114.7% 109.1% 104.1% 99.8% 95.9% 92.6%
70-74 100.0% 85.0% 81.6% 78.3% 74.3% 70.5% 67.3%
75-79 100.0% 95.9% 92.3% 89.1% 85.4% 82.0% 79.1%
80-84 100.0% 99.0% 95.8% 91.4% 88.0% 85.2% 82.8%
85+ 100.0% 105.0% 98.5% 91.9% 85.8% 80.5% 76.1%
South
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 115.1% 110.8% 105.6% 101.3% 96.9% 93.4%
70-74 100.0% 123.8% 118.3% 112.8% 105.8% 98.7% 93.0%
75-79 100.0% 111.7% 106.1% 99.8% 94.4% 89.6% 85.4%
80-84 100.0% 63.0% 59.6% 56.4% 53.2% 50.6% 48.3%
85+ 100.0% 93.5% 87.3% 80.7% 74.7% 69.6% 65.4%
West
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 90.7% 86.9% 83.0% 79.1% 75.6% 72.6%
70-74 100.0% 112.2% 108.7% 104.1% 98.3% 92.3% 87.6%
75-79 100.0% 104.9% 101.3% 96.5% 91.4% 86.6% 82.4%
80-84 100.0% 94.5% 91.0% 86.9% 83.4% 80.5% 78.0%
85+ 100.0% 103.6% 85.2% 69.4% 56.0% 45.0% 36.6%
GM Project G.6 A - 10
October 2000