City of Greater Sudbury Transportation Study Report

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4.4. Trip Generation Trip generation involves the development of trip production and attraction equations or rates that will produce trip production and trip attraction to and from each traffic zone. Trip generation rates have been developed based on the household survey for the p.m. peak period (3:30-5:29). The p.m. peak period was selected instead of the a.m. peak period in order to better determine the impact of special generators such as major shopping centers and institutions like hospitals, colleges and the University. Trip generation equations for both productions and attractions were tested for three areas and for three trip purposes. The areas consisted of the former City of Sudbury, the remaining areas outside the former City of Sudbury, and the special generators. The trip purposes are Home Based Work (HBW) which includes any trip with an origin or destination to or from home and work, Home Based Other (HBO) which includes any non-work trip having an origin or destination to or from home, and Non Home Based (NHB) which has neither an origin nor destination to or from home. The relevant variables used for each trip purpose are as follows: HBW – employment HBO - population and employment NHB - employment In the development of the traffic zone system, an attempt was made to ensure that the major special generators had their own traffic zones to simplify the development of trip generation equations. 4.4.1. Trip Generation for Home Based Work Trips For HBW trips, regression analysis was performed to determine the trip generation rates for trips having an origin in the former City of Sudbury and trip attraction rates were determined for trips having a destination in the former City of Sudbury. The variables used in this analysis included population and employment. Employment was considered the most important factor in terms of developing trip production and population was the most important factor for determining trip attraction. The final HBW trip generation and attraction rates for the former City of Sudbury are as follows: HBW Trip Productions (within the former City of Sudbury) = 0.5425 * employment (R-square = 0.734) HBW Trip Attractions (within the former City of Sudbury) = 0.2532 * population (R square = 0.723) Results of the regression analysis for HBW trips within the former City of Sudbury are plotted in Figure 4.4.1 for productions and Figure 4.4.2 for attractions. The R-square value for both the generation and attraction equations are reasonable. CITY OF GREATER SUDBURY OFFICIAL PLAN BACKGROUND REPORT September 2005 Page 43
Figure 4.4.1 – P.M. Peak Period Home Based Work-Productions 2500 2000 y = 0.5425x R 2 = 0.734 PRODUCTIONS 1500 1000 Series1 Linear (Series1) 500 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 EMPLOYMENT Figure 4.4.2 – P.M. Peak Period Home Based Work-Attractions 1800 1600 ATTRACTIONS 1400 1200 1000 800 y = 0.2532x R 2 = 0.723 Series1 Linear (Series1) 600 400 200 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 POPULATION For trip productions with origins outside the former City of Sudbury and trip attractions with destinations outside the former City of Sudbury, regression analysis was also attempted. A good statistical fit could not be achieved for the trip productions and therefore, the following rate was developed: HBW Trip Productions (outside the former City of Sudbury) = 0.627 * employment However, for trip attractions it was found that the regression equation used for trip attractions within the former City of Sudbury also worked for trip attractions outside the former City of Sudbury, which is as follows: HBW Trip Attractions (outside the former City of Sudbury) = 0.2532 * population (R square = 0.7193) CITY OF GREATER SUDBURY OFFICIAL PLAN BACKGROUND REPORT September 2005 Page 44
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City of Greater Sudbury Transportat
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TABLE OF CONTENTS CONTINUED 4. TRAF
Page 5 and 6:
FIGURES CONTINUED Figure 8.1.1 Road
Page 7 and 8: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Context The City
Page 9 and 10: A second series of public informati
Page 11 and 12: l. Construction of one additional w
Page 13 and 14: 18. Continue to require the prepara
Page 15 and 16: Data Collection and Monitoring 43.
Page 17 and 18: Levack Onaping Dowling Worthington
Page 19 and 20: Schedule C Projects generally inclu
Page 21 and 22: 1.5. Scope of Work The scope of wor
Page 23 and 24: A second series of public informati
Page 25 and 26: Chapter 11 - IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Wi
Page 27 and 28: The former City of Sudbury makes up
Page 29 and 30: Truck Routes Wahnapitae First Natio
Page 31 and 32: Existing Daily Traffic Volumes (200
Page 33 and 34: 2.3.2. Screenlines The operation of
Page 35 and 36: Ramsey Lake Road in the westbound d
Page 37 and 38: Based on findings of the household
Page 39 and 40: Conventional Transit Routes Capreol
Page 41 and 42: To address these issues, Greater Su
Page 43 and 44: The following list of accessibility
Page 45 and 46: The results to these questions are
Page 47 and 48: 2.9.2. Chamber of Commerce The Grea
Page 49 and 50: 3. HOUSEHOLD SURVEY 3.1. Methodolog
Page 51 and 52: A comparison of trip purpose betwee
Page 53 and 54: 4. TRAFFIC FORECASTING MODEL 4.1. M
Page 55 and 56: Figure 4.2.1 - Traffic Zone System
Page 57: Table 4.3.1 - Assumed Auto Capaciti
Page 61 and 62: Rio Can Centre Super Mall New Sudbu
Page 63 and 64: The goodness of fit for these FIGUR
Page 65 and 66: Table 4.6.1 - Model Validation Scre
Page 67 and 68: 5. FUTURE CONDITIONS To generate fu
Page 69 and 70: Daily Travel Demand City of Greater
Page 71 and 72: Table 5.5.1 - Screenline Analysis -
Page 73 and 74: Year 2021 Capacity Deficiencies Cit
Page 75 and 76: Building Blocks For A Comprehensive
Page 77 and 78: 7. EVALUATION OF ROAD NETWORK IMPRO
Page 79 and 80: Table 7.3.1 - Example of Comparativ
Page 81 and 82: The use of Barrydowne Road as an al
Page 83 and 84: A truck bypass is required for a nu
Page 85 and 86: The Barrydowne Road extension alter
Page 87 and 88: Road Improvements Common to All Alt
Page 89 and 90: 8.2. Evaluation of the Road Network
Page 91 and 92: Table 8.2.1 - Road Network Improvem
Page 93 and 94: In terms of the economic environmen
Page 95 and 96: 8.3. Potential Road Improvements Be
Page 97 and 98: 9. LOCAL ROAD IMPROVEMENTS 9.1. Loc
Page 99 and 100: 4. Kathleen Street Improvements Kat
Page 101 and 102: for Bancroft Drive, minimal traffic
Page 103 and 104: Figure 9.1.2 - Montrose Road Extens
Page 105 and 106: Figure 9.1.4 - Martilla Drive Exten
Page 107 and 108: Figure 9.1.6 - Barrydowne South Con
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Provide dual northbound left turn l
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10. ROAD DESIGNATIONS 10.1. Existin
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TABLE 10.1.1 - ROAD CLASSIFICATION
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Under future conditions, the sectio
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10.3. Road Access Policies Policies
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Greater Sudbury staff should encour
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Widen MR 80. Provide a continuous l
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11.3. Funding Options Capital outla
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12. RECOMMENDATIONS Recommendations
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a. The Hawthorne Drive Connection b
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25. Continue to improve coverage th
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City of Greater Sudbury Transportation Study Report

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