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Final Environmental Impact Statement Rio de los Pinos Vegetation ...

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<strong>Final</strong> <strong>Environmental</strong> <strong>Impact</strong> <strong>Statement</strong> <strong>Rio</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>los</strong> <strong>Pinos</strong> <strong>Vegetation</strong> Management Project<br />

3.17 Economics<br />

Scope of Analysis<br />

The economic analysis focuses on the financial efficiency associated with commercial harvest<br />

treatments within the <strong>Rio</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>los</strong> <strong>Pinos</strong> Analysis Area. The purpose of this analysis is not to<br />

<strong>de</strong>termine if the sales are above or below cost, but rather to compare the financial efficiency of<br />

each alternative. This economic efficiency analysis does not incorporate monetary values for all<br />

known market and non-market benefits and costs.<br />

Assumptions were ma<strong>de</strong> in the financial analysis conducted using the software Quick-Silver<br />

(version 5.004.45) concerning the timing of sales, units inclu<strong>de</strong>d in each sale, and sale<br />

preparation times. These assumptions may not be reflective of the final <strong>de</strong>cision on how<br />

preliminary project units will be divi<strong>de</strong>d into final timber sales, but rather provi<strong>de</strong>s a reasonable<br />

estimate of expected costs and benefits associated with each of the alternatives, relative to each<br />

other.<br />

Specific costs and benefits used in the Quick-Silver economic analysis were based on recently<br />

published bulletins, previous timber sales, specialist input, and/or experience.<br />

Past Actions that have affected the Existing Condition<br />

Past actions that have affected the existing market condition in the <strong>Rio</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>los</strong> <strong>Pinos</strong> Analysis<br />

Area inclu<strong>de</strong> a history of management actions. The majority of the areas proposed for salvage<br />

harvest were originally harvested in the mid-1950’s un<strong>de</strong>r a single tree selection system. Portions<br />

of the southern end of the analysis area were entered into a second time in the mid-1970’s.<br />

These sales contributed to the transportation system that will be used to access the proposed<br />

sales.<br />

Spruce beetle activity has recently increased on the <strong>Rio</strong> Gran<strong>de</strong> National Forest. Heavy spruce<br />

beetle infestations was first noted in the winter of 2003 in the southern portions of the County<br />

Line Analysis Area, located less than two miles south of the <strong>Rio</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>los</strong> <strong>Pinos</strong> Analysis Area.<br />

Since that time, spruce beetles have progressed northward; heavy infestations were noted in the<br />

southern portion of the <strong>Rio</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>los</strong> <strong>Pinos</strong> Analysis Area during the 2007 field season.<br />

As a result of past harvest activity, stand susceptibility to spruce beetle outbreak was locally<br />

<strong>de</strong>creased for a period of time compared to areas that were untreated. Based on recent<br />

experience, and current observations, this past treatment will not preclu<strong>de</strong> epi<strong>de</strong>mic beetle<br />

populations that exist outsi<strong>de</strong> these stands from entering these stands. Advanced regeneration is<br />

fairly abundant; this is likely a product of past harvest, and will improve project economics by<br />

reducing the number of acres in need of post-treatment planting. Since <strong>de</strong>ad stumpage rates are<br />

not as high as live stumpage rates, the recent spruce beetle activity has <strong>de</strong>gra<strong>de</strong>d the commercial<br />

timber value in the <strong>Rio</strong> <strong>de</strong> <strong>los</strong> <strong>Pinos</strong> Analysis Area.<br />

Chapter 3 – Affected Environment & <strong>Environmental</strong> Consequences Page 3-87

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