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principles and applications of microearthquake networks

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8.3. Temporiil Vuriiitiotis qf Otlier Seismic Parutmeters 215<br />

read reliably. During the anomalous period, some <strong>of</strong> the earthquakes used<br />

also had shallow focal depths relative to the majority <strong>of</strong> the earthquakes in<br />

the source region.<br />

Along more theoretical lines, a number <strong>of</strong> authors have studied the<br />

problems associated with investigating velocity changes. Three examples<br />

are given below.<br />

The effect on the Wadati diagram <strong>of</strong> a layered medium in which the ratio<br />

V,/V, differs by a small but reasonable amount from one layer to another<br />

was studied by Kisslinger <strong>and</strong> Engdahl (1973). They found that at distances<br />

large compared to the focal depth, the slope obtained from a<br />

Wadati diagram was most representative <strong>of</strong> the V,,/V, ratio in the deepest<br />

layer encountered by the seismic wave. In this case the origin time was no<br />

longer given by the intercept on the P-arrival time axis.<br />

Picking S-wave onsets is usually difficult, especially if only verticalcomponent<br />

seismograms are available. Kanasewich et a/. ( 1973) computed<br />

synthetic seismograms to illustrate the effect that a S- to P-wave conversion<br />

near the receiver had in producing an earlier apparent S-arrival. They<br />

demonstrated that large errors in picking S-arrivals might occur if only<br />

vertical-component seismograms were used. For stations underlaid by<br />

sedimentary layers only a few kilometers thick, errors <strong>of</strong> a few seconds<br />

might occur even if horizontal-component seismograms were read. They<br />

suggested that misidentification <strong>of</strong> S-arrivals might be fairly common in<br />

practice. In regions with lateral velocity changes, such as across a fault<br />

zone, it might be difficult to identify the same arrival phase from station to<br />

station because <strong>of</strong> phase conversions along the travel path.<br />

Crampin (1978) studied the propagation <strong>of</strong> seismic waves through a<br />

medium characterized by systems <strong>of</strong> parallel cracks. He demonstrated<br />

that crack orientation <strong>and</strong> geometry could play a primary role in producing<br />

velocity anomalies <strong>and</strong> in distinguishing between the various dilatancy<br />

models. He suggested that the orientation <strong>of</strong> the principal stress axes<br />

could produce an anisotropic crack system, making some velocity<br />

anomalies very difficult to observe. This might explain why velocity<br />

anomalies were most <strong>of</strong>ten reported in regions with thrust-type focal<br />

mechanisms <strong>and</strong> rarely in regions with strike-slip mechanisms. On the<br />

other h<strong>and</strong>, polarization anomalies for the shear phases should always be<br />

observable, <strong>and</strong> thus might be a reliable means to recognize dilatant episodes<br />

(see, also, Crampin <strong>and</strong> McGonigle, 1981).<br />

8.3. Temporal Variations <strong>of</strong> Other Seismic Parameters<br />

Many other kinds <strong>of</strong> earthquake precursors have been reported. These<br />

include temporal changes in h-slope, amplitude or amplitude ratio <strong>of</strong> cer-

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