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2. VON BERTAI"ANFFY MODEL FOR GROWTH -clse IN MASS. 6<br />

This rn_odel, a signoid function, is sp""iii or tfre<br />

c,r_.'r:. "<br />

:l:l:i::<br />

!umi_Ly:. trie shape paraneter is ser ro z/3.<br />

uurrousry, Arlsbrn (nNinth working neeting .n) used this<br />

curve in one hodel of a'lligator length. 7<br />

Clearly, r,/hen<br />

dealing with linear dinensions this rnod-el lacks the viltue of<br />

easy. physiologicat interpretabil ity, but it does sohettnes<br />

provrde-a good enpiricaf fit. In any case ve chose to use it<br />

models-as<br />

11,::f ,t"nSth<br />

-an_ arbitra.rifv chosen. f ixed,,shape.,l<br />

slcrmorct curve. In the body of this paper sre shall catt ttris<br />

THE FTXED SIGMOID MODEL.<br />

Section fII: Results of Analyses on Sirnulated Crocs<br />

Here we deal with three overall questions: (l) From our<br />

limited set of thodels, how easy is it to pi"f ifr" ctlrect one?<br />

(2) Hoi,r nuch difference does it nake ii you pick the wrong<br />

tnodel? (3) How nuch difference does the satnplinq scheme nake?<br />

- +. Picking the correct modet. We knor,/ that the<br />

simufated<br />

R:p:I,?^tl:I aot<br />

crocodiles was grown according ro the<br />

!uL! fluu[L -; lnat ls the correct one. But if ve were ignorant<br />

about.the actua.L population lnodeI, how confidentfy cou_Ld we<br />

ta,"Yt by exarnihing<br />

f_t:T<br />

the sarnpfes? The criteri;n usuatly<br />

emptoyecl ls analysis of residual variation around the modef.<br />

Of course in ahy direct comparison of residual varian.a iha<br />

FULL MoDEL can never do any worse than a tie f"" fi"=[-;iu;;;<br />

what. the ',true', poputarjon<br />

::_l::!:I 'lnererore<br />

growrh regime rnighr be.<br />

lt ts conventional to use the F_distribu{ion in<br />

evaluating hodet fit: Hord often ,"<br />

fhe nu1l<br />

hypothesis that some reduced rnodel fits ".r, just ""i""i a's wefi as tne<br />

FULL one? The folto!,/ing tabte tel1s the iather .uJ tir",<br />

" Our tvro Von Bertata nffy. models, for finear dirnenstoh.:<br />

and. for 4qss, are algebraicatly interconvercoSlETi-iiE ."=rlr"=<br />

that hass is a function of the cube of tne fineir d=imension<br />

under analysis.<br />

^ 1 tl- this paper the curve is simply tenned rirhe von<br />

P,:::: l:lf:I- I:dd " as _opposed to ,,rhe *tr,'"*oi""oiu"<br />

wnrch<br />

.oa"r,,,<br />

$re prefer to call rthe von Bertalanffy rnodef<br />

grovth. ,l<br />

for lihear<br />

I That is the fu1l, four-pararneter Richards nodet_

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