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sector skills plan for the health sector in south africa

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4.4 FUTURE DEMAND<br />

4.4.1 SKILLS DEVELOPMENT TARGETS SET BY THE NATIONAL DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH<br />

In 2006, as part of a document entitled Human Resources <strong>for</strong> Health: A Strategic Plan, <strong>the</strong> national DoH<br />

set targets <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> production of human resources by <strong>health</strong> sciences education and tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitutions<br />

to primarily address public <strong>sector</strong> needs. At <strong>the</strong> time those targets were developed with reference to<br />

public <strong>sector</strong> vacancies, outputs at education <strong>in</strong>stitutions and <strong>the</strong> potential <strong>for</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased outputs,<br />

estimated replacement needs and limited f<strong>in</strong>ancial resources. The DoH acknowledged that <strong>the</strong> targets<br />

should have been <strong>in</strong>fluenced by actual <strong>health</strong>care needs identified <strong>in</strong> prov<strong>in</strong>cial <strong>health</strong> service <strong>plan</strong>s,<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r than by <strong>the</strong> af<strong>for</strong>dability of services <strong>in</strong> a resource-constra<strong>in</strong>ed environment. 161 Fur<strong>the</strong>r studies<br />

were required, especially on capacity at academic <strong>in</strong>stitutions to meet <strong>the</strong> proposed targets. One of <strong>the</strong><br />

targets <strong>the</strong> DoH set was to <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> number of medical practitioners that would qualify each year<br />

from <strong>the</strong> approximately 1 200 per year to 2 400 per year. The production of professional nurses had to<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease from 1 900 to 3 000 per year and enrolled (staff) nurses had to <strong>in</strong>crease from 5 000 to 8 000 per<br />

year.<br />

Experts warned <strong>in</strong> 2008 that South Africa has no system <strong>in</strong> place to ensure that <strong>the</strong> production of <strong>health</strong><br />

professionals occurs <strong>in</strong> relation to <strong>the</strong>ir need and that decisions on <strong>skills</strong> development <strong>for</strong> <strong>health</strong> are<br />

made <strong>in</strong>dependently of national policy. 162 O<strong>the</strong>rs remarked that <strong>the</strong> above targets were set, without an<br />

implementation <strong>plan</strong> to achieve <strong>the</strong>m. 163 At <strong>the</strong> time of writ<strong>in</strong>g this SSP, <strong>the</strong> DoH was <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> process of<br />

revisit<strong>in</strong>g its Strategic Plan.<br />

4.5 FACTORS THAT IMPACT ON THE DEMAND FOR HEALTHCARE WORKERS<br />

In Chapter 3 several changes and challenges were discussed that will have an impact on <strong>the</strong> number of<br />

<strong>health</strong>care workers needed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> country, <strong>the</strong> occupational mix needed and <strong>the</strong> actual <strong>skills</strong> required of<br />

people with<strong>in</strong> specific occupations. The most important of <strong>the</strong>se are summarised below:<br />

4.5.1 HIV AND AIDS TREATMENT POLICIES<br />

Expand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> access to ART will impact largely at <strong>the</strong> district level. Patients will have to be <strong>in</strong>troduced<br />

to ART, advised of <strong>the</strong> risks of non-compliance with <strong>the</strong> treatment regime, followed up <strong>for</strong> risks, and<br />

monitored <strong>for</strong> side-effects. S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>re are not enough doctors to do so, <strong>the</strong> bulk of <strong>the</strong> work is<br />

expected to shift to nurses – a professional group already <strong>in</strong> short supply and under pressure <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

161 Department of Health. 2006. “Chapter 5: Priority Areas <strong>for</strong> Implementation”. Human Resources <strong>for</strong> Health: A Strategic Plan.<br />

Published at http://www.doh.gov.za/docs/discuss/2006/hrh_<strong>plan</strong>/. (Accessed August 2010).<br />

162 Development Bank of South Africa. 2008. A Roadmap <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> Re<strong>for</strong>m of <strong>the</strong> South African Health System.<br />

163 Wolvaardt, G., Van Niftnik, J., Beira, B. et. Al. 2008. “The Role of Private and O<strong>the</strong>r Non-Governmental Organisations <strong>in</strong><br />

Primary Health Care”. South African Health Review 2008. Health Systems Trust. Published at www.hst.org.za/publications/841.<br />

(Accessed August 2010).<br />

49

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