Projecting Fatalities in Crashes Involving Older Drivers, 2000-2025

Table A.3.4. Elder Driver Fatality Rate Projections, Females, Deaths per 100 Million
Miles Driven, as Percentage of 1995 Rates
National
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 110.3% 106.7% 101.9% 96.8% 91.7% 87.7%
70-74 100.0% 80.6% 77.3% 73.5% 69.5% 65.3% 62.0%
75-79 100.0% 83.7% 81.5% 78.6% 75.4% 72.3% 69.6%
80-84 100.0% 102.5% 99.2% 94.9% 90.7% 86.7% 83.2%
85+ 100.0% 95.1% 88.9% 82.2% 75.9% 70.4% 65.9%
Midwest
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 92.0% 89.1% 84.7% 80.3% 75.8% 72.3%
70-74 100.0% 76.4% 73.5% 70.0% 66.3% 62.4% 59.4%
75-79 100.0% 63.8% 62.6% 60.4% 58.2% 56.1% 54.4%
80-84 100.0% 95.6% 92.1% 88.2% 84.0% 80.1% 76.9%
85+ 100.0% 78.4% 74.1% 69.5% 64.4% 59.7% 55.9%
Northeast
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 108.0% 103.9% 99.6% 95.0% 90.6% 87.0%
70-74 100.0% 75.5% 72.0% 68.1% 64.5% 60.6% 57.6%
75-79 100.0% 90.0% 86.7% 83.2% 79.9% 76.7% 74.1%
80-84 100.0% 96.9% 93.8% 90.8% 87.3% 83.9% 81.0%
85+ 100.0% 60.5% 56.7% 52.3% 48.7% 45.6% 43.2%
South
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 112.9% 109.3% 104.2% 98.8% 93.4% 89.1%
70-74 100.0% 91.5% 86.7% 81.9% 77.0% 71.8% 67.7%
75-79 100.0% 76.8% 74.3% 70.7% 67.2% 64.0% 61.4%
80-84 100.0% 108.4% 103.4% 97.4% 92.0% 87.5% 83.8%
85+ 100.0% 105.3% 97.5% 89.5% 82.4% 76.4% 71.6%
West
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 127.8% 120.9% 113.9% 108.1% 102.0% 97.0%
70-74 100.0% 69.0% 66.0% 62.8% 59.7% 56.4% 53.9%
75-79 100.0% 123.6% 120.3% 116.8% 112.0% 107.2% 103.2%
80-84 100.0% 104.2% 101.3% 97.7% 92.6% 87.3% 82.9%
85+ 100.0% 93.5% 90.3% 85.7% 81.0% 76.1% 72.4%
GM Project G.6 A - 12
October 2000