Projecting Fatalities in Crashes Involving Older Drivers, 2000-2025

Table A.6.2. Projected Total Fatalities Attributed to Male Drivers,
as Percentage of 1995 Fatalities
National
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 108.3% 122.9% 158.1% 212.7% 255.4% 301.3%
70-74 100.0% 111.1% 109.1% 120.8% 151.8% 200.1% 236.7%
75-79 100.0% 145.1% 154.9% 159.9% 183.7% 238.6% 325.5%
80-84 100.0% 142.9% 177.1% 196.9% 209.0% 247.5% 329.3%
85+ 100.0% 129.7% 155.9% 189.3% 215.4% 228.1% 261.1%
Total 100.0% 124.4% 138.1% 158.2% 190.8% 234.0% 290.8%
Midwest
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 91.9% 99.7% 123.1% 161.7% 193.0% 223.2%
70-74 100.0% 96.0% 93.0% 98.6% 117.9% 151.6% 177.6%
75-79 100.0% 114.5% 121.0% 122.3% 134.1% 166.1% 221.5%
80-84 100.0% 147.4% 177.9% 197.7% 206.2% 233.2% 295.3%
85+ 100.0% 115.0% 136.6% 163.2% 183.9% 193.1% 216.8%
Total 100.0% 109.3% 119.6% 134.0% 155.6% 184.6% 223.7%
Northeast
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 118.2% 125.3% 154.8% 199.4% 230.5% 269.6%
70-74 100.0% 91.5% 83.1% 85.8% 103.7% 130.9% 149.2%
75-79 100.0% 139.8% 144.5% 136.5% 146.1% 182.4% 238.4%
80-84 100.0% 156.2% 187.1% 203.2% 200.2% 223.7% 289.5%
85+ 100.0% 173.0% 209.6% 255.2% 289.7% 298.3% 331.7%
Total 100.0% 125.4% 133.3% 145.6% 166.2% 194.0% 233.8%
South
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 119.5% 138.2% 180.3% 244.5% 294.1% 349.0%
70-74 100.0% 128.6% 130.0% 146.7% 187.8% 250.7% 298.1%
75-79 100.0% 168.9% 184.2% 195.2% 228.1% 299.8% 412.0%
80-84 100.0% 121.1% 154.8% 175.8% 193.4% 236.2% 323.7%
85+ 100.0% 115.8% 148.0% 191.1% 228.9% 254.5% 304.5%
Total 100.0% 132.0% 149.7% 175.8% 217.6% 271.6% 341.7%
West
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 99.2% 118.4% 157.2% 217.3% 266.8% 317.5%
70-74 100.0% 112.3% 110.7% 127.8% 164.7% 221.0% 265.6%
75-79 100.0% 135.0% 141.3% 147.6% 177.3% 237.4% 331.1%
80-84 100.0% 176.6% 219.4% 239.6% 255.2% 311.2% 420.0%
85+ 100.0% 153.3% 161.3% 168.7% 164.5% 151.5% 152.5%
Total 100.0% 126.8% 140.5% 161.1% 196.6% 246.3% 310.2%
GM Project G.6 A - 22
October 2000