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3 IDENTIFYING HAZARDS<br />

Figure 3‐47.<br />

Long-term erosion at<br />

South Bethany Beach,<br />

DE, has lowered ground<br />

elevations beneath<br />

buildings and left them<br />

more vulnerable to<br />

storm damage<br />

SOURCE: CHRIS JONES<br />

1992, USED WITH<br />

PERMISSION<br />

In essence, long-term erosion acts to shift flood hazard zones landward. For example, a site mapped<br />

accurately as Zone A may become exposed to Zone V conditions; a site accurately mapped as outside the<br />

100-year floodplain may become exposed to Zone A or Zone V conditions.<br />

Despite the fact that FIRMs do not incorporate long-term erosion, other sources of long-term erosion data<br />

are available for much of the country’s shorelines. These data usually take the form of historical shoreline<br />

maps or erosion rates published by individual States or specific reports (from Federal or State agencies,<br />

universities, or consultants) pertaining to counties or other small shoreline reaches.<br />

Designers should be aware that more than one source of long-term erosion rate data may be available for<br />

a given site and that the different sources may report different erosion rates. Differences in rates may be a<br />

result of different study periods, different data sources (e.g., aerial photographs, maps, ground surveys), or<br />

different study methods. When multiple sources and long-term erosion rates exist for a given site, designers<br />

should use the highest long-term erosion rate in their siting decisions, unless they conduct a detailed review<br />

of the erosion rate studies and conclude that a lower erosion rate is more appropriate for forecasting future<br />

shoreline positions.<br />

3-50 COASTAL CONSTRUCTION MANUAL

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