Projecting Fatalities in Crashes Involving Older Drivers, 2000-2025

Table A.5.2. Projected Total Fatality Rate Attributed to Male Drivers, Deaths per 100
Million Miles, as Percentage of 1995 Rates
National
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 104.5% 102.6% 100.6% 98.5% 96.3% 94.7%
70-74 100.0% 107.6% 103.9% 100.3% 96.7% 93.2% 90.3%
75-79 100.0% 108.4% 106.4% 104.5% 102.7% 100.8% 99.3%
80-84 100.0% 84.7% 83.0% 81.2% 79.7% 78.2% 76.9%
85+ 100.0% 101.1% 93.9% 87.4% 81.7% 76.4% 72.1%
Midwest
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 88.1% 86.1% 84.1% 82.2% 80.3% 78.8%
70-74 100.0% 101.9% 97.9% 94.1% 90.5% 87.0% 84.3%
75-79 100.0% 98.1% 96.0% 93.9% 91.9% 90.0% 88.4%
80-84 100.0% 90.1% 87.9% 85.7% 83.5% 81.5% 79.8%
85+ 100.0% 91.9% 87.2% 82.8% 78.6% 74.6% 71.5%
Northeast
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 122.7% 119.9% 117.1% 114.5% 111.8% 109.8%
70-74 100.0% 82.6% 79.4% 76.3% 73.4% 70.5% 68.3%
75-79 100.0% 100.9% 98.8% 96.7% 94.6% 92.6% 91.0%
80-84 100.0% 100.5% 98.0% 95.6% 93.2% 90.9% 89.1%
85+ 100.0% 96.6% 91.7% 87.1% 82.6% 78.4% 75.2%
South
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 116.0% 113.3% 110.7% 108.2% 105.7% 103.7%
70-74 100.0% 118.6% 114.0% 109.6% 105.3% 101.3% 98.1%
75-79 100.0% 115.0% 112.5% 110.1% 107.8% 105.5% 103.6%
80-84 100.0% 51.8% 50.6% 49.3% 48.1% 46.9% 45.9%
85+ 100.0% 95.6% 90.7% 86.1% 81.8% 77.6% 74.4%
West
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
65-69 100.0% 94.2% 92.1% 90.0% 87.9% 85.9% 84.3%
70-74 100.0% 114.8% 110.4% 106.1% 102.0% 98.0% 95.0%
75-79 100.0% 115.0% 112.6% 110.2% 107.8% 105.5% 103.7%
80-84 100.0% 113.3% 110.5% 107.8% 105.1% 102.5% 100.4%
85+ 100.0% 107.7% 86.7% 69.8% 56.2% 45.3% 36.8%
GM Project G.6 A - 18
October 2000