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Proceedings 2002/2003 - IRSE

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MIGRATION TO ERTMS ON EXISTING LINES 67<br />

• more unusual, advanced, “aggressive” areas<br />

that would bring a RoI with ERTMS/ETCS.<br />

See also Figure 4.<br />

Figure 4 – Paths to a Return on Investment (RoI)<br />

“Standard” sources of RoI include the three<br />

following basic areas:<br />

• ERTMS/ETCS will increase the safety of rail<br />

transport. By providing ATP and cab signalling,<br />

ERTMS/ETCS removes the risk of "Signals<br />

passed at danger" (SPAD). It also removes the<br />

risk of a wrong action by the driver after a<br />

warning signal or after a permanent or<br />

temporary speed restriction.<br />

• Management of level crossings will be greatly<br />

improved with ERTMS/ETCS, and with the<br />

incidental benefits of the presence of GSM-R<br />

radio. Among several possibilities being actively<br />

pursued real-time management of level crossings,<br />

where the crossing area is monitored<br />

continuously and the situation reported to the<br />

local control centre and/or the drivers of<br />

approaching trains, will permit the number of<br />

accidents and fatalities at level crossings to be<br />

diminished dramatically.<br />

• ERTMS/ETCS will create new possibilities for<br />

enhancing signalling equipment maintenance.<br />

These include new ways of providing preventive<br />

maintenance and monitoring trackside equipment.<br />

This applies to all kinds of equipment,<br />

from train detection and point equipment to<br />

trackside and trainborne ATP. Trainborne equipment<br />

is much more easily maintained because it<br />

comes into the workshop, whereas outdoor<br />

equipment can be far from any maintenance<br />

location.<br />

ERTMS/ETCS has a very significant impact on all<br />

these three “standard” sources of RoI. There are<br />

other sources of RoI that are new to signalling,<br />

including the following:<br />

• Increased productivity of rolling stock – motive<br />

power, carriages and wagons. Since ERTMS/<br />

ETCS will increase line capacity and train<br />

speeds, the same rolling stock will arrive at its<br />

destination sooner. Hence more trips will be<br />

possible with the same amount of rolling stock,<br />

a feature that will be greatly appreciated by<br />

private operators and local and regional<br />

authorities. So ERTMS/ETCS will provide more<br />

value for the same money.<br />

• Through real-time operation and increased<br />

possibilities for cab signalling and central<br />

management, ERTMS/ETCS will provide routes<br />

to significant energy savings. This will perhaps<br />

not be achieved so easily in electric traction<br />

areas, but much more with diesel traction. It will<br />

mean fuel savings that can be estimated at<br />

10-15% of the present consumption – and this<br />

is probably a conservative figure.<br />

• As a complement to increased rolling stock<br />

productivity, ERTMS/ETCS will naturally provide<br />

maintenance savings of the rolling stock. These<br />

will come from the possibility of centralising<br />

maintenance data on the train, radio communication<br />

between train and depot permitting<br />

maintenance actions to be carried out earlier, or<br />

on a preventive basis.<br />

These three “new” areas of RoI do not arise from<br />

ERTMS/ETCS alone. Other actions and means must<br />

be provided to obtain the optimum benefits, but the<br />

concept and new possibilities of ERTMS/ETCS are<br />

still key elements in achieving better, more efficient<br />

rail transport. It must not be forgotten that our competitors<br />

– air and road – already make very efficient<br />

use of processes similar to those described here.<br />

More unusual paths to RoI include the following:<br />

• ERTMS/ETCS will bring savings on track works<br />

by allowing staff protection to be optimised and<br />

implemented on a ”just in time” basis, leading to<br />

enhanced productivity.<br />

• ERTMS/ETCS will lead to increased freight<br />

traffic, especially international traffic, by shortening<br />

transit times at borders, an area where we<br />

have to admit that road transport is far more<br />

efficient today.<br />

• ERTMS/ETCS will also lead to increased<br />

passenger traffic, from high-speed trains and<br />

densely-trafficked areas through to local lines,<br />

and from light rail to low-density single track<br />

lines.<br />

To summarise, ERTMS/ETCS will bring savings<br />

and returns on investment from many sources, and<br />

provide a number of ways of demonstrating its<br />

ability to improve rail transport.<br />

THE “AGAINSTS” OF ERTMS/ETCS<br />

So most people will be able to think of ways of<br />

justifying ERTMS/ETCS. But it is perhaps less easy<br />

to think about negative features. There are several<br />

reasons for this. Before making any choice, let us<br />

analyse them a bit further – still ignoring the legal<br />

aspects of EU rules.<br />

Points "against" ERTMS/ETCS include the<br />

following:<br />

• Why should I buy ERTMS/ETCS?<br />

• Won't I have a problem with equipment<br />

volume – isn’t ERTMS/ETCS "just one more<br />

trainborne ATP system”?<br />

• What are the cost issues?<br />

The question, “Why should I buy ERTMS/ETCS?”<br />

looks different from the points of view of an<br />

infrastructure owner and a railway operator. For an<br />

integrated railway both will, of course, apply.<br />

An infrastructure owner would have different

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